MLB Game Overviews

Friday, September 18, 2026

Updated 09:30 UTC · Odds Updated 09:25 UTC

AI Picks · 9 Bets · Sep 18
1u Picks
CHC Team Total o4.5 (-104)
CHC @ CIN · 6:41 PM ET
The Cubs bring a 155 wRC+ vs RHP over their last 6 games (134 over the last 12, confirming it's real form) into a matchup with Chase Burns, who has averaged just 3.9 IP/gs over his last 3 starts, and an elevated Reds bullpen sitting on a 6.07 ERA over its last 12 games. Even against Burns' swing-and-miss stuff, this lineup gets extended looks at a shaky pen behind him. A 49% no-vig price undersells an elite offense facing a short start and a bullpen this beat up.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
Chase Burns o3.5 Strikeouts (-135)
CHC @ CIN · 6:41 PM ET
Burns has struck out 7, 5 and 5 batters in his last three starts despite pitching just 3.9 IP/gs on average, a per-inning strikeout rate driven by a 37.5% whiff rate and 25.0% K-BB over that stretch. Even with the Cubs making unusually low contact-out rates (12.6% K% vs RHP last 6), his individual dominance has cleared this number with room in every recent outing. The price still leaves room given how consistently he's blown past this exact total.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
Clay Holmes o4.5 Strikeouts (+100)
CHC @ CIN · 6:41 PM ET
Cincinnati is striking out at a 26.0% clip vs RHP over its last 6 games, and Holmes has produced 8 and 6 strikeouts in two of his last three starts, with the lone 2-K outing coming in a blowout where he was pulled early after allowing 8 runs. His 27.9% whiff rate is running well above his 21.9% K rate, pointing to more strikeouts than his ERA-driven line suggests. A pick'em price on this number is generous against a lineup this strikeout-prone.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
Dustin May o5.5 Strikeouts (+113)
MIL @ BAL · 7:06 PM ET
Baltimore is striking out at a 31.1% clip vs RHP over its last 6 games, well above the level of the high-K clubs (Texas, Cincinnati twice) that May has already faced and produced 4, 5 and 6 strikeouts against. His 28.2% whiff rate over that span outpaces his own 25.0% K rate, suggesting his strikeout total is due to climb rather than regress. The plus-money price on the over doesn't account for an opponent this strikeout-prone.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
CLE Team Total o4.5 (-120)
ATH @ CLE · 7:11 PM ET
Mason Barnett carries a 13.09 ERA and 7.87 xERA over his last 3 starts, averaging just 3.7 IP/gs, while Cleveland's lineup has posted a 116 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games (137 over the last 12, confirming the form). Barnett's own bullpen is already elevated from recent stress, adding further scoring chances late. A 52% no-vig price on this total doesn't reflect how lopsided this specific pitching matchup is.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
Mason Barnett u12.5 Outs (-115)
ATH @ CLE · 7:11 PM ET
Barnett has averaged just 3.7 IP/gs (about 11 outs) over his last 3 starts, including a 2.2 IP outing, and is working off a 32-day layoff into a Cleveland lineup running a 116 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games. His walk rate (17.0% over that span) has been ending outings early, and nothing in his recent workload supports pushing past his own established depth.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
HOU Team Total u3.5 (+106)
ATL @ HOU · 8:11 PM ET
Houston's offense has managed just a 90 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games, and it now faces Tyler Mahle, who is running a 2.38 xERA and 0.94 ERA across his last 3 starts with a microscopic 1.4% walk rate. Mahle's command and Houston's cold recent form vs right-handers line up cleanly, and the market's 46% no-vig price on the under leaves value against a lineup unlikely to clear even a modest total.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
Tyler Mahle o17.5 Outs (-108)
ATL @ HOU · 8:11 PM ET
Mahle has gone 6.2, 6.0 and 7.0 innings in his last three starts, clearing 18 outs every time, powered by a 1.4% walk rate that keeps his pitch counts efficient. Houston's bullpen is stressed off heavy recent usage, giving the Astros every incentive to lean on length wherever they can find it. A 49% no-vig price undervalues a starter who has cleared this exact number in three straight outings.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
ARI Team Total o3.5 (-111)
NYY @ ARI · 9:41 PM ET
Gerrit Cole has allowed 3, 4 and 5 earned runs in his last three starts, posting a 6.48 ERA and 6.86 xERA with a 61.7% hard-hit rate that shows the results aren't a fluke. Arizona's lineup has produced a 133 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games, backed by an elevated NYY bullpen behind him. The market's 51% no-vig price on the over undersells how often this offense clears 3.5 runs against a starter this compromised.
Found at 5:30 AM ET
AI-generated · For entertainment only · Not financial advice
CHC @ CIN
6:40 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Clay Holmes R
xERA3.45 (good)ERA5.63 (poor)K%21.9 (avg)Whiff%27.9 (good)BB%12.3 (below)
More Stats
HH%40.4 (below)Barrel%2.1 (elite)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs94
CIN vs RHP
L6
wRC+56 (poor)K%26.0 (below)Whiff%27.9 (below)BB%4.8 (poor)HH%40.0 (above)
L12
wRC+66 (poor)K%30.6 (poor)Whiff%29.1 (poor)BB%5.9 (poor)HH%42.5 (above)
Chase Burns R
xERA2.97 (elite)ERA3.09 (good)K%35.4 (elite)Whiff%37.5 (elite)BB%10.4 (below)
More Stats
HH%42.3 (below)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs3.9 IP/gsH/gs2.7PC/gs67
CHC vs RHP
L6
wRC+155 (elite)K%12.6 (elite)Whiff%16.0 (elite)BB%9.3 (avg)HH%38.1 (avg)
L12
wRC+134 (elite)K%17.2 (above)Whiff%16.5 (elite)BB%10.7 (above)HH%39.4 (avg)
Bullpens · Last 12
CHC
xERA 4.62 (below)ERA 3.57 (good)2d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
CIN
xERA 4.39 (avg)ERA 6.07 (poor)2d stress Elevated (10.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHC-126-1.5 (+128)O8.5 (-120)CIN+110+1.5 (-149)U8.5 (+101)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHC-116-0.5 (+120)O4.5 (-108)CIN-108+0.5 (-156)U4.5 (-120)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UCHC4.5 (-104/-115)1.5 (-160/+124)CIN3.5 (-140/+114)1.5 (-145/+114)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UClay Holmes4.5 (+100 / -106)15.5 (-113 / -114)Chase Burns3.5 (-135 / +112)9.5 (+160 / -230)
Clay Holmes · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs PITW5.210065423
Sep 6 '26@ MIAL4.18026388
Aug 31 '26vs MILW6.010185200
Aug 25 '26@ ARIL7.09352200
Aug 19 '26vs CHWL5.18616211
Chase Burns · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26@ MILW3.05652322
Sep 7 '26@ LADL3.04450100
Aug 30 '26@ CHCW5.210076123
Aug 24 '26@ SFGL3.26459155
Aug 19 '26vs STLW5.010486222
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Clay Holmes
IPERAKHBB
vs CIN5.17.06poor3.06.02.0(1)
at CIN
last season · last met 426 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 19 '25vs CINL5.19236245
Chase Burns
IPERAKHBB
vs CHC5.23.46good7.06.01.0(1)
this season · last met 19 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 30 '26@ CHCW5.210076123
home starts6.01.50elite8.34.01.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 19 '26vs STLW5.010486222
Aug 14 '26vs MIAW7.09384000
Aug 2 '26vs PITW6.08892211
Weather · Hitter Friendly
84°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 9 mph NNE
APF 105 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 7
  • CIN — Chase Burns: avg 3.9 IP/gs over his last 3
  • CIN bullpen elevated (10.0 IP over 2g)
  • CHC — Clay Holmes: 2026-09-06: 8 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 18); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.73 ERA equivalent
  • CHC — Clay Holmes: low-K outing 2026-09-06 (2 Ks vs avg 5.3 over his last 3)
  • CIN — Chase Burns: last start: 56 pitches over 3.0 IP news ↗
  • CIN — Chase Burns: recent opponents low-K: CHC 13%, LAD 18%
  • TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL Central)
CHC Team Total o4.5 (-104)
The Cubs bring a 155 wRC+ vs RHP over their last 6 games (134 over the last 12, confirming it's real form) into a matchup with Chase Burns, who has averaged just 3.9 IP/gs over his last 3 starts, and an elevated Reds bullpen sitting on a 6.07 ERA over its last 12 games. Even against Burns' swing-and-miss stuff, this lineup gets extended looks at a shaky pen behind him. A 49% no-vig price undersells an elite offense facing a short start and a bullpen this beat up.
Chase Burns o3.5 Strikeouts (-135)
Burns has struck out 7, 5 and 5 batters in his last three starts despite pitching just 3.9 IP/gs on average, a per-inning strikeout rate driven by a 37.5% whiff rate and 25.0% K-BB over that stretch. Even with the Cubs making unusually low contact-out rates (12.6% K% vs RHP last 6), his individual dominance has cleared this number with room in every recent outing. The price still leaves room given how consistently he's blown past this exact total.
Clay Holmes o4.5 Strikeouts (+100)
Cincinnati is striking out at a 26.0% clip vs RHP over its last 6 games, and Holmes has produced 8 and 6 strikeouts in two of his last three starts, with the lone 2-K outing coming in a blowout where he was pulled early after allowing 8 runs. His 27.9% whiff rate is running well above his 21.9% K rate, pointing to more strikeouts than his ERA-driven line suggests. A pick'em price on this number is generous against a lineup this strikeout-prone.
KCR @ PIT
6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Randy Dobnak R
xERA3.82 (avg)ERA5.09 (below)K%18.8 (avg)Whiff%20.9 (avg)BB%2.9 (elite)
More Stats
HH%41.2 (below)Barrel%7.8 (good)IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs84
PIT vs RHP
L6
wRC+83 (below)K%24.4 (below)Whiff%27.0 (below)BB%8.9 (avg)HH%40.0 (above)
L12
wRC+96 (avg)K%20.9 (avg)Whiff%22.9 (avg)BB%9.2 (avg)HH%43.6 (above)
Paul Skenes R
xERA3.76 (avg)ERA3.71 (good)K%14.1 (below)Whiff%21.8 (avg)BB%7.0 (good)
More Stats
HH%29.6 (elite)Barrel%3.7 (elite)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs88
KCR vs RHP
L6
wRC+94 (below)K%24.2 (below)Whiff%22.8 (avg)BB%10.6 (above)HH%43.0 (above)
L12
wRC+108 (avg)K%17.8 (above)Whiff%19.9 (above)BB%9.2 (avg)HH%40.7 (above)
Bullpens · Last 12
KCR
xERA 3.89 (avg)ERA 3.92 (avg)2d stress Normal (7.0 IP/2g)
PIT
xERA 3.82 (avg)ERA 4.38 (avg)2d stress Stressed (11.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalKCR+157+1.5 (-138)O8.5 (+112)PIT-180-1.5 (+120)U8.0 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalKCR+150+0.5 (-102)O4.5 (+104)PIT-190-0.5 (-128)U4.5 (-135)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UKCR3.5 (+105/-132)1.5 (-110/-120)PIT4.5 (+106/-125)2.5 (+100/-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/URandy Dobnak3.5 (+132 / -149)15.5 (+115 / -148)Paul Skenes5.5 (-128 / +113)17.5 (-111 / -112)
Randy Dobnak · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ BOSL5.28144033
Sep 6 '26vs TORW6.08334011
Sep 1 '26vs MIAL6.08767266
Aug 26 '26@ TORL6.09256133
Aug 20 '26vs ATHW4.09646400
Paul Skenes · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ CHCL7.08244122
Sep 6 '26vs LAAW5.18724100
Sep 1 '26vs SFGW4.29548355
Aug 25 '26@ SDPW6.08743000
Aug 19 '26vs DETW4.18154433
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Paul Skenes
IPERAKHBB
vs KCR
home starts4.55.37poor3.75.32.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 6 '26vs LAAW5.18724100
Sep 1 '26vs SFGW4.29548355
Aug 19 '26vs DETW4.18154433
Weather · Neutral Conditions
75°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 4 mph N
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 3
  • PIT bullpen stressed (11.0 IP over 2g)
  • KCR — Randy Dobnak: 2026-09-01: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.35 ERA equivalent
  • PIT — Paul Skenes: 2026-09-01: 5 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.29 ERA equivalent
AI Analysis
Neither offense stands out against today's starter — Kansas City is below average vs RHP and Pittsburgh is similarly mediocre vs RHP — and Paul Skenes being favored heavily already reflects his edge over Randy Dobnak without leaving room past the -180 price. Skenes' strikeout and outs props are priced fairly off a consistent recent workload, and Dobnak's low posted lines already account for his short recent outings, leaving no clear mispricing on either arm.
MIL @ BAL
7:05 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Dustin May R
xERA4.01 (avg)ERA3.86 (avg)K%25.0 (good)Whiff%28.2 (elite)BB%6.7 (good)
More Stats
HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%12.5 (below)IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs79
BAL vs RHP
L6
wRC+128 (above)K%31.1 (poor)Whiff%28.0 (poor)BB%7.9 (below)HH%38.5 (avg)
L12
wRC+106 (avg)K%28.9 (poor)Whiff%26.1 (below)BB%8.2 (avg)HH%36.6 (avg)
Cade Povich L
xERA3.49 (good)ERA2.57 (elite)K%21.7 (avg)Whiff%20.2 (avg)BB%10.0 (avg)
More Stats
HH%36.6 (avg)Barrel%7.3 (good)IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs79
MIL vs LHP
L6
wRC+167 (elite)K%12.2 (elite)Whiff%10.6 (elite)BB%4.1 (poor)HH%53.7 (elite)
L12
wRC+115 (above)K%20.9 (avg)Whiff%17.1 (elite)BB%6.7 (below)HH%41.2 (above)
Bullpens · Last 12
MIL
xERA 4.49 (avg)ERA 4.98 (below)2d stress Elevated (10.3 IP/2g)
BAL
xERA 2.79 (elite)ERA 2.56 (elite)2d stress Fresh (2.3 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIL-134-1.5 (+126)O8.5 (-105)BAL+119+1.5 (-136)U8.5 (-112)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIL-142-0.5 (-102)O4.5 (-130)BAL+114+0.5 (-128)U4.5 (+100)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UMIL4.5 (+100/-120)BAL3.5 (-120/-104)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UDustin May5.5 (+113 / -115)15.5 (+104 / -130)Cade Povich
Dustin May · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 11 '26vs CINW6.08462100
Sep 5 '26@ CINL3.25655022
Aug 30 '26vs TEXL4.19746344
Aug 26 '26@ NYMW0.1100000
Aug 19 '26vs SEAL2.06617277
Cade Povich · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 31 '26@ COLW5.08745311
Aug 9 '26@ TEXW3.06124233
Aug 4 '26vs LAAW6.08877100
May 7 '26@ MIAL3.04313233
May 1 '26@ NYYL4.07747255
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Dustin May
IPERAKHBB
vs BAL6.03.00good5.08.02.0(1)
at BAL
last season · last met 396 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 18 '25vs BALL6.010058222
Cade Povich
IPERAKHBB
vs MIL
home starts5.83.10good5.37.31.0(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 4 '26vs LAAW6.08877100
Apr 12 '26vs SFGW6.29755011
Sep 25 '25vs TBRW5.299410255
Weather · Hitter Friendly
80°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph N
APF 105 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 7
  • MIL bullpen elevated (10.3 IP over 2g)
  • BAL bullpen fresh (2.3 IP over 1g)
  • MIL — Dustin May: 2026-08-30: 4 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 2.81 ERA equivalent
  • MIL — Dustin May: recent opponents high-K: TEX 26%, CIN 26%, CIN 26%
  • BAL — Cade Povich: 18 days since last start (2026-08-31) news ↗
  • BAL — Cade Povich: 2026-08-09: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.90 ERA equivalent
  • BAL — Cade Povich: recent opponents high-K: LAA 27%, TEX 28%
Dustin May o5.5 Strikeouts (+113)
Baltimore is striking out at a 31.1% clip vs RHP over its last 6 games, well above the level of the high-K clubs (Texas, Cincinnati twice) that May has already faced and produced 4, 5 and 6 strikeouts against. His 28.2% whiff rate over that span outpaces his own 25.0% K rate, suggesting his strikeout total is due to climb rather than regress. The plus-money price on the over doesn't account for an opponent this strikeout-prone.
ATH @ CLE
7:10 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Mason Barnett R
xERA7.87 (poor)ERA13.09 (poor)K%15.2 (below)Whiff%20.2 (avg)BB%17.0 (poor)
More Stats
HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%15.4 (poor)IP/gs3.7 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs77
CLE vs RHP
L6
wRC+116 (above)K%15.4 (elite)Whiff%20.5 (above)BB%10.8 (above)HH%45.3 (elite)
L12
wRC+137 (elite)K%16.5 (above)Whiff%18.7 (above)BB%9.0 (avg)HH%37.8 (avg)
Joey Cantillo LO
xERA5.26 (poor)ERA6.17 (poor)K%28.3 (elite)Whiff%23.2 (good)BB%13.3 (poor)
More Stats
HH%53.1 (poor)Barrel%12.5 (below)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.5PC/gs77
ATH vs LHP
L6
wRC+39 (poor)K%9.1 (elite)Whiff%16.2 (elite)BB%9.1 (avg)HH%16.7 (poor)
L12
wRC+80 (below)K%18.3 (above)Whiff%18.4 (above)BB%8.3 (avg)HH%27.3 (poor)
Bullpens · Last 12
ATH
xERA 4.11 (avg)ERA 3.48 (good)2d stress Elevated (10.0 IP/2g)
CLE
xERA 3.18 (good)ERA 3.02 (good)2d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATH+166+1.5 (-131)O8.5 (-106)CLE-195-1.5 (+112)U8.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATH+148+0.5 (+100)O4.5 (-130)CLE-180-0.5 (-130)U4.5 (+100)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UATH3.5 (+102/-120)1.5 (-135/+105)CLE4.5 (-120/-105)2.5 (-120/-110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UMason Barnett2.5 (-128 / +106)12.5 (-105 / -115)Joey Cantillo
Mason Barnett · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 17 '26@ KCRL2.28327466
Aug 11 '26vs TBRL4.06705356
Aug 6 '26@ CINL4.18275355
Jul 30 '26vs BOSL5.07364133
Jul 25 '26@ MINL3.1*5424122
Joey Cantillo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ MINL4.0*5681100
Sep 7 '26@ BALL2.17233544
Sep 2 '26vs TORL5.110269249
Aug 26 '26@ LAAW6.09212723
Aug 21 '26@ COLW4.28954411
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Joey Cantillo
IPERAKHBB
vs ATH4.09.00poor2.05.03.0(1)
this season · last met 140 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 1 '26@ ATHW4.06925344
home starts5.43.91avg6.05.72.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 2 '26vs TORL5.110269249
Aug 15 '26vs SDPW6.08771311
Aug 4 '26vs NYML5.08157225
Weather · Neutral Conditions
69°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph NNE
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 9
  • OPENER: CLE start Daniel Espino (RHP) (last 5 outings avg 1.3 IP (longest 2.0)), with Joey Cantillo (LHP) expected to carry the bulk of the innings. The stats and the hand shown are the bulk arm's — ATH's offense line is split against LHP, not the opener's.
  • ATH — Mason Barnett: avg 3.7 IP/gs over his last 3
  • ATH bullpen elevated (10.0 IP over 2g)
  • ATH — Mason Barnett: 32 days since last start (2026-08-17) news ↗
  • ATH — Mason Barnett: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-07-25, 2026-07-10
  • CLE — Joey Cantillo: 11 days since last start (2026-09-07) news ↗
  • CLE — Joey Cantillo: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-12
  • CLE — Joey Cantillo: last start: 72 pitches over 2.1 IP news ↗
  • CLE — Joey Cantillo: recent opponents high-K: LAA 27%, BAL 41%
CLE Team Total o4.5 (-120)
Mason Barnett carries a 13.09 ERA and 7.87 xERA over his last 3 starts, averaging just 3.7 IP/gs, while Cleveland's lineup has posted a 116 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games (137 over the last 12, confirming the form). Barnett's own bullpen is already elevated from recent stress, adding further scoring chances late. A 52% no-vig price on this total doesn't reflect how lopsided this specific pitching matchup is.
Mason Barnett u12.5 Outs (-115)
Barnett has averaged just 3.7 IP/gs (about 11 outs) over his last 3 starts, including a 2.2 IP outing, and is working off a 32-day layoff into a Cleveland lineup running a 116 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games. His walk rate (17.0% over that span) has been ending outings early, and nothing in his recent workload supports pushing past his own established depth.
BOS @ TBR
7:10 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Ranger Suarez L
xERA3.64 (good)ERA3.26 (good)K%16.7 (below)Whiff%17.3 (avg)BB%3.9 (elite)
More Stats
HH%37.7 (avg)Barrel%11.5 (below)IP/gs6.4 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs96
TBR vs LHP
L6
wRC+82 (below)K%9.8 (elite)Whiff%13.8 (elite)BB%6.6 (below)HH%29.4 (poor)
L12
wRC+83 (below)K%11.4 (elite)Whiff%14.6 (elite)BB%7.9 (below)HH%27.4 (poor)
Ian Seymour L
xERA2.63 (elite)ERA4.70 (below)K%34.9 (elite)Whiff%35.0 (elite)BB%3.2 (elite)
More Stats
HH%46.2 (poor)Barrel%12.8 (below)IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs81
BOS vs LHP
L6
wRC+62 (poor)K%20.0 (avg)Whiff%21.1 (avg)BB%9.2 (avg)HH%33.3 (below)
L12
wRC+41 (poor)K%27.9 (below)Whiff%23.5 (avg)BB%9.0 (avg)HH%30.7 (below)
Bullpens · Last 12
BOS
xERA 2.74 (elite)ERA 2.41 (elite)2d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
TBR
xERA 3.79 (avg)ERA 4.58 (below)2d stress Elevated (8.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalBOS+108-1.5 (+168)O7.5 (+106)TBR-125-1.5 (+168)U7.0 (+102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalBOS+110+0.5 (-154)O3.5 (-135)TBR-122-0.5 (+118)U3.5 (+104)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UBOS3.5 (+100/-125)1.5 (-120/-110)TBR3.5 (-111/-110)1.5 (-145/+114)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/URanger Suarez4.5 (-102 / -119)17.5 (-115 / -112)Ian Seymour5.5 (-120 / -105)15.5 (+112 / -146)
Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs KCRW7.09685011
Sep 4 '26@ BALW7.09135100
Aug 30 '26@ NYYL5.110129266
Aug 24 '26@ MIAW5.09344411
Aug 18 '26vs ARIW5.19334244
Ian Seymour · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs HOUW6.079104122
Sep 6 '26@ TEXL3.07525134
Aug 31 '26vs NYML6.188106033
Aug 25 '26@ DETL5.2*8857034
Aug 20 '26vs TORL5.09086133
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Ian Seymour
IPERAKHBB
vs BOS3.55.14below4.51.51.5(2)
all 2 this season · last met 62 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 18 '26@ BOSL3.06142233
Jun 8 '26vs BOSW4.05551111
home starts5.74.21avg9.35.30.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs HOUW6.079104122
Aug 31 '26vs NYML6.188106033
Aug 20 '26vs TORL5.09086133
Weather · Dome
Flags · 9
  • TBR bullpen elevated (8.0 IP over 2g)
  • BOS — Ranger Suarez: 2026-08-30: 6 ER in 5.1 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.64 ERA equivalent
  • BOS — Ranger Suarez: recent opponents high-K: BAL 41%, KCR 28%
  • TBR — Ian Seymour: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-25
  • TBR — Ian Seymour: last start: 79 pitches over 6.0 IP news ↗
  • TBR — Ian Seymour: 2026-09-06: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.71 ERA equivalent
  • TBR — Ian Seymour: low-K outing 2026-09-06 (2 Ks vs avg 7.3 over his last 3)
  • TBR — Ian Seymour: recent opponents high-K: NYM 25%, TEX 28%, HOU 27%
  • TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL East)
AI Analysis
Both offenses are muted against today's starter's hand — Boston is running just a 62 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 games and Tampa Bay sits at 82 vs LHP over the same span — leaving the total priced fairly at even money. Ian Seymour is elite by whiff rate but Boston's own K% (20.0% last 6) and whiff rate (21.1%) are both middling, so his strikeout number isn't clearly mispriced in either direction, and his outs line already reflects a recent short outing mixed with two deep ones. Ranger Suarez is priced fairly on both counts given a strong recent form against an ordinary Rays lineup.
PHI @ NYM
7:15 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Jose Urquidy R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?
NYM vs RHP
L6
wRC+124 (above)K%18.7 (above)Whiff%18.5 (above)BB%9.0 (avg)HH%50.0 (elite)
L12
wRC+153 (elite)K%16.8 (above)Whiff%18.3 (above)BB%10.5 (above)HH%46.2 (elite)
Zac Thornton L
xERA4.34 (avg)ERA5.29 (poor)K%21.4 (avg)Whiff%16.2 (below)BB%2.9 (elite)
More Stats
HH%50.0 (poor)Barrel%11.5 (below)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs87
PHI vs LHP
L6
wRC+87 (below)K%19.1 (above)Whiff%19.8 (above)BB%9.6 (above)HH%30.9 (below)
L12
wRC+115 (above)K%19.4 (above)Whiff%21.6 (avg)BB%8.7 (avg)HH%34.5 (below)
Bullpens · Last 12
PHI
xERA 5.00 (below)ERA 5.82 (poor)2d stress Fresh (4.0 IP/2g)
NYM
xERA 3.53 (good)ERA 4.89 (below)2d stress Elevated (9.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalPHI+102-1.5 (+165)O8.5 (-108)NYM-118-1.5 (+164)U8.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalPHI+102+0.5 (-144)O4.5 (-110)NYM-128-0.5 (+110)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UPHI3.5 (-145/+116)NYM4.5 (+120/-140)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJose UrquidyZac Thornton3.5 (-160 / +126)16.5 (-110 / -121)
Zac Thornton · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ NYYW7.08145122
Sep 5 '26vs SFGL5.08267166
Aug 30 '26vs HOUL5.09756022
Aug 25 '26vs MILW6.08947011
Aug 18 '26vs SDPL5.09977133
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Zac Thornton
IPERAKHBB
vs PHI6.01.50elite7.05.01.0(1)
this season · last met 84 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 26 '26vs PHIL6.07875111
home starts5.35.06below5.06.70.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 5 '26vs SFGL5.08267166
Aug 30 '26vs HOUL5.09756022
Aug 25 '26vs MILW6.08947011
Weather · Neutral Conditions
75°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 8 mph NNW
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 7
  • PHI — Jose Urquidy: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • PHI bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.00 over its last 12
  • PHI bullpen fresh (4.0 IP over 2g)
  • NYM bullpen elevated (9.0 IP over 2g)
  • NYM — Zac Thornton: 2026-09-05: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.09 ERA equivalent
  • TREND: NYM — was shut out 3-0 last time out (2026-09-17)
  • TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL East)
AI Analysis
Jose Urquidy is making his first start of the season with no underlying stats, which rules out betting the Phillies' side of any market tied to his performance. Zac Thornton's strikeout and outs props are already priced fairly against a middling Phillies lineup vs LHP, leaving no edge on his props either.
DET @ CHW
7:40 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Andrew Sears L
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?
CHW vs LHP
L6
wRC+162 (elite)K%24.3 (below)Whiff%24.7 (avg)BB%13.6 (elite)HH%55.2 (elite)
L12
wRC+133 (elite)K%28.9 (poor)Whiff%24.3 (avg)BB%12.0 (elite)HH%52.6 (elite)
David Sandlin R
xERA3.03 (good)ERA3.71 (good)K%22.1 (avg)Whiff%23.7 (good)BB%7.3 (avg)
More Stats
HH%31.9 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs86
DET vs RHP
L6
wRC+149 (elite)K%17.0 (above)Whiff%17.4 (elite)BB%15.5 (elite)HH%42.0 (above)
L12
wRC+117 (above)K%23.2 (avg)Whiff%23.3 (avg)BB%13.3 (elite)HH%35.6 (avg)
Bullpens · Last 12
DET
xERA 3.54 (good)ERA 1.93 (elite)2d stress Normal (7.0 IP/2g)
CHW
xERA 4.25 (avg)ERA 3.41 (good)2d stress Elevated (8.3 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalDET+110+1.5 (-185)O8.5 (-106)CHW-130-1.5 (+164)U8.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalDET+104+0.5 (-138)O4.5 (-120)CHW-130-0.5 (+106)U4.5 (-108)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UDET3.5 (-136/+114)2.5 (+130/-166)CHW4.5 (+114/-135)2.5 (+105/-135)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UAndrew Sears3.5 (-113 / -105)14.5 (-140 / +113)David Sandlin4.5 (+122 / -147)14.5 (+100 / -117)
Andrew Sears · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs COLW4.17757144
Sep 4 '26@ CLEL5.29344211
Aug 29 '26vs LADW2.2*4212000
Aug 23 '26@ KCRL4.0*7436155
David Sandlin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26@ STLL5.27052003
Aug 7 '26vs CLEL5.1*9647266
Jun 26 '26vs KCRW6.09163311
Jun 7 '26@ PHIL3.1*8163333
Jun 1 '26@ MINL4.08048488
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
David Sandlin
IPERAKHBB
vs DET
home starts6.01.50elite5.02.01.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 26 '26vs KCRW6.09163311
May 27 '26vs MINW6.06141011
Weather · Neutral Conditions
68°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph E
APF 99 — Neutral
Flags · 10
  • DET — Andrew Sears: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • CHW bullpen elevated (8.3 IP over 2g)
  • DET — Andrew Sears: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-29, 2026-08-23
  • DET — Andrew Sears: last start: 77 pitches over 4.1 IP news ↗
  • DET — Andrew Sears: 2026-09-12: 4 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 1 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.73 ERA equivalent
  • DET — Andrew Sears: recent opponents low-K: CLE 18%, COL 15%
  • CHW — David Sandlin: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-07, 2026-06-07
  • CHW — David Sandlin: last start: 70 pitches over 5.2 IP news ↗
  • CHW — David Sandlin: 2026-06-01: 8 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 18); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.75 ERA equivalent
  • TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL Central)
AI Analysis
Andrew Sears is making his first start of the season with no underlying stats to handicap, which rules out any side, total, or prop resting on his side of the ledger. David Sandlin's strikeout number is already fairly priced against a Tigers lineup with a low 17.0% K% vs RHP over its last 6 games, and his outs line matches his established recent depth, leaving no clear edge on either prop.
TOR @ TEX
8:05 PM · Globe Life Field (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Dylan Cease R
xERA3.65 (good)ERA2.81 (elite)K%28.4 (elite)Whiff%26.5 (good)BB%10.4 (below)
More Stats
HH%29.3 (elite)Barrel%9.8 (avg)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs90
TEX vs RHP
L6
wRC+82 (below)K%26.4 (below)Whiff%31.8 (poor)BB%7.0 (below)HH%42.4 (above)
L12
wRC+91 (below)K%25.7 (below)Whiff%29.8 (poor)BB%8.8 (avg)HH%41.6 (above)
Kumar Rocker R
xERA3.94 (avg)ERA6.00 (poor)K%26.8 (good)Whiff%26.9 (good)BB%10.7 (below)
More Stats
HH%34.3 (good)Barrel%8.6 (avg)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs7.5PC/gs75
TOR vs RHP
L6
wRC+150 (elite)K%18.2 (above)Whiff%18.2 (above)BB%13.5 (elite)HH%34.2 (below)
L12
wRC+137 (elite)K%17.5 (above)Whiff%17.1 (elite)BB%10.1 (above)HH%38.9 (avg)
Bullpens · Last 12
TOR
xERA 3.81 (avg)ERA 2.75 (elite)2d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
TEX
xERA 3.04 (good)ERA 4.50 (below)2d stress Stressed (13.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTOR-136-1.5 (+130)O7.5 (-115)TEX+120+1.5 (-138)U7.5 (-102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalTOR-145-0.5 (+100)O4.5 (+108)TEX+116+0.5 (-130)U4.5 (-140)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UTOR4.5 (+112/-140)2.5 (+124/-160)TEX3.5 (+100/-128)1.5 (-115/-115)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UDylan Cease7.5 (+124 / +119)17.5 (-171 / +130)Kumar Rocker4.5 (+134 / -163)15.5 (+141 / +148)
Dylan Cease · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26vs BALW5.09494511
Sep 7 '26@ ATHL5.09464245
Sep 2 '26@ CLEW6.08344000
Aug 28 '26vs SEAW6.09284111
Aug 22 '26@ NYYW6.211182511
Kumar Rocker · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ ARIW4.06552211
Sep 4 '26vs TBRL5.0*7339056
Aug 30 '26@ MILW3.08674422
Aug 24 '26@ CHWW5.29385322
Aug 19 '26vs WSNL5.09236122
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Dylan Cease
IPERAKHBB
vs TEX4.28.57poor10.04.05.0(1)
at TEX
this season · last met 83 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 27 '26vs TEXL4.2107104544
Kumar Rocker
IPERAKHBB
vs TOR6.00.00elite5.04.01.0(1)
this season · last met 82 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 28 '26@ TORW6.09254100
home starts4.09.00poor4.06.51.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 19 '26vs WSNL5.09236122
Aug 9 '26vs BALL3.06957266
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 5
  • TOR bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g)
  • TEX bullpen stressed (13.0 IP over 2g)
  • TOR — Dylan Cease: 2026-09-07: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.90 ERA equivalent
  • TEX — Kumar Rocker: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-04
  • TEX — Kumar Rocker: last start: 65 pitches over 4.0 IP news ↗
AI Analysis
Dylan Cease and Kumar Rocker are both throwing well by recent form, and Toronto's hot offense vs RHP is largely offset by Texas' bullpen being the more stressed of the two, leaving the side and total close to fairly priced. Cease's high strikeout line already reflects his elite recent K rate, and Rocker's short recent outings are already baked into his modest outs number, leaving no clear mispricing on either prop.
ATL @ HOU
8:10 PM · Daikin Park (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Tyler Mahle R
xERA2.38 (elite)ERA0.92 (elite)K%20.5 (avg)Whiff%25.2 (good)BB%1.4 (elite)
More Stats
HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%3.5 (elite)IP/gs6.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs93
HOU vs RHP
L6
wRC+90 (below)K%22.1 (avg)Whiff%21.5 (avg)BB%8.9 (avg)HH%34.3 (below)
L12
wRC+102 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)Whiff%22.6 (avg)BB%6.5 (below)HH%34.4 (below)
Peter Lambert R
xERA4.16 (avg)ERA4.08 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)Whiff%20.8 (avg)BB%6.7 (good)
More Stats
HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%3.9 (elite)IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs96
ATL vs RHP
L6
wRC+150 (elite)K%14.8 (elite)Whiff%22.4 (avg)BB%9.7 (above)HH%38.6 (avg)
L12
wRC+106 (avg)K%16.5 (above)Whiff%20.9 (above)BB%6.9 (below)HH%39.7 (avg)
Bullpens · Last 12
ATL
xERA 3.82 (avg)ERA 3.92 (avg)2d stress Normal (3.3 IP/1g)
HOU
xERA 3.29 (good)ERA 4.34 (avg)2d stress Stressed (12.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATL-116-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-102)HOU+100+1.5 (-164)U8.0 (-102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATL-115-0.5 (+114)O4.5 (-118)HOU-104+0.5 (-148)U4.5 (-110)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UATL4.5 (+114/-135)1.5 (-160/+124)HOU3.5 (-135/+106)1.5 (-160/+124)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UTyler Mahle4.5 (+106 / -127)17.5 (-108 / -117)Peter Lambert4.5 (-150 / +118)17.5 (-102 / -128)
Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs PHIW7.09736011
Sep 6 '26@ PHIW6.09434102
Aug 30 '26vs COLW6.28995011
Aug 23 '26@ MILW5.09446211
Aug 18 '26@ MINL6.27636122
Peter Lambert · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ TBRL6.08546033
Sep 6 '26vs ARIL7.09867033
Aug 31 '26vs CHWW4.210463522
Aug 26 '26@ NYYL5.210257323
Aug 20 '26vs LAAL3.27938299
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Tyler Mahle
IPERAKHBB
vs HOU6.01.50elite3.05.02.0(1)
at HOU
last season · last met 489 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 17 '25vs HOUW6.09635211
Peter Lambert
IPERAKHBB
vs ATL
home starts4.88.75poor5.06.02.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 6 '26vs ARIL7.09867033
Aug 31 '26vs CHWW4.210463522
Aug 20 '26vs LAAL3.27938299
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 4
  • ATL offense: Whiff% 22.4 (last 6) runs well above what K% 14.8 shows
  • HOU bullpen stressed (12.0 IP over 2g)
  • ATL — Tyler Mahle: high-K outing 2026-08-30 (9 Ks vs avg 5.0 over his last 3)
  • ATL — Tyler Mahle: recent opponents low-K: COL 18%, PHI 15%, PHI 15%
HOU Team Total u3.5 (+106)
Houston's offense has managed just a 90 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games, and it now faces Tyler Mahle, who is running a 2.38 xERA and 0.94 ERA across his last 3 starts with a microscopic 1.4% walk rate. Mahle's command and Houston's cold recent form vs right-handers line up cleanly, and the market's 46% no-vig price on the under leaves value against a lineup unlikely to clear even a modest total.
Tyler Mahle o17.5 Outs (-108)
Mahle has gone 6.2, 6.0 and 7.0 innings in his last three starts, clearing 18 outs every time, powered by a 1.4% walk rate that keeps his pitch counts efficient. Houston's bullpen is stressed off heavy recent usage, giving the Astros every incentive to lean on length wherever they can find it. A 49% no-vig price undervalues a starter who has cleared this exact number in three straight outings.
SEA @ COL
8:10 PM · Coors FieldRainy, Windy
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Bryan Woo R
xERA2.38 (elite)ERA0.45 (elite)K%27.6 (good)Whiff%24.5 (good)BB%6.6 (good)
More Stats
HH%26.0 (elite)Barrel%4.0 (elite)IP/gs6.7 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs94
COL vs RHP
L6
wRC+106 (avg)K%18.0 (above)Whiff%21.4 (avg)BB%3.9 (poor)HH%30.9 (below)
L12
wRC+100 (avg)K%23.6 (avg)Whiff%23.8 (avg)BB%5.1 (poor)HH%31.2 (below)
Ryan Feltner R
xERA2.50 (elite)ERA4.80 (below)K%19.1 (avg)Whiff%22.1 (avg)BB%7.9 (avg)
More Stats
HH%32.6 (good)Barrel%8.7 (avg)IP/gs7.5 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs80
SEA vs RHP
L6
wRC+139 (elite)K%16.1 (above)Whiff%24.3 (avg)BB%6.2 (poor)HH%46.5 (elite)
L12
wRC+122 (above)K%21.0 (avg)Whiff%25.8 (below)BB%6.1 (poor)HH%45.4 (elite)
Bullpens · Last 12
SEA
xERA 3.25 (good)ERA 4.10 (avg)2d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
COL
xERA 4.56 (below)ERA 7.80 (poor)2d stress Elevated (10.7 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSEA-186-1.5 (-118)O10.5 (-110)COL+156+1.5 (+100)U10.5 (-110)
Team Totals
Full Game O/USEA5.5 (-140/+110)COL4.5 (+105/-135)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UBryan Woo4.5 (-137 / +108)17.5 (-166 / +125)Ryan Feltner
Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ ATHW6.08053201
Sep 6 '26vs ATHW8.010291200
Sep 1 '26@ BOSW6.09975112
Aug 26 '26vs PHIL4.07655166
Aug 16 '26@ HOUW6.07553122
Ryan Feltner · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 15 '26vs SDPW5.0*6153100
Sep 10 '26@ NYYL5.08326144
Sep 4 '26vs STLL5.09556334
Aug 30 '26@ ATLL4.0*7165201
Aug 24 '26@ WSNL5.210366457
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Ryan Feltner
IPERAKHBB
vs SEA
home starts5.09.00poor4.07.03.0(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 4 '26vs STLL5.09556334
Aug 18 '26vs LADL5.08338377
Weather · Rainy, Windy
73°F, Overcast, Wind 18 mph WSW
APF 113 — Hitter Friendly · Rain possible (34%)
Flags · 6
  • SEA bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g)
  • COL bullpen elevated (10.7 IP over 2g)
  • COL — Ryan Feltner: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-15, 2026-08-30
  • WEATHER: rain risk 34% — game delay or conditions may affect performance
  • WEATHER: wind Cross Wind L 18 mph from the WSW
  • WEATHER: hitter-friendly park (APF 113)
AI Analysis
Bryan Woo's dominant recent form (0.45 ERA, 2.38 xERA over his last 3 starts) is already reflected in a total posted at 10.5, matching the Coors Field environment, and Colorado's average-at-best offense vs RHP doesn't clear the bar against him at the posted team total. Woo's own strikeout and outs props are priced close to his actual recent output, and Ryan Feltner's props aren't posted, so there's no separate mispricing to act on there.
WSN @ STL
8:15 PM · Busch StadiumHot
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Cade Cavalli R
xERA2.04 (elite)ERA2.25 (elite)K%39.7 (elite)Whiff%40.4 (elite)BB%7.9 (avg)
More Stats
HH%20.7 (elite)Barrel%3.5 (elite)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs2.3PC/gs90
STL vs RHP
L6
wRC+70 (poor)K%19.1 (above)Whiff%20.1 (above)BB%10.7 (above)HH%47.0 (elite)
L12
wRC+105 (avg)K%18.9 (above)Whiff%20.6 (above)BB%10.5 (above)HH%45.7 (elite)
Kyle Leahy R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?
WSN vs RHP
L6
wRC+90 (below)K%24.4 (below)Whiff%24.0 (avg)BB%7.9 (below)HH%45.4 (elite)
L12
wRC+63 (poor)K%24.9 (below)Whiff%24.4 (avg)BB%7.4 (below)HH%46.4 (elite)
Bullpens · Last 12
WSN
xERA 4.80 (below)ERA 6.89 (poor)2d stress Stressed (8.7 IP/1g)
STL
xERA 4.48 (avg)ERA 5.79 (poor)2d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalWSN-104-1.5 (+164)O7.5 (-116)STL-112+1.5 (-186)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalWSN-120-0.5 (+116)O4.5 (+108)STL-104+0.5 (-152)U4.5 (-140)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UWSN3.5 (-130/+102)1.5 (-140/+110)STL3.5 (-125/+100)1.5 (-135/+105)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UCade Cavalli6.5 (+114 / -123)17.5 (-117 / -102)Kyle Leahy3.5 (+131 / +128)8.5 (-208 / +161)
Cade Cavalli · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 11 '26vs LAAW6.09693222
Sep 5 '26@ LADL6.010384022
Aug 29 '26vs MIAW4.07080300
Aug 24 '26vs COLW6.09375122
Aug 19 '26@ TEXW6.084113100
Kyle Leahy · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs CHWL3.03842000
Sep 6 '26@ COLW2.25566055
Aug 29 '26vs PITL3.05134111
Aug 23 '26@ PHIL4.06342200
Aug 18 '26@ CINW5.09063000
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Cade Cavalli
IPERAKHBB
vs STL4.22.14elite3.04.04.0(1)
at STL
this season · last met 164 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 7 '26vs STLL4.29434412
Kyle Leahy
IPERAKHBB
vs WSN
home starts3.71.64elite4.34.00.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs CHWL3.03842000
Aug 29 '26vs PITL3.05134111
Aug 12 '26vs PHIW5.08166011
Weather · Hot
91°F, Clear, Wind 5 mph ENE
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 7
  • STL — Kyle Leahy: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • WSN bullpen stressed (8.7 IP over 1g)
  • STL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g)
  • WSN — Cade Cavalli: recent opponents high-K: MIA 27%, LAA 28%
  • STL — Kyle Leahy: last start: 38 pitches over 3.0 IP news ↗
  • STL — Kyle Leahy: 2026-09-06: 5 ER in 2.2 IP (ERA equiv 20); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.50 ERA equivalent
  • TREND: WSN — was shut out 3-0 last time out (2026-09-16)
AI Analysis
Kyle Leahy is making his first start of the season with no stats to handicap, which rules out betting St. Louis' side of any market or his own props. Cade Cavalli is excellent by every recent measure, but that dominance is already reflected in Washington's short moneyline and his own strikeout and outs prices, leaving no separate edge to act on.
MIN @ LAA
9:38 PM · Angel StadiumNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Connor Prielipp L
xERA2.89 (elite)ERA3.14 (good)K%19.0 (avg)Whiff%19.3 (avg)BB%1.7 (elite)
More Stats
HH%36.4 (avg)Barrel%2.3 (elite)IP/gs14.3 IP/gsH/gs13.0PC/gs73
LAA vs LHP
L6
wRC+68 (poor)K%27.1 (below)Whiff%27.9 (below)BB%10.0 (above)HH%34.9 (below)
L12
wRC+132 (elite)K%23.5 (avg)Whiff%25.3 (below)BB%8.1 (avg)HH%47.1 (elite)
G. Rodriguez R
xERA5.00 (below)ERA6.46 (poor)K%19.7 (avg)Whiff%25.4 (good)BB%9.9 (avg)
More Stats
HH%48.0 (poor)Barrel%8.0 (good)IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs92
MIN vs RHP
L6
wRC+89 (below)K%23.9 (avg)Whiff%24.4 (avg)BB%8.0 (avg)HH%37.3 (avg)
L12
wRC+97 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)Whiff%22.2 (avg)BB%9.2 (avg)HH%41.9 (above)
Bullpens · Last 12
MIN
xERA 4.21 (avg)ERA 5.94 (poor)2d stress Elevated (9.3 IP/2g)
LAA
xERA 3.97 (avg)ERA 3.53 (good)2d stress Normal (7.7 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIN-120-1.5 (+135)O8.5 (-102)LAA+108+1.5 (-160)U8.5 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIN-135-0.5 (+102)O4.5 (-106)LAA+112+0.5 (-132)U4.5 (-122)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UMIN4.5 (+106/-130)2.5 (+120/-154)LAA3.5 (-120/+105)1.5 (-140/+110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UConnor Prielipp5.5 (-122 / -102)14.5 (-200 / +149)G. Rodriguez4.5 (-108 / -115)16.5 (-120 / +100)
Connor Prielipp · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs CLEW5.17715033
Sep 7 '26@ DETL4.0*6855022
Sep 1 '26vs DETW5.0*7353100
Aug 26 '26@ ATHL5.17856133
Aug 21 '26@ SDPL6.09678266
G. Rodriguez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26@ WSNL5.19347122
Sep 7 '26@ BOSL4.08236455
Sep 1 '26vs NYYL6.010277244
Aug 26 '26vs CLEL5.29247111
Aug 20 '26@ HOUW7.09965202
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
G. Rodriguez
IPERAKHBB
vs MIN5.15.29poor0.06.01.0(1)
this season · last met 70 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 10 '26@ MINW5.17906133
home starts5.14.74below5.35.71.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 1 '26vs NYYL6.010277244
Aug 26 '26vs CLEL5.29247111
Aug 14 '26vs KCRL4.08953233
Weather · Neutral Conditions
74°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph WSW
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 4
  • MIN bullpen elevated (9.3 IP over 2g)
  • MIN — Connor Prielipp: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-07, 2026-09-01
  • MIN — Connor Prielipp: last start: 77 pitches over 5.1 IP news ↗
  • MIN — Connor Prielipp: recent opponents low-K: SDP 9%, ATH 9%, CLE 18%
AI Analysis
Minnesota's offense is below average vs RHP and LA Angels' offense has collapsed to a 68 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 games, which mostly cancels out any side or total edge despite Connor Prielipp's excellent recent process against G. Rodriguez's rough form. Prielipp's own strikeout and outs props are already priced to reflect his dominance, and Rodriguez's props are fair given his own inconsistent recent outings.
NYY @ ARI
9:40 PM · Chase Field (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Gerrit Cole R
xERA6.86 (poor)ERA6.48 (poor)K%16.4 (below)Whiff%17.8 (avg)BB%1.4 (elite)
More Stats
HH%61.7 (poor)Barrel%15.0 (below)IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs7.7PC/gs84
ARI vs RHP
L6
wRC+133 (elite)K%23.0 (avg)Whiff%20.7 (above)BB%8.1 (avg)HH%44.9 (above)
L12
wRC+116 (above)K%22.4 (avg)Whiff%23.3 (avg)BB%9.4 (avg)HH%39.6 (avg)
E. Rodriguez L
xERA2.66 (elite)ERA3.86 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)Whiff%28.3 (elite)BB%8.0 (avg)
More Stats
HH%25.0 (elite)Barrel%3.9 (elite)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs99
NYY vs LHP
L6
wRC+140 (elite)K%15.7 (elite)Whiff%17.4 (elite)BB%7.8 (below)HH%51.3 (elite)
L12
wRC+172 (elite)K%18.5 (above)Whiff%17.1 (elite)BB%12.0 (elite)HH%45.3 (elite)
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 4.46 (avg)ERA 3.07 (good)2d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)
ARI
xERA 2.82 (elite)ERA 2.30 (elite)2d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY-126-1.5 (+136)O8.0 (-110)ARI+110+1.5 (-150)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalNYY-140-0.5 (+104)O4.5 (+100)ARI+112+0.5 (-135)U4.5 (-130)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UNYY4.5 (+114/-130)2.5 (+120/-154)ARI3.5 (-111/-105)1.5 (-135/+105)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UGerrit Cole4.5 (-130 / +104)15.5 (-139 / +108)E. Rodriguez5.5 (+128 / +115)17.5 (-103 / -120)
Gerrit Cole · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs NYML4.17749055
Sep 6 '26@ SDPL7.08436044
Sep 1 '26@ LAAW5.19058133
Aug 27 '26vs HOUL6.07956133
Aug 20 '26@ BALW6.09384111
E. Rodriguez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26vs TEXL5.19978136
Sep 6 '26@ HOUW6.09663211
Sep 1 '26vs PHIL5.010338333
Aug 26 '26vs CHCW7.010492300
Aug 21 '26vs CINW5.29944200
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
E. Rodriguez
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY
home starts5.73.16good6.36.02.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26vs TEXL5.19978136
Sep 1 '26vs PHIL5.010338333
Aug 26 '26vs CHCW7.010492300
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 5
  • ARI — E. Rodriguez: Whiff% 28.3 (last 3 starts) runs well above what K% 21.3 shows
  • NYY bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g)
  • ARI bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g)
  • NYY — Gerrit Cole: last start: 77 pitches over 4.1 IP news ↗
  • ARI — E. Rodriguez: recent opponents high-K: HOU 27%, TEX 28%
ARI Team Total o3.5 (-111)
Gerrit Cole has allowed 3, 4 and 5 earned runs in his last three starts, posting a 6.48 ERA and 6.86 xERA with a 61.7% hard-hit rate that shows the results aren't a fluke. Arizona's lineup has produced a 133 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 games, backed by an elevated NYY bullpen behind him. The market's 51% no-vig price on the over undersells how often this offense clears 3.5 runs against a starter this compromised.
MIA @ SDP
9:40 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Tyler Phillips R
xERA3.78 (avg)ERA3.29 (good)K%18.9 (avg)Whiff%24.7 (good)BB%11.3 (below)
More Stats
HH%35.1 (avg)Barrel%8.1 (avg)IP/gs4.6 IP/gsH/gs2.7PC/gs71
SDP vs RHP
L6
wRC+149 (elite)K%20.2 (avg)Whiff%20.5 (above)BB%8.2 (avg)HH%36.6 (avg)
L12
wRC+135 (elite)K%18.6 (above)Whiff%21.8 (avg)BB%8.5 (avg)HH%39.8 (avg)
Nick Pivetta R
xERA3.67 (good)ERA1.50 (elite)K%25.6 (good)Whiff%15.4 (below)BB%0.0 (elite)
More Stats
HH%43.8 (below)Barrel%15.6 (poor)IP/gs4.0 IP/gsH/gs2.3PC/gs59
MIA vs RHP
L6
wRC+112 (avg)K%27.0 (below)Whiff%26.7 (below)BB%8.7 (avg)HH%37.3 (avg)
L12
wRC+124 (above)K%23.1 (avg)Whiff%24.0 (avg)BB%9.9 (above)HH%42.5 (above)
Bullpens · Last 12
MIA
xERA 3.64 (good)ERA 4.15 (avg)2d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
SDP
xERA 3.15 (good)ERA 3.96 (avg)2d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIA+167+1.5 (-136)O7.5 (-110)SDP-196-1.5 (+118)U7.5 (-104)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIA+160+0.5 (-104)O4.5 (+102)SDP-184-0.5 (-125)U4.5 (-132)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UMIA3.5 (+114/-145)1.5 (-105/-125)SDP4.5 (+110/-130)2.5 (-105/-125)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UTyler Phillips3.5 (+112 / -136)14.5 (+103 / -105)Nick Pivetta5.5 (+128 / +125)15.5 (+146 / +135)
Tyler Phillips · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs LADW3.26832322
Sep 6 '26vs CHCW5.07635133
Sep 1 '26@ KCRW5.06941200
Aug 25 '26vs BOSL4.28473311
Aug 18 '26@ PHIL2.0*4232211
Nick Pivetta · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 13 '26@ SFGW4.06955022
Sep 7 '26vs WSNW5.06322000
Apr 12 '26vs COLW3.04640000
Apr 7 '26@ PITL5.08684122
Apr 1 '26vs SFGW5.08281200
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Nick Pivetta
IPERAKHBB
vs MIA
home starts4.30.00elite4.71.00.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 7 '26vs WSNW5.06322000
Apr 12 '26vs COLW3.04640000
Apr 1 '26vs SFGW5.08281200
Weather · Neutral Conditions
72°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 8 mph NW
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 6
  • SDP — Nick Pivetta: K% 25.6 (last 3 starts) runs well above what Whiff% 15.4 supports
  • MIA bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g)
  • MIA — Tyler Phillips: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-18
  • MIA — Tyler Phillips: last start: 68 pitches over 3.2 IP news ↗
  • MIA — Tyler Phillips: recent opponents low-K: CHC 13%, LAD 18%
  • SDP — Nick Pivetta: last start: 69 pitches over 4.0 IP news ↗
AI Analysis
San Diego's elite recent offense (149 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6) against a decent Miami starter is already reflected in a heavily favored SDP price and team total, leaving no separate mispricing to exploit. Both Tyler Phillips' and Nick Pivetta's strikeout and outs props are priced in line with their established recent workloads and command, without a clean edge on either side.
SFG @ LAD
10:15 PM · UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Cesar Perdomo L
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gsH/gs?PC/gs?
LAD vs LHP
L6
wRC+83 (below)K%17.4 (above)Whiff%20.0 (above)BB%14.5 (elite)HH%37.0 (avg)
L12
wRC+115 (above)K%20.4 (avg)Whiff%25.4 (below)BB%15.7 (elite)HH%36.8 (avg)
Tyler Glasnow R
xERA4.39 (avg)ERA4.76 (below)K%29.2 (elite)Whiff%30.6 (elite)BB%11.1 (below)
More Stats
HH%45.2 (poor)Barrel%11.9 (below)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs91
SFG vs RHP
L6
wRC+157 (elite)K%24.4 (below)Whiff%24.7 (avg)BB%8.7 (avg)HH%35.7 (avg)
L12
wRC+125 (above)K%22.5 (avg)Whiff%22.3 (avg)BB%8.1 (avg)HH%34.2 (below)
Bullpens · Last 12
SFG
xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 2.96 (elite)2d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)
LAD
xERA 3.52 (good)ERA 4.81 (below)2d stress Stressed (13.0 IP/2g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSFG+247+1.5 (+115)O8.5 (+106)LAD-295-1.5 (-134)U8.0 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSFG+210+1.5 (-154)O4.5 (+102)LAD-260-1.5 (+118)U4.5 (-132)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/USFG2.5 (-125/+108)1.5 (+120/-154)LAD4.5 (-128/+110)2.5 (-130/+100)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UCesar Perdomo2.5 (-150 / +129)13.5 (-134 / +101)Tyler Glasnow6.5 (-142 / +116)17.5 (-130 / +106)
Cesar Perdomo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs SDPL4.274310255
Sep 6 '26@ NYML6.08343100
Sep 1 '26@ PITL4.0*5843111
Tyler Glasnow · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26@ MIAL4.09175444
Sep 5 '26vs WSNW6.09686344
Aug 30 '26@ DETW7.08562111
Aug 25 '26@ ATLL5.08976033
May 6 '26@ HOUW1.01921011
SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Tyler Glasnow
IPERAKHBB
vs SFG6.42.34elite6.73.33.0(3)
1 this season, 2 last season · last met 148 days ago
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 23 '26@ SFGW8.010591100
Sep 20 '25vs SFGW5.010176444
Sep 14 '25@ SFGW6.210843411
home starts5.75.23below8.04.73.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 5 '26vs WSNW6.09686344
Apr 29 '26vs MIAL5.29293622
Apr 10 '26vs TEXW6.010075144
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph WSW
APF 103 — Neutral
Flags · 8
  • SFG — Cesar Perdomo: first start of the season — no stats available yet
  • SFG bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g)
  • LAD bullpen stressed (13.0 IP over 2g)
  • SFG — Cesar Perdomo: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-01
  • SFG — Cesar Perdomo: last start: 74 pitches over 4.2 IP news ↗
  • SFG — Cesar Perdomo: 2026-09-12: 5 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 1 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.00 ERA equivalent
  • LAD — Tyler Glasnow: 2026-09-12: 4 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.64 ERA equivalent
  • TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL West)
AI Analysis
Cesar Perdomo is making his first start of the season with no stats to handicap, ruling out any side, total or prop resting on his side of the game. Tyler Glasnow's strikeout number is fairly priced off a strong recent whiff rate, and his outs line matches his established recent depth, leaving no edge on his props either.
Legend · badges & abbreviations
Badges
R / LThe pitcher throws right- or left-handed.OOpener. A short reliever starts; the stats shown are the BULK arm’s, the pitcher expected to carry most of the game. Hover the badge for the opener’s name.BPBullpen game. No conventional starter — expect a parade of relievers. Starter props and first-5 reads do not really apply.2uA two-unit pick: the model rated the mispricing strong enough to stake double. Everything else is one unit.This game carries an AI pick. Open the card’s AI Analysis section.NEUTRAL SITEPlayed at neither club’s home park, so the park factor is suppressed — it would describe the wrong venue.
Starting pitcher · last 3 starts
xERAExpected ERA from contact quality and strikeouts — what he deserved, with luck and defence stripped out.ERAActual earned runs allowed per nine, over the SAME three starts.K%Share of batters faced struck out.Whiff%Swings missed. A process stat: it moves before K% does.BB%Share of batters faced walked.HH%Hard-hit rate allowed (95+ mph off the bat).Barrel%Share of batted balls hit at the ideal speed-and-angle combination.IP/gsInnings per game started — how deep he normally goes.H/gsHits allowed per start.PC/gsPitches thrown per start.
Offense
wRC+Runs created per plate appearance, park- and league-adjusted. 100 is league average; 130 is 30% better.L6 / L12The last 6 and last 12 games. L6 is the primary read; L12 is the same lineup over a longer window, for context.vs RHP / vs LHPSplit against the hand today’s opposing starter throws.all handsNot split — shown on a bullpen game, where no one starter’s hand governs enough of the game to split on.
Bullpen
2d stressRelief innings thrown over the past two calendar days, per game played: Fresh, Normal, Elevated or Stressed. A stressed pen buys the starter innings; a fresh one takes them away.
Odds
MLMoneyline — who wins, no handicap.SpreadRun line. Baseball’s is almost always ±1.5.O/UOver/under on a total.F5First five innings only — largely a bet on the two starters, with little bullpen exposure.Team TotalRuns by ONE club, rather than both added together.no-vigThe market’s own probability with the book’s margin divided out — what the price implies before the house edge.
Recent-outing table
Opp / ResOpponent, and the result of that start.IP / PCInnings pitched and pitches thrown in that outing.K / H / BB / ER / RStrikeouts, hits, walks, earned runs and total runs.
Weather and park
APFAdjusted park factor. 100 is neutral; above favours hitters, below favours pitchers. Suppressed at a neutral site.Out / In / CrossWind relative to the field: blowing out to the outfield, in toward the plate, or across it.Dome / Roof ClosedPlayed indoors — no wind and no rain.RetractableA roof that MAY be open. The readings are the outdoor forecast and apply only if it is.