MLB Game Overviews

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Noah Cameron L

xERA3.78 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%30.2 (good)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA4.11IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs101BB%2.9

TBR vs LHP

wRC+80 (below avg)K%18.8 (above avg)HH%30.2 (below avg)

Griffin Jax R

xERA5.17 (below avg)K%25.4 (good)HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%12.8 (below avg)ERA1.20IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs73BB%3.6

KCR vs RHP

wRC+141 (elite)K%17.1 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalKCR+120+1.5 (-180)O8.5 (-105)TBR-136-1.5 (+164)U8.5 (-114)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalKCR+106+0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-113)TBR-132-0.5 (+108)U4.5 (-115)

Team Totals

OverUnderKCRO3.5 (-130)U3.5 (+106)TBRO4.5 (+114)U4.5 (-135)

Noah Cameron · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L5.010858355

Jun 18vs W5.010868234

Jun 13vs L4.18617044

Jun 7@ W6.010473001

Jun 2@ L7.08781011

Griffin Jax · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W5.08875202

Jun 19vs W5.06954022

Jun 13@ L5.06355001

Jun 7@ L5.06243200

Jun 1vs L4.07257166

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Noah Cameron

IPERAKHBB

vs TBR5.54.054.04.54.0(2)

at TBR5.54.054.04.54.0(2)

Griffin Jax

IPERAKHBB

vs KCR5.00.007.05.02.0(1)

home starts4.75.145.75.31.0(3)

Trends

KCR

• KCR are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• KCR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• KCR are 2-3 in Noah Cameron's last 5 starts.
• KCR are 1-4 in Noah Cameron's last 5 away starts.
• KCR average 6.6 runs/game in Noah Cameron's last 5 starts.
• KCR average 3.4 runs/game in Noah Cameron's last 5 away starts.

TBR

• TBR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• TBR are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
• TBR are 2-3 in Griffin Jax's last 5 starts.
• TBR are 4-1 in Griffin Jax's last 5 home starts.
• TBR average 4.0 runs/game in Griffin Jax's last 5 starts.
• TBR average 5.6 runs/game in Griffin Jax's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

KCR

xERA 4.14 (avg)ERA 4.50

TBR

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 5.44

Weather · Dome

Dome

Flags · 3

• TBR — Griffin Jax: Barrel% 13% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• KCR — Noah Cameron: last start: 108 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
• KCR — Noah Cameron: recent opponents low-K: STL 14%, TBR 19% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Bryan Woo R

xERA4.09 (avg)K%26.7 (good)HH%48.1 (poor)Barrel%9.6 (avg)ERA5.89IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs86BB%2.7

PIT vs RHP

wRC+134 (elite)K%23.8 (avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Braxton Ashcraft R

xERA3.44 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%4.0 (elite)ERA5.06IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs90BB%6.9

SEA vs RHP

wRC+69 (poor)K%23.8 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSEA-138-1.5 (+126)O8.5 (-108)PIT+120+1.5 (-143)U8.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSEA-152-0.5 (-108)O4.5 (-115)PIT+122+0.5 (-120)U4.5 (-113)

Team Totals

OverUnderSEAO4.5 (-106)U4.5 (-115)PITO3.5 (-120)U3.5 (+100)

Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.08646255

Jun 18vs W7.08993100

Jun 11@ L5.08247177

Jun 5@ L6.19079055

May 30vs W7.08692000

Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W6.086105011

Jun 17@ W6.09374312

Jun 12vs L5.09045222

Jun 6@ L5.08659066

May 31vs W6.080115022

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Bryan Woo

IPERAKHBB

vs PIT5.04.506.04.52.0(2)

at PIT4.011.254.06.02.0(1)

Braxton Ashcraft

IPERAKHBB

vs SEA6.01.5010.05.00.0(1)

home starts5.72.658.35.00.7(3)

Trends

SEA

• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• SEA are 2-3 in Bryan Woo's last 5 starts.
• SEA are 1-4 in Bryan Woo's last 5 away starts.
• SEA average 3.4 runs/game in Bryan Woo's last 5 starts.
• SEA average 5.0 runs/game in Bryan Woo's last 5 away starts.

PIT

• PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• PIT are 3-2 in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 starts.
• PIT are 3-2 in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 home starts.
• PIT average 7.6 runs/game in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 starts.
• PIT average 8.8 runs/game in Braxton Ashcraft's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

SEA

xERA 2.53 (elite)ERA 4.68

PIT

xERA 3.86 (avg)ERA 5.11

Weather · Neutral Conditions

80°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 10 mph SW

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 2

• SEA — Bryan Woo: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• SEA — Bryan Woo: recent opponents high-K: BAL 27%, BAL 27% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Gage Jump L

xERA2.91 (elite)K%23.2 (good)HH%30.4 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)ERA1.47IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs93BB%10.1

SFG vs LHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%19.6 (above avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Tyler Mahle R

xERA2.86 (elite)K%22.4 (avg)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA8.40IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs77BB%6.0

ATH vs RHP

wRC+150 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%36.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+113+1.5 (-180)O8.5 (-115)SFG-130-1.5 (+160)U8.5 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATH+110+0.5 (-135)O4.5 (-102)SFG-138-0.5 (+104)U4.5 (-128)

Team Totals

OverUnderATHO3.5 (-145)U3.5 (+114)SFGO4.5 (+104)U4.5 (-125)

Gage Jump · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L5.09793100

Jun 18vs W7.010771300

Jun 12vs W5.07565133

Jun 7@ W6.19633300

Jun 2@ W7.08553111

Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W5.27042200

May 26vs L5.08133333

May 20@ L5.07968066

May 15@ L5.090610155

May 10vs W5.29785244

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Gage Jump

IPERAKHBB

vs SFG5.00.009.03.01.0(1)

at SFG5.00.009.03.01.0(1)

Tyler Mahle

IPERAKHBB

vs ATH5.43.335.35.71.3(3)

home starts5.14.095.03.32.3(3)

Trends

ATH

• ATH are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• ATH are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• ATH are 4-1 in Gage Jump's last 5 starts.
• ATH are 2-1 in Gage Jump's last 3 away starts.
• ATH average 3.8 runs/game in Gage Jump's last 5 starts.
• ATH average 2.7 runs/game in Gage Jump's last 3 away starts.

SFG

• SFG are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• SFG are 2-3 in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
• SFG are 4-1 in Tyler Mahle's last 5 home starts.
• SFG average 3.8 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
• SFG average 4.4 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 7.14

SFG

xERA 4.78 (below avg)ERA 4.66

Weather · Neutral Conditions

62°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 12 mph WSW

APF 97 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• ATH — Gage Jump: recent opponents high-K: COL 26%, LAA 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• SFG — Tyler Mahle: last start: 70 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• SFG — Tyler Mahle: 2026-05-20: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• SFG — Tyler Mahle: recent opponents low-K: ARI 19%, ARI 19% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Aaron Nola R

xERA3.43 (good)K%18.8 (avg)HH%34.7 (good)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA6.43IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs89BB%10.1

WSN vs RHP

wRC+102 (avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%36.3 (avg)

Miles Mikolas R

xERA2.65 (elite)K%10.6 (poor)HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%3.5 (elite)ERA2.55IP/gs17.2 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs76BB%1.5

PHI vs RHP

wRC+121 (above avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%38.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalPHI-186-1.5 (-110)O8.5 (+100)WSN+156+1.5 (-102)U8.0 (-102)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalPHI-190-0.5 (-125)O4.5 (+114)WSN+150+0.5 (-104)U4.5 (-148)

Team Totals

OverUnderPHIO4.5 (-122)U4.5 (-104)WSNO3.5 (+112)U3.5 (-140)

Aaron Nola · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W5.08653222

Jun 18vs L5.09767123

Jun 13@ W4.28536233

Jun 7vs W4.19846455

Jun 2vs W5.09584022

Miles Mikolas · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L3.1*6015002

Jun 19@ L6.0*8529155

Jun 14vs W7.0*8333000

Jun 8@ W4.2*5423000

Jun 2vs L6.0*9246266

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Aaron Nola

IPERAKHBB

vs WSN4.46.875.05.01.3(3)

at WSN4.19.595.75.31.0(3)

Miles Mikolas

IPERAKHBB

vs PHI5.05.406.03.02.0(1)

home starts—

Trends

PHI

• PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• PHI are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
• PHI are 4-1 in Aaron Nola's last 5 starts.
• PHI are 5-0 in Aaron Nola's last 5 away starts.
• PHI average 6.0 runs/game in Aaron Nola's last 5 starts.
• PHI average 6.0 runs/game in Aaron Nola's last 5 away starts.

WSN

• WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• WSN are 3-2 in Miles Mikolas's last 5 starts.
• WSN are 1-2 in Miles Mikolas's last 3 home starts.
• WSN average 7.4 runs/game in Miles Mikolas's last 5 starts.
• WSN average 7.3 runs/game in Miles Mikolas's last 3 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

PHI

xERA 4.17 (avg)ERA 5.18

WSN

xERA 4.56 (below avg)ERA 6.83

Weather · Hitter Friendly

87°F, Clear, Wind 10 mph S

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 4

• WSN — Miles Mikolas: 44 days since last start (2026-05-12) — may not be fully stretched out
• WSN — Miles Mikolas: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-24, 2026-06-19 — may affect pitch count or availability
• WSN — Miles Mikolas: last start: 71 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• WSN — Miles Mikolas: recent opponents high-K: NYM 26%, CIN 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Javier Assad R

xERA2.29 (elite)K%17.2 (avg)HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%6.0 (good)ERA1.00IP/gs9.0 IP/gsH/gs4.5PC/gs87BB%3.1

NYM vs RHP

wRC+95 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%38.5 (avg)

Sean Manaea L

xERA3.46 (good)K%22.9 (avg)HH%47.7 (poor)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.52IP/gs7.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs88BB%3.3

CHC vs LHP

wRC+212 (elite)K%16.3 (above avg)HH%42.4 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC-104-1.5 (+162)O8.5 (-102)NYM-112+1.5 (-190)U8.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalCHC-118-0.5 (+118)O4.5 (-108)NYM-106+0.5 (-154)U4.5 (-120)

Team Totals

OverUnderCHCO4.5 (+110)U3.5 (+116)NYMO3.5 (-142)U3.5 (+114)

Javier Assad · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W5.08355233

Jun 17vs W5.29215022

Jun 12@ W6.08553100

Jun 7vs L6.1*7251100

May 15@ W2.0*3913011

Sean Manaea · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L3.08646234

Jun 18@ W5.19556123

Jun 13vs L6.08464022

Jun 7@ W4.0*6634122

Jun 1@ L5.0*6341111

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Javier Assad

IPERAKHBB

vs NYM5.13.534.04.01.0(2)

at NYM5.05.405.05.02.0(1)

Sean Manaea

IPERAKHBB

vs CHC3.09.004.06.02.0(1)

home starts4.55.005.05.01.0(2)

Trends

CHC

• CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• CHC are 4-1 in Javier Assad's last 5 starts.
• CHC are 3-2 in Javier Assad's last 5 away starts.
• CHC average 5.0 runs/game in Javier Assad's last 5 starts.
• CHC average 6.2 runs/game in Javier Assad's last 5 away starts.

NYM

• NYM are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• NYM are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
• NYM are 1-2 in Sean Manaea's last 3 starts.
• NYM are 0-2 in Sean Manaea's last 2 home starts.
• NYM average 4.0 runs/game in Sean Manaea's last 3 starts.
• NYM average 3.0 runs/game in Sean Manaea's last 2 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 4.89 (below avg)ERA 5.72

NYM

xERA 3.73 (good)ERA 4.23

Weather · Neutral Conditions

78°F, Clear, Wind 12 mph SSE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 5

• NYM — Sean Manaea: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CHC — Javier Assad: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-07, 2026-05-15 — may affect pitch count or availability
• CHC — Javier Assad: recent opponents low-K: SFG 19%, COL 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• NYM — Sean Manaea: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-07, 2026-06-01 — may affect pitch count or availability
• NYM — Sean Manaea: 2026-06-24: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mitch Bratt L

xERA?K%?HH%?Barrel%?ERA?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

STL vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%14.0 (elite)HH%43.1 (above avg)

M. Liberatore L

xERA7.51 (poor)K%19.2 (avg)HH%47.4 (poor)Barrel%18.4 (poor)ERA10.45IP/gs3.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs72BB%7.7

ARI vs LHP

wRC+97 (avg)K%14.2 (elite)HH%34.5 (below avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI+113+1.5 (-188)O9.0 (-102)STL-130-1.5 (+158)U9.0 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalARI+116+0.5 (-122)O4.5 (-132)STL-145-0.5 (-106)U4.5 (+102)

Team Totals

OverUnderARIO4.5 (+118)U4.5 (-140)STLO4.5 (-102)U4.5 (-125)

Mitch Bratt · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W3.05432211

M. Liberatore · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L5.19838266

Jun 18@ L1.24827057

Jun 13@ W4.17045144

Jun 6vs W4.18444335

May 31vs W5.18543100

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Mitch Bratt

IPERAKHBB

vs STL3.03.003.02.02.0(1)

at STL3.03.003.02.02.0(1)

M. Liberatore

IPERAKHBB

vs ARI6.05.213.57.01.0(2)

home starts4.85.663.75.02.0(3)

Trends

ARI

• ARI are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• ARI are 1-0 in Mitch Bratt's last 1 starts.
• ARI are 1-0 in Mitch Bratt's last 1 away starts.
• ARI average 9.0 runs/game in Mitch Bratt's last 1 starts.
• ARI average 9.0 runs/game in Mitch Bratt's last 1 away starts.

STL

• STL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• STL are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• STL are 3-2 in M. Liberatore's last 5 starts.
• STL are 4-1 in M. Liberatore's last 5 home starts.
• STL average 6.0 runs/game in M. Liberatore's last 5 starts.
• STL average 6.2 runs/game in M. Liberatore's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.73 (below avg)ERA 4.35

STL

xERA 5.39 (poor)ERA 6.69

Weather · Rainy

86°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 7 mph NE

APF 101 — Neutral · Rain possible (31%)

Flags · 8

• ARI — Mitch Bratt: first start of the season — no stats available yet
• STL — M. Liberatore: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• STL — M. Liberatore: Barrel% 18% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• STL — M. Liberatore: avg 3.4 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
• STL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.39 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
• ARI — Mitch Bratt: last start: 54 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• STL — M. Liberatore: recent opponents low-K: MIN 18%, ARI 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• WEATHER: rain risk 31% — game delay or conditions may affect performance

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Martin Perez L

xERA2.47 (elite)K%21.5 (avg)HH%23.9 (elite)Barrel%2.2 (elite)ERA2.76IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs78BB%7.7

SDP vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%18.5 (above avg)HH%44.6 (above avg)

JP Sears L

xERA?K%?HH%?Barrel%?ERA?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

ATL vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%21.7 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Martin Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.08244433

Jun 19vs W6.08256211

Jun 13@ W5.17144111

Jun 5vs W5.08553233

May 30@ W5.08124322

JP Sears · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W5.28155222

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Martin Perez

IPERAKHBB

vs SDP4.06.754.04.04.0(1)

at SDP4.06.754.04.04.0(1)

JP Sears

IPERAKHBB

vs ATL5.14.415.54.51.0(2)

home starts4.84.975.75.72.0(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.78 (avg)ERA 1.61

SDP

xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 3.19

Weather

72°F, Wind 8 mph

Flags · 1

• SDP — JP Sears: first start of the season — no stats available yet

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Trey Gibson R

xERA4.81 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%4.9 (elite)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs85BB%14.9

LAA vs RHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%24.0 (below avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Jose Soriano R

xERA3.96 (avg)K%18.6 (avg)HH%40.8 (below avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA4.50IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs83BB%11.4

BAL vs RHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%26.6 (below avg)HH%43.0 (above avg)

Trey Gibson · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.06653222

Jun 19@ L5.09787433

Jun 13vs L4.19373566

Jun 8vs L4.26805133

May 27vs W5.210016411

Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W3.06946255

Jun 19@ L5.010566444

Jun 13vs W5.07653200

Jun 7@ W6.08828245

Jun 1vs L4.210873723

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Trey Gibson

IPERAKHBB

vs LAA4.04.505.03.02.0(1)

at LAA4.04.505.03.02.0(1)

Jose Soriano

IPERAKHBB

vs BAL3.015.004.06.02.0(1)

home starts4.15.165.34.03.7(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

BAL

xERA 4.15 (avg)ERA 2.86

LAA

xERA 3.32 (good)ERA 3.86

Weather

76°F, Wind 10 mph

Flags · 5

• BAL — Trey Gibson: BB% 15% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
• BAL — Trey Gibson: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-05-08 — may affect pitch count or availability
• BAL — Trey Gibson: last start: 66 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• LAA — Jose Soriano: last start: 69 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• LAA — Jose Soriano: 2026-06-24: 5 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Ranger Suarez L

xERA2.38 (elite)K%25.0 (good)HH%24.5 (elite)Barrel%4.1 (elite)ERA1.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs98BB%6.9

COL vs LHP

wRC+111 (avg)K%25.7 (below avg)HH%31.5 (below avg)

Kyle Freeland L

xERA3.21 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%48.3 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA5.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs86BB%1.3

BOS vs LHP

wRC+176 (elite)K%22.6 (avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)

Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L6.010297113

Jun 19@ W6.29451300

Jun 13vs W5.09776222

Jun 7@ L6.19066011

May 31@ W5.093108244

Kyle Freeland · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W6.081411166

Jun 19vs W7.18184022

Jun 13@ L5.295410066

Jun 7vs L5.08927133

Jun 1@ W5.29147156

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Ranger Suarez

IPERAKHBB

vs COL6.10.747.56.52.0(2)

at COL6.10.747.56.52.0(2)

Kyle Freeland

IPERAKHBB

vs BOS5.67.235.07.51.5(2)

home starts6.05.474.77.30.7(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

BOS

xERA 2.58 (elite)ERA 3.82

COL

xERA 5.61 (poor)ERA 4.22

Weather

75°F, Wind 12 mph

Flags · 4

• COL — Kyle Freeland: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• COL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.61 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
• BOS — Ranger Suarez: last start: 102 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
• WEATHER: rain chance 33% — monitor for delays

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Erick Fedde R

xERA3.73 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%29.7 (elite)Barrel%8.1 (avg)ERA2.19IP/gs12.3 IP/gsH/gs13.0PC/gs70BB%5.6

CLE vs RHP

wRC+108 (avg)K%29.4 (poor)HH%39.0 (avg)

Tanner Bibee R

xERA3.92 (avg)K%24.3 (good)HH%44.0 (below avg)Barrel%8.0 (good)ERA2.21IP/gs6.8 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs92BB%8.1

CHW vs RHP

wRC+82 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)

Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L4.0*7525312

Jun 19@ L4.2*7844122

Jun 14vs W2.2*5843200

Jun 9vs W5.0*8846012

Jun 3@ W5.06122100

Tanner Bibee · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.08933100

Jun 19@ L5.19574234

Jun 12vs W7.09182222

Jun 6@ W8.08733200

May 31vs L6.09056133

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Erick Fedde

IPERAKHBB

vs CLE4.09.005.06.03.0(1)

at CLE4.09.005.06.03.0(1)

Tanner Bibee

IPERAKHBB

vs CHW6.71.796.73.31.7(3)

home starts5.36.755.35.31.0(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

CHW

xERA 4.94 (below avg)ERA 4.47

CLE

xERA 4.08 (avg)ERA 4.60

Weather

77°F, Wind 8 mph

Flags · 6

• CHW — Erick Fedde: 22 days since last start (2026-06-03) — may not be fully stretched out
• CHW — Erick Fedde: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-24, 2026-06-19 — may affect pitch count or availability
• CHW — Erick Fedde: last start: 61 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• CHW — Erick Fedde: 2026-05-17: 4 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 12) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• CHW — Erick Fedde: recent opponents low-K: KCR 17%, MIN 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• WEATHER: rain chance 31% — monitor for delays

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Rhett Lowder R

xERA4.80 (below avg)K%22.7 (avg)HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%10.3 (avg)ERA3.21IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs97BB%15.2

MIL vs RHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)

Shane Drohan L

xERA3.10 (good)K%20.6 (avg)HH%30.6 (good)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.41IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs89BB%5.9

CIN vs LHP

wRC+127 (above avg)K%18.9 (above avg)HH%41.2 (above avg)

Rhett Lowder · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L5.210068133

Jun 19@ L5.19556344

Jun 13vs W5.29665211

Jun 7@ L3.07041500

May 7@ L3.05911433

Shane Drohan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W4.19855300

Jun 18vs L5.09133311

Jun 13vs L5.07878044

Jun 7@ W6.18345133

Jun 1vs W4.06854222

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Rhett Lowder

IPERAKHBB

vs MIL5.25.196.08.01.0(1)

at MIL—

Shane Drohan

IPERAKHBB

vs CIN4.10.005.05.03.0(1)

home starts4.74.505.05.01.7(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

CIN

xERA 2.88 (elite)ERA 3.02

MIL

xERA 2.74 (elite)ERA 4.29

Weather

74°F, Wind 9 mph

Flags · 5

• CIN — Rhett Lowder: BB% 15% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
• CIN — Rhett Lowder: 2026-06-19: 4 ER in 5.1 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• MIL — Shane Drohan: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-05-27 — may affect pitch count or availability
• MIL — Shane Drohan: 2026-06-13: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• MIL — Shane Drohan: recent opponents high-K: PHI 27%, CLE 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Tarik Skubal L

xERA4.35 (avg)K%27.1 (good)HH%45.8 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA3.63IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs86BB%2.9

NYY vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%33.1 (below avg)

Ryan Weathers L

xERA4.19 (avg)K%20.6 (avg)HH%42.0 (below avg)Barrel%14.0 (below avg)ERA6.48IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs89BB%4.4

DET vs LHP

wRC+91 (below avg)K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.4 (avg)

Tarik Skubal · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L6.08594044

Jun 19vs W5.29487133

Jun 13@ L4.28045123

Apr 29@ L7.09175022

Apr 23vs W6.09457044

Ryan Weathers · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.09766212

Jun 18vs L6.18883111

Jun 12@ L4.18225166

Jun 5vs L6.09347155

May 30@ L6.2107106355

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Tarik Skubal

IPERAKHBB

vs NYY6.03.007.54.00.0(2)

at NYY—

Ryan Weathers

IPERAKHBB

vs DET6.01.506.06.02.0(1)

home starts6.42.835.34.71.7(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

DET

xERA 2.99 (elite)ERA 1.91

NYY

xERA 3.81 (avg)ERA 3.21

Weather

84°F, Wind 13 mph

Flags · 6

• DET — Tarik Skubal: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• NYY — Ryan Weathers: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• DET — Tarik Skubal: recent opponents high-K: CLE 28%, CHW 31% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• NYY — Ryan Weathers: 2026-06-12: 6 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• NYY — Ryan Weathers: low-K outing 2026-06-12 (2 Ks vs avg 5.3) — stuff was flat that day
• NYY — Ryan Weathers: recent opponents high-K: TOR 29%, CHW 31%, DET 25% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mike Burrows R

xERA4.41 (avg)K%16.7 (below avg)HH%36.6 (avg)Barrel%7.3 (good)ERA6.55IP/gs5.5 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs64BB%7.4

TOR vs RHP

wRC+122 (above avg)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%36.1 (avg)

Trey Yesavage R

xERA3.57 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%47.2 (poor)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA7.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs94BB%10.7

HOU vs RHP

wRC+119 (above avg)K%21.1 (avg)HH%41.6 (above avg)

Mike Burrows · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.09332111

Jun 19vs W1.0*711000

Jun 13@ W5.09257245

Jun 7vs L5.09738245

Jun 2vs L5.09038556

Trey Yesavage · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L5.210552511

Jun 18@ W7.19564033

Jun 12vs W5.08134655

Jun 5vs L5.29155266

May 30@ L5.09242711

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Mike Burrows

IPERAKHBB

vs TOR6.01.503.02.01.0(1)

at TOR6.01.503.02.01.0(1)

Trey Yesavage

IPERAKHBB

vs HOU5.21.735.02.05.0(1)

home starts5.17.014.33.74.3(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

HOU

xERA 3.42 (good)ERA 3.33

TOR

xERA 3.69 (good)ERA 3.58

Weather · Rainy

64°F, Wind 10 mph

· Rain possible (55%)

Flags · 6

• TOR — Trey Yesavage: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• HOU — Mike Burrows: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-19 — may affect pitch count or availability
• HOU — Mike Burrows: 2026-06-07: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• TOR — Trey Yesavage: last start: 105 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
• TOR — Trey Yesavage: 2026-06-12: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• WEATHER: rain risk 55% — game delay or conditions may affect performance

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Shohei Ohtani R

xERA3.28 (good)K%22.4 (avg)HH%28.8 (elite)Barrel%5.8 (good)ERA3.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%6.6

MIN vs RHP

wRC+163 (elite)K%14.5 (elite)HH%43.5 (above avg)

Joe Ryan R

xERA2.79 (elite)K%28.6 (elite)HH%45.6 (poor)Barrel%8.7 (avg)ERA2.12IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs99BB%5.7

LAD vs RHP

wRC+132 (elite)K%23.1 (avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)

Shohei Ohtani · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.08985223

Jun 17vs W6.09157144

Jun 10@ L6.210266334

Jun 3@ W6.08962100

May 27vs W6.09970411

Joe Ryan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L6.09898144

Jun 18@ W5.09773200

Jun 12vs W6.010286033

Jun 6vs L6.010256211

Jun 1vs W6.09898044

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Shohei Ohtani

IPERAKHBB

vs MIN4.53.005.54.51.5(2)

at MIN6.03.008.05.02.0(1)

Joe Ryan

IPERAKHBB

vs LAD6.06.009.08.01.0(1)

home starts6.04.007.36.71.0(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

LAD

xERA 2.39 (elite)ERA 3.16

MIN

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 7.97

Weather

74°F, Wind 8 mph

Flags · 1

• MIN — Joe Ryan: HH% 46% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Eury Perez R

xERA4.37 (avg)K%32.8 (elite)HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%20.6 (poor)ERA3.52IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs76BB%6.9

TEX vs RHP

wRC+116 (above avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%41.3 (above avg)

Jacob deGrom R

xERA2.52 (elite)K%27.4 (good)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA4.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs96BB%6.9

MIA vs RHP

wRC+106 (avg)K%22.2 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)

Eury Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W4.26813011

May 27@ L4.07393000

May 22vs W6.18652011

May 17@ L5.010255455

May 12@ L6.08783333

Jacob deGrom · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L6.09184222

Jun 19vs W6.010696366

Jun 13@ L6.09056022

Jun 7vs W6.08763200

Jun 1@ W5.09184100

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Eury Perez

IPERAKHBB

vs TEX4.11.105.02.50.5(2)

at TEX4.00.009.02.01.0(1)

Jacob deGrom

IPERAKHBB

vs MIA6.03.008.04.02.0(1)

home starts6.04.007.04.32.0(3)

Bullpens · Last 12

MIA

xERA 3.21 (good)ERA 2.54

TEX

xERA 3.71 (good)ERA 5.44

Weather · Hot

93°F, Wind 14 mph

Flags · 5

• MIA — Eury Perez: Barrel% 21% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• MIA — Eury Perez: last start: 68 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• MIA — Eury Perez: high-K outing 2026-05-27 (9 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff can dominate; may not repeat
• MIA — Eury Perez: low-K outing 2026-06-24 (1 Ks vs avg 5.0) — stuff was flat that day
• TEX — Jacob deGrom: 2026-06-19: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA