MLB Game Overviews

AI Picks · 14 Bets · Sep 6

MIN F5 Moneyline (+120)

MIN @ CHW · 6:20 PM ET

Chicago opens with Bryan Hudson, whose last five outings average 1.1 innings, and hands the bulk to Jose Urquidy, who has made one start since mid-August — 3.0 innings, 6 hits, 4 walks, 5 earned runs — and has worked out of the bullpen twice in the last week. Minnesota's lineup is at 129 wRC+ against right-handers over its last 6 with 135 over its last 12 and a 15.6% strikeout rate, exactly the profile that punishes a patchwork staff, and the White Sox relief corps is already at 8.7 innings over the past two days. On the other side Bailey Ober takes a 3.64 xERA over his last 3 into a Chicago lineup sitting at 66 wRC+ against right-handers over its last 6. Ober did face these hitters eight days ago, which gives them a fresh look at him, but their bats have not been close to good enough over that stretch to make that matter much. The market has made Chicago a solid favorite off Minnesota's road record while the first five innings are the exact stretch where the White Sox pitching plan is thinnest.

Found at 6:32 AM ET

MIN Team Total o3.5 (-128)

MIN @ CHW · 6:20 PM ET

Minnesota is at 130 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 with a 14.6% strikeout rate, and the last 12 says the same thing — 128 wRC+, 15.2% strikeouts — so this is established form, not a hot week, and it is a lineup that puts the ball in play with a 40.9% hard-hit rate. Chicago opens with Bryan Hudson, whose last five outings averaged 1.1 innings, then hands off to Jose Urquidy, who has thrown once since August 24 and posted 3.0 IP with 4 walks in that start, behind a bullpen already at 8.7 relief innings over the past two days. The Twins have been quiet in their last several games behind this starter, but against a patched-together pitching plan and a taxed bullpen, four runs is a modest ask that this number is not paying for.

Found at 12:36 PM ET

Bailey Ober u15.5 Outs (-154)

MIN @ CHW · 6:20 PM ET

Ober has gone 4.1, 5.0 and 5.0 innings over his last 3 starts — 13, 15 and 15 outs, never once reaching 16 — and averages 4.8 IP per start over that window with a 9.7% walk rate pushing his counts up early. He faced the White Sox eight days ago and was pulled after 5.0 innings and 80 pitches, and that fresh look for Chicago's hitters argues for a shorter rather than longer outing this time. The juice here buys a number he has failed to reach in three straight, with Minnesota's bullpen at normal rest and no need to stretch him.

Found at 12:36 PM ET

Games In Progress / Completed

CIN Team Total o3.5 (-111)

MIL @ CIN · 12:10 PM ET

Cincinnati has hit for a 145 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 127 over its last 12, and they get Kyle Harrison, who carries a 4.78 xERA, a 42.9% hard-hit rate and a 14.3% barrel rate over his last 3 and was tagged for nine runs in 3.2 innings on August 31. He has averaged 4.6 innings per start over that window, so Milwaukee's bullpen — 9.3 relief innings across the past two days — is in this game early, in a park that plays at a 104 factor with the temperature at 79. Cincinnati has scored just 3.0 runs per game across their last five behind Singer, which is the mark against this, but that is a starter-side outcome rather than anything about how they have swung it against left-handed pitching. Four runs is priced as a coin flip for a lineup in this form against an arm this hittable.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

Tyler Mahle o15.5 Outs (-119)

ATL @ PHI · 1:10 PM ET

Mahle has averaged 6.1 IP over his last 3 starts, going 6.2, 5.0 and 6.2 innings on just 76, 94 and 89 pitches, and his 4.1% walk rate over that span is why the pitch counts stay low. He faces a Philadelphia lineup at 27 wRC+ vs RHP over its last 6 with a 20.9% hard-hit rate over the same window — the quietest offense on the slate — and Atlanta's bullpen is at normal rest, so there is no push to get him out early. The 47.2% hard-hit rate he has allowed over his last 3 is the risk of a quick blowup inning, but two starts vs Philadelphia this season at 5.1 IP/gs still sit right at this number, and the market is treating 5.1 innings as a coin flip for a starter who has cleared it in two of three.

Found at 12:36 PM ET

Payton Tolle u17.5 Outs (-105)

BOS @ BAL · 1:35 PM ET

Tolle has not reached 18 outs in any of his last 3 starts — 5.0, 5.1 and 5.2 innings on 98, 97 and 96 pitches — so he is burning a full workload to get 15-17 outs, and his 8.7 BB% over that window is what keeps the counts climbing. Baltimore's bats have been live against left-handers over their last 12 (116 wRC+, better than the 95 they show over their last 6), and Boston's bullpen is fresh at 4.0 relief innings over the past two days, which removes any need to push him through a sixth. The one meeting that argues the other way is his 6.0-inning outing at Baltimore in June of this season, but the two most recent starts against them averaged 5.6 innings and his current pitch efficiency is worse than it was then. The market is pricing this line at his season depth rather than the shorter outings he has actually been turning in.

Found at 6:32 AM ET

Paul Skenes u7.5 Strikeouts (+124)

LAA @ PIT · 1:35 PM ET

Skenes has struck out 5, 4 and 4 over his last 3 starts, a 19.7% K rate over that window, and his outs line sits at 16.5 — roughly five and a half innings, about 22 batters. Reaching eight strikeouts would require nearly double his recent per-start total. Los Angeles' lineup does whiff, with LAA at a 29.5% K rate over their last 6 vs RHP and 29.4% over their last 12, which is the case for the number being posted this high, but even at that elevated rate his projected total lands near six. The market is pricing a strikeout ceiling his last three outings have not come close to producing.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

Kyle Bradish u4.5 Strikeouts (+107)

BOS @ BAL · 1:35 PM ET

Bradish has struck out 5, 4 and 4 over his last 3 starts on an 18.3% K rate with a 19.3% whiff rate, both of which sit well below the league's average starter. Boston's 21.1% K rate over their last 6 vs RHP and 21.6% over their last 12 make them a middling strikeout target rather than a soft one, and his outs line at 16.5 caps him around five and a half innings of opportunity. He fanned four over six innings against this lineup at Fenway on July 22 in the most recent of their two meetings this season. The number is set as though his recent bat-missing supports five, and nothing in his last three outings does.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

E. Rodriguez u18.5 Outs (+120)

ARI @ HOU · 2:10 PM ET

Rodriguez has thrown 99, 104 and 103 pitches in his last 3 starts to get 17, 21 and 15 outs — only once past this number, and his 11.0% walk rate over that window is what keeps the pitch counts climbing faster than the innings. Nineteen outs asks him to work into the seventh, which at his recent efficiency means roughly 110 pitches. Houston's lineup carries a 127 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 12 even with the last-6 mark at 87, so the traffic that has been shortening his outings is available again, and Houston's bullpen at 9.7 innings over two days is not a reason Arizona's manager stretches his own starter. His 2.41 xERA over the last 3 is the case for length, but effectiveness has not translated into deep outings for him, and the price has this as close to a coin flip.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

Randy Dobnak o2.5 Strikeouts (+112)

TOR @ KCR · 2:11 PM ET

Dobnak has struck out 4, 5 and 6 in his last 3 starts, a 20.8% K rate with a 23.4% whiff rate over that window, and he has gone at least six innings in two of those three. His outs line at 15.5 has him working into the sixth again, which is roughly 21 batters — his rate over that many hitters projects near four strikeouts, not two. Toronto's contact-leaning 20.4% K rate over their last 6 vs RHP is the argument for a low number, and he still fanned five of them over six innings when these clubs met on August 26. A line that needs him to finish with two or fewer is priced for a pitcher who misses far fewer bats than the one who has taken the ball in his last three turns.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

S. Arrighetti u14.5 Outs (+103)

TOR @ KCR · 2:11 PM ET

Arrighetti has recorded 15, 3 and 12 outs in his last 3 starts and was pulled after 79 pitches and four innings his last time out, which came against Kansas City on August 27. He has also worked in relief twice since mid-August, most recently on September 1, so he is being used as a short-stretch arm rather than a six-inning starter. Kansas City's 13.3% K rate over their last 6 vs RHP means balls in play and long innings rather than quick ones, and their fresh look at him from ten days ago works against a longer outing. Toronto's bullpen having thrown 10.3 innings over the past two days is the reason to expect them to stretch him, but his recent workload pattern caps him well short of five innings and the price still treats that as the less likely outcome.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

Tanner Gordon u4.5 Ks (+138)

STL @ COL · 3:10 PM ET

Gordon does not strike anyone out — a 14.1% strikeout rate and an 18.4% whiff rate over his last 3 starts, which produced 2, 5 and 3 punchouts. Even at his full depth of 5.8 IP per start over that window, that rate projects to about three strikeouts against a St. Louis lineup whose 23.1% strikeout rate vs RHP over its last 6 is nothing exceptional. The Cardinals' 131 wRC+ and 46.4% hard-hit rate vs RHP over their last 6 could chase him early at Coors, which cuts the innings and the strikeouts the same direction, and a plus price on the under of a sub-15% strikeout arm is the clearest mismatch between a number and a rate on this board.

Found at 12:36 PM ET

ATH Team Total o2.5 (-146)

ATH @ SEA · 4:10 PM ET

The Athletics carry a 143 wRC+ against right-handers over their last 6 with a 133 mark over their last 12 — the two windows agree, so this is established form rather than a hot week — and they are barreling the ball at a 44.6% hard-hit rate over those last 6. Bryan Woo has allowed a 45.5% hard-hit rate and a 15.9% barrel rate over his last 3 starts and averages 5.3 innings, which hands roughly four innings to a Seattle bullpen carrying a 4.40 xERA and an 18.3 K% over its last 12 games. The counter is the venue: T-Mobile Park at APF 91 in 69-degree air suppresses run scoring, and Woo's 4.6% walk rate over his last 3 keeps free baserunners off the board. Three runs is a bar an average lineup clears 70% of the time, and the market is pricing this offense well below average in a spot where it is the best-hitting side on the field. Taking the 2.5 rung rather than the 1.5 at -310, where the price no longer pays for the read.

Found at 6:32 AM ET

ATH +1.5 (-132)

ATH @ SEA · 4:10 PM ET

Seattle's offense has produced a 64 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 and 43 over its last 12 — both windows agree they cannot handle left-handed pitching, and they have averaged 3.4 runs over their last 10 games. Oakland arrives with a 140 wRC+ vs RHP over their last 6 and 128 over their last 12, facing a starter in Woo who has allowed a 45.5% hard-hit rate and a 15.9% barrel rate over his last 3, with a Seattle bullpen behind him at a 4.40 xERA over its last 12 games. Gage Jump's 5.44 xERA over his last 3 is the real argument for Seattle and it is why the moneyline is where it is, but a two-run margin against a lineup this cold is a much taller order than the price implies, and Oakland's bullpen has been the better unit at a 3.15 xERA. The market is charging near-favorite juice on a Seattle offense that has not scored.

Found at 7:47 AM ET

AI-generated · For entertainment only · Not financial advice

MIL @

CIN✓

12:10 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Kyle Harrison L

xERA4.78 (below)ERA6.59 (poor)K%25.0 (good)Whiff%24.2 (good)

More Stats

HH%42.9 (below)Barrel%14.3 (below)IP/gs4.6 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs94BB%7.8 (avg)

CIN vs LHP

wRC+145 (elite)K%28.7 (poor)Whiff%28.9 (poor)HH%41.4 (above)

L12

wRC+127 (above)K%24.7 (below)Whiff%25.5 (below)HH%36.2 (avg)

Brady Singer R

xERA4.42 (avg)ERA6.19 (poor)K%17.1 (avg)Whiff%21.7 (avg)

More Stats

HH%57.1 (poor)Barrel%8.9 (avg)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs92BB%4.0 (elite)

MIL vs RHP

wRC+130 (elite)K%26.6 (below)Whiff%23.0 (avg)HH%48.5 (elite)

L12

wRC+139 (elite)K%25.8 (below)Whiff%21.7 (avg)HH%45.9 (elite)

Bullpens · Last 12

MIL

xERA 3.06 (good)ERA 3.35 (good)2d stress Elevated (9.3 IP/2g)

CIN

xERA 3.67 (good)ERA 5.51 (poor)2d stress Elevated (10.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalMIL+100-1.5 (+163)O8.5 (-105)CIN-121-1.5 (+178)U8.5 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalMIL-160-0.5 (-114)O4.5 (-118)CIN+130+0.5 (-114)U4.5 (-110)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UMIL4.5 (-125/+110)2.5 (+100/-130)CIN3.5 (-111/+100)1.5 (-140/+110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UKyle Harrison6.5 (-111 / -114)15.5 (+134 / -158)Brady Singer4.5 (+106 / -130)15.5 (-114 / -101)

Kyle Harrison · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L3.29349446

Aug 31 '26@

L3.298310299

Aug 25 '26@

L5.09056111

Aug 18 '26vs

W5.07982200

Aug 11 '26@

L4.290310338

Brady Singer · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.09734666

Aug 31 '26vs

L4.187510044

Aug 25 '26@

L5.29156233

Aug 20 '26vs

L6.010335144

Aug 15 '26vs

L6.09348233

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Kyle Harrison

IPERAKHBB

vs CIN3.211.25poor4.09.04.0(1)

at CIN3.211.25poor4.09.04.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L3.29349446

Brady Singer

IPERAKHBB

vs MIL5.05.36poor5.03.73.0(3)

2 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.09734666

Jun 22 '26vs

L7.010672200

Sep 28 '25@

L3.17155133

home starts5.08.34poor3.76.32.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.09734666

Aug 31 '26vs

L4.187510044

Aug 20 '26vs

L6.010335144

Trends · MIL

MIL are 7-3 vs CIN this season (10 games).
MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
MIL are 2-3 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
MIL are 1-4 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 away starts.
MIL average 6.6 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
MIL average 3.0 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

MIL are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIL are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
MIL are 3-2 to the over in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
MIL are 2-1 to the over in Kyle Harrison's last 3 away starts.

Trends · CIN

CIN are 3-7 vs MIL this season (10 games).
CIN are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
CIN are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
CIN are 0-5 in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
CIN are 1-4 in Brady Singer's last 5 home starts.
CIN average 3.0 runs/game in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
CIN average 3.8 runs/game in Brady Singer's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

CIN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
CIN are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
CIN are 2-3 to the over in Brady Singer's last 5 starts.
CIN are 2-1 to the over in Brady Singer's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

76°F, Clear, Wind 10 mph NNE

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 4

MIL bullpen elevated (9.3 IP over 2g)
CIN bullpen elevated (10.0 IP over 2g)
MIL — Kyle Harrison: 2026-08-31: 9 ER in 3.2 IP (ERA equiv 25); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.90 ERA equivalent
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL Central)

CIN Team Total o3.5 (-111)

ATL @

PHI✓

1:10 PM · Citizens Bank ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Tyler Mahle R

xERA5.10 (below)ERA1.96 (elite)K%21.9 (avg)Whiff%25.4 (good)

More Stats

HH%47.2 (poor)Barrel%7.5 (good)IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs92BB%4.1 (elite)

PHI vs RHP

wRC+27 (poor)K%17.6 (above)Whiff%19.6 (above)HH%20.9 (poor)

L12

wRC+63 (poor)K%21.3 (avg)Whiff%20.8 (above)HH%28.4 (poor)

Aaron Nola R

xERA2.77 (elite)ERA2.00 (elite)K%26.8 (good)Whiff%30.3 (elite)

More Stats

HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%8.5 (avg)IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs96BB%7.0 (good)

ATL vs RHP

wRC+125 (above)K%27.4 (below)Whiff%25.3 (below)HH%43.5 (above)

L12

wRC+121 (above)K%25.3 (below)Whiff%25.3 (below)HH%38.9 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.08 (good)ERA 2.11 (elite)2d stress Normal (7.3 IP/2g)

PHI

xERA 2.73 (elite)ERA 2.48 (elite)2d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATL-106-1.5 (+153)O8.0 (-115)PHI-110+1.5 (-178)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATL-110+0.5 (-160)O4.5 (+100)PHI-114-0.5 (+122)U4.5 (-130)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UATL4.5 (+114/+116)1.5 (-145/+114)PHI3.5 (-130/+105)1.5 (-160/+124)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UTyler Mahle4.5 (+102 / -117)15.5 (-119 / -102)Aaron Nola5.5 (-120 / +108)17.5 (-102 / -103)

Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.09434102

Aug 30 '26vs

W6.28995011

Aug 23 '26@

W5.09446211

Aug 18 '26@

L6.27636122

Aug 12 '26vs

W6.09374011

Aaron Nola · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09354111

Aug 31 '26@

W5.010445211

Aug 25 '26@

L6.09273322

Aug 19 '26vs

W7.010085011

Aug 13 '26@

W5.09795311

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Tyler Mahle

IPERAKHBB

vs PHI5.42.78elite4.04.32.7(3)

at PHI5.54.09avg3.05.02.0(2)

all 3 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.09434102

Apr 28 '26@

L5.08236355

Apr 8 '26vs

W5.29463400

Aaron Nola

IPERAKHBB

vs ATL5.75.76poor5.05.02.3(3)

2 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09354111

Apr 26 '26@

L4.210167366

Aug 28 '25vs

W6.09544344

home starts6.31.89elite7.05.01.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09354111

Aug 19 '26vs

W7.010085011

Aug 8 '26vs

L5.09786222

Trends · ATL

ATL are 7-2 vs PHI this season (9 games).
ATL are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
ATL are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
ATL are 3-2 in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
ATL are 1-2 in Tyler Mahle's last 3 away starts.
ATL average 3.2 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
ATL average 2.3 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 3 away starts.

Over / Under

ATL are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
ATL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ATL are 1-4 to the over in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
ATL are 0-3 to the over in Tyler Mahle's last 3 away starts.

Trends · PHI

PHI are 2-7 vs ATL this season (9 games).
PHI are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
PHI are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
PHI are 3-2 in Aaron Nola's last 5 starts.
PHI are 2-3 in Aaron Nola's last 5 home starts.
PHI average 3.8 runs/game in Aaron Nola's last 5 starts.
PHI average 4.2 runs/game in Aaron Nola's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

PHI are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
PHI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 home games.
PHI are 1-4 to the over in Aaron Nola's last 5 starts.
PHI are 2-1 to the over in Aaron Nola's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

77°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph N

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 2

PHI — Aaron Nola: last start: 104 pitches over 5.0 IP
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL East)

Tyler Mahle o15.5 Outs (-119)

BOS @

BAL✓

1:35 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Payton Tolle L

xERA2.59 (elite)ERA5.06 (below)K%27.5 (good)Whiff%27.6 (good)

More Stats

HH%32.6 (good)Barrel%9.3 (avg)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs95BB%8.7 (avg)

BAL vs LHP

wRC+80 (below)K%22.4 (avg)Whiff%13.3 (elite)HH%33.3 (below)

L12

wRC+122 (above)K%25.6 (below)Whiff%19.2 (above)HH%40.5 (above)

Kyle Bradish R

xERA5.29 (poor)ERA7.20 (poor)K%18.3 (avg)Whiff%19.3 (avg)

More Stats

HH%44.2 (below)Barrel%13.5 (below)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs7.7PC/gs90BB%8.5 (avg)

BOS vs RHP

wRC+118 (above)K%21.1 (avg)Whiff%21.8 (avg)HH%32.7 (below)

L12

wRC+89 (below)K%21.6 (avg)Whiff%23.6 (avg)HH%33.9 (below)

Bullpens · Last 12

BOS

xERA 3.72 (good)ERA 5.96 (poor)2d stress Fresh (4.0 IP/2g)

BAL

xERA 2.96 (elite)ERA 2.77 (elite)2d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalBOS-130-1.5 (+132)O7.5 (+104)BAL+114+1.5 (-150)U7.0 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalBOS-135-0.5 (+108)O3.5 (-140)BAL+108+0.5 (-140)U3.5 (+108)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UBOS3.5 (-130/+102)1.5 (-145/+114)BAL3.5 (+114/-142)1.5 (-120/-110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UPayton Tolle7.5 (+107 / +136)17.5 (-125 / -102)Kyle Bradish4.5 (-150 / +123)16.5 (-114 / -103)

Payton Tolle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.091124011

Aug 31 '26vs

W5.29666244

Aug 25 '26@

W5.19774222

Aug 19 '26vs

L5.09866233

Aug 13 '26@

W8.09142200

Kyle Bradish · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.08532403

Sep 1 '26@

L5.09546222

Aug 26 '26@

W4.19149277

Aug 20 '26vs

L5.210058235

Aug 15 '26@

W6.09337422

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Payton Tolle

IPERAKHBB

vs BAL5.72.62elite8.76.31.0(3)

at BAL6.01.50elite12.04.00.0(1)

all 3 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.091124011

Jul 20 '26vs

W5.28898144

Jun 3 '26vs

W6.09957200

Kyle Bradish

IPERAKHBB

vs BOS5.02.40elite3.33.33.0(3)

all 3 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.08532403

Jul 22 '26@

W6.08944111

Apr 26 '26vs

L5.08834433

home starts4.13.69good3.74.02.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.08532403

Aug 20 '26vs

L5.210058235

Aug 2 '26vs

L3.05332222

Trends · BOS

BOS are 9-5 vs BAL this season (14 games).
BOS are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
BOS are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
BOS are 4-1 in Payton Tolle's last 5 starts.
BOS are 5-0 in Payton Tolle's last 5 away starts.
BOS average 8.4 runs/game in Payton Tolle's last 5 starts.
BOS average 4.8 runs/game in Payton Tolle's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

BOS are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
BOS are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
BOS are 5-0 to the over in Payton Tolle's last 5 starts.
BOS are 2-1 to the over in Payton Tolle's last 3 away starts.

Trends · BAL

BAL are 5-9 vs BOS this season (14 games).
BAL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
BAL are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.
BAL have lost 5 straight.
BAL are 2-3 in Kyle Bradish's last 5 starts.
BAL are 2-3 in Kyle Bradish's last 5 home starts.
BAL average 3.2 runs/game in Kyle Bradish's last 5 starts.
BAL average 3.6 runs/game in Kyle Bradish's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

BAL are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
BAL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
BAL are 1-4 to the over in Kyle Bradish's last 5 starts.
BAL are 0-2 to the over in Kyle Bradish's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

81°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 3 mph N

APF 106 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 5

BAL offense: K% 22.4 (last 6) runs well above what Whiff% 13.3 supports
BOS bullpen fresh (4.0 IP over 2g)
BAL — Kyle Bradish: 2026-08-26: 7 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 15); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 4.40 ERA equivalent
TREND: BAL — was shut out 5-0 last time out (2026-09-05)
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL East)

Payton Tolle u17.5 Outs (-105)

Kyle Bradish u4.5 Strikeouts (+107)

LAA @

PIT✓

1:35 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Walbert Urena R

xERA3.86 (avg)ERA4.02 (avg)K%27.3 (good)Whiff%25.7 (good)

More Stats

HH%46.3 (poor)Barrel%4.9 (elite)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs91BB%10.6 (below)

PIT vs RHP

wRC+109 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)Whiff%22.3 (avg)HH%36.6 (avg)

L12

wRC+87 (below)K%24.2 (below)Whiff%22.5 (avg)HH%33.1 (below)

Paul Skenes R

xERA3.86 (avg)ERA4.80 (below)K%19.7 (avg)Whiff%24.6 (good)

More Stats

HH%34.8 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs90BB%10.6 (below)

LAA vs RHP

wRC+84 (below)K%29.5 (poor)Whiff%26.6 (below)HH%40.3 (above)

L12

wRC+87 (below)K%29.4 (poor)Whiff%26.6 (below)HH%37.4 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

LAA

xERA 3.89 (avg)ERA 5.72 (poor)2d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)

PIT

xERA 3.50 (good)ERA 3.31 (good)2d stress Normal (7.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAA+152+1.5 (-149)O7.0 (-119)PIT-180-1.5 (+125)U7.0 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalLAA+148+0.5 (-108)O3.5 (-138)PIT-180-0.5 (-120)U3.5 (+106)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/ULAA2.5 (-140/+116)1.5 (+120/-154)PIT3.5 (-138/+114)1.5 (-160/+124)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UWalbert Urena5.5 (+124 / +124)15.5 (+102 / -130)Paul Skenes6.5 (-105 / -111)16.5 (-110 / -106)

Walbert Urena · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L8.08843111

Aug 31 '26vs

W7.09585011

Aug 25 '26vs

L3.28935533

Aug 19 '26@

L5.09473233

Aug 13 '26vs

W6.010052200

Paul Skenes · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.18724100

Sep 1 '26vs

W4.29548355

Aug 25 '26@

W6.08743000

Aug 19 '26vs

W4.18154433

Aug 11 '26@

L5.06545112

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Walbert Urena

IPERAKHBB

vs PIT8.01.12elite4.03.01.0(1)

at PIT8.01.12elite4.03.01.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L8.08843111

Paul Skenes

IPERAKHBB

vs LAA5.10.00elite2.04.01.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.18724100

home starts4.55.37poor3.75.32.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.18724100

Sep 1 '26vs

W4.29548355

Aug 19 '26vs

W4.18154433

Trends · LAA

LAA are 1-2 vs PIT this season (3 games).
LAA are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
LAA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
LAA are 2-3 in Walbert Urena's last 5 starts.
LAA are 2-3 in Walbert Urena's last 5 away starts.
LAA average 5.0 runs/game in Walbert Urena's last 5 starts.
LAA average 4.4 runs/game in Walbert Urena's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

LAA are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
LAA are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 away games.
LAA are 3-2 to the over in Walbert Urena's last 5 starts.
LAA are 1-1 to the over in Walbert Urena's last 2 away starts.

Trends · PIT

PIT are 2-1 vs LAA this season (3 games).
PIT are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
PIT are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
PIT are 3-2 in Paul Skenes's last 5 starts.
PIT are 4-1 in Paul Skenes's last 5 home starts.
PIT average 4.0 runs/game in Paul Skenes's last 5 starts.
PIT average 8.6 runs/game in Paul Skenes's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

PIT are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
PIT are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
PIT are 1-4 to the over in Paul Skenes's last 5 starts.
PIT are 2-1 to the over in Paul Skenes's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

75°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph NE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 3

LAA — Walbert Urena: 2026-08-25: 3 ER in 3.2 IP (ERA equiv 8); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.34 ERA equivalent
PIT — Paul Skenes: 2026-09-01: 5 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.29 ERA equivalent
PIT — Paul Skenes: recent opponents high-K: DET 29%, SDP 28%

Paul Skenes u7.5 Strikeouts (+124)

CHC @

MIA

1:40 PM · loanDepot park (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Clay Holmes R

xERA3.22 (good)ERA0.49 (elite)K%19.7 (avg)Whiff%26.4 (good)

More Stats

HH%35.3 (avg)Barrel%5.9 (good)IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs91BB%8.5 (avg)

MIA vs RHP

wRC+130 (elite)K%19.9 (above)Whiff%21.5 (avg)HH%38.8 (avg)

L12

wRC+114 (avg)K%22.5 (avg)Whiff%24.2 (avg)HH%34.3 (below)

Tyler Phillips R

xERA2.79 (elite)ERA1.54 (elite)K%29.8 (elite)Whiff%31.8 (elite)

More Stats

HH%23.1 (elite)Barrel%7.7 (good)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs76BB%14.9 (poor)

CHC vs RHP

wRC+149 (elite)K%19.6 (above)Whiff%17.8 (elite)HH%37.0 (avg)

L12

wRC+150 (elite)K%16.6 (above)Whiff%17.5 (elite)HH%35.9 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 4.99 (below)ERA 6.23 (poor)2d stress Normal (7.3 IP/2g)

MIA

xERA 4.20 (avg)ERA 5.55 (poor)2d stress Elevated (8.3 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC-145-1.5 (+115)O8.0 (-115)MIA+124+1.5 (-136)U8.0 (-102)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalCHC-154-0.5 (-106)O4.5 (-106)MIA+124+0.5 (-122)U4.5 (-122)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UCHC4.5 (-102/-120)2.5 (+114/-145)MIA3.5 (-102/-120)1.5 (-125/-105)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UClay Holmes4.5 (-115 / -104)17.5 (-102 / -128)Tyler Phillips3.5 (-156 / +126)14.5 (+102 / -136)

Clay Holmes · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.18026388

Aug 31 '26vs

W6.010185200

Aug 25 '26@

L7.09352200

Aug 19 '26vs

L5.18616211

Aug 14 '26vs

W6.28031100

Tyler Phillips · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.07635133

Sep 1 '26@

W5.06941200

Aug 25 '26vs

L4.28473311

Aug 18 '26@

L2.0*4232211

Aug 13 '26vs

L5.19266144

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Clay Holmes

IPERAKHBB

vs MIA5.05.96poor2.04.02.3(3)

at MIA4.85.66poor3.34.32.7(3)

1 this season, 2 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.18026388

Sep 27 '25@

W6.07821300

Aug 28 '25vs

L5.08825124

Apr 2 '25@

W4.28566212

Tyler Phillips

IPERAKHBB

vs CHC5.05.40poor3.05.01.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.07635133

home starts4.85.03below5.34.71.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W5.07635133

Aug 25 '26vs

L4.28473311

Aug 13 '26vs

L5.19266144

Trends · CHC

CHC are 2-1 vs MIA this season (3 games).
CHC are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
CHC are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
CHC are 2-3 in Clay Holmes's last 5 starts.
CHC are 0-2 in Clay Holmes's last 2 away starts.
CHC average 5.4 runs/game in Clay Holmes's last 5 starts.
CHC average 3.5 runs/game in Clay Holmes's last 2 away starts.

Over / Under

CHC are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
CHC are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 away games.
CHC are 2-2 to the over in Clay Holmes's last 4 starts.

Trends · MIA

MIA are 1-2 vs CHC this season (3 games).
MIA are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
MIA are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
MIA are 2-3 in Tyler Phillips's last 5 starts.
MIA are 1-4 in Tyler Phillips's last 5 home starts.
MIA average 3.8 runs/game in Tyler Phillips's last 5 starts.
MIA average 3.4 runs/game in Tyler Phillips's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

MIA are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIA are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
MIA are 4-1 to the over in Tyler Phillips's last 5 starts.
MIA are 2-1 to the over in Tyler Phillips's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Roof Closed

Flags · 5

MIA bullpen elevated (8.3 IP over 2g)
CHC — Clay Holmes: last start: 101 pitches over 6.0 IP
MIA — Tyler Phillips: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-18
MIA — Tyler Phillips: last start: 69 pitches over 5.0 IP
MIA — Tyler Phillips: 2026-08-13: 4 ER in 5.1 IP (ERA equiv 7); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.07 ERA equivalent

DET @

CLE

1:40 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Jackson Jobe R

xERA4.20 (avg)ERA3.68 (good)K%16.9 (below)Whiff%16.5 (below)

More Stats

HH%35.6 (avg)Barrel%8.9 (avg)IP/gs4.9 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs90BB%12.3 (below)

CLE vs RHP

wRC+87 (below)K%17.8 (above)Whiff%18.6 (above)HH%27.7 (poor)

L12

wRC+103 (avg)K%19.3 (above)Whiff%17.4 (elite)HH%32.4 (below)

Gavin Williams R

xERA2.89 (elite)ERA4.50 (below)K%45.0 (elite)Whiff%43.5 (elite)

More Stats

HH%44.4 (below)Barrel%11.1 (below)IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs86BB%8.3 (avg)

DET vs RHP

wRC+85 (below)K%28.7 (poor)Whiff%30.7 (poor)HH%47.7 (elite)

L12

wRC+40 (poor)K%27.3 (below)Whiff%26.2 (below)HH%42.6 (above)

Bullpens · Last 12

DET

xERA 3.51 (good)ERA 5.27 (poor)2d stress Normal (10.0 IP/3g)

CLE

xERA 2.81 (elite)ERA 2.94 (elite)2d stress Elevated (13.7 IP/3g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalDET+141+1.5 (-160)O7.0 (-102)CLE-166-1.5 (+135)U7.0 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalDET+150+0.5 (-106)O3.5 (-128)CLE-188-0.5 (-122)U3.5 (-102)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UDET2.5 (-138/+114)CLE3.5 (-122/+100)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UJackson Jobe3.5 (-132 / +106)15.5 (+119 / -154)Gavin Williams8.5 (+109 / +124)17.5 (-138 / +107)

Jackson Jobe · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L5.09374222

Aug 31 '26@

L5.09246245

Aug 25 '26vs

W4.18644311

Aug 19 '26@

L5.18634311

Aug 14 '26vs

L3.27449166

Gavin Williams · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.099114322

Sep 1 '26vs

W7.097132101

Aug 25 '26@

W1.16236155

Aug 20 '26vs

W5.296114322

Aug 14 '26vs

L4.19157455

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Jackson Jobe

IPERAKHBB

vs CLE5.03.60good5.04.02.0(2)

at CLE5.03.60good7.04.02.0(1)

1 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L5.09374222

May 23 '25vs

L5.08934222

Gavin Williams

IPERAKHBB

vs DET5.72.12elite10.73.72.3(3)

1 this season, 2 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.099114322

Sep 23 '25vs

W6.091124222

Sep 17 '25@

W5.010093200

home starts6.11.98elite11.73.32.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.099114322

Sep 1 '26vs

W7.097132101

Aug 20 '26vs

W5.296114322

Trends · DET

DET are 3-11 vs CLE this season (14 games).
DET are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
DET are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
DET are 2-3 in Jackson Jobe's last 5 starts.
DET are 1-2 in Jackson Jobe's last 3 away starts.
DET average 4.2 runs/game in Jackson Jobe's last 5 starts.
DET average 4.0 runs/game in Jackson Jobe's last 3 away starts.

Over / Under

DET are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
DET are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
DET are 2-2 to the over in Jackson Jobe's last 4 starts.
DET are 1-1 to the over in Jackson Jobe's last 2 away starts.

Trends · CLE

CLE are 11-3 vs DET this season (14 games).
CLE are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
CLE are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
CLE are 3-2 in Gavin Williams's last 5 starts.
CLE are 3-2 in Gavin Williams's last 5 home starts.
CLE average 5.4 runs/game in Gavin Williams's last 5 starts.
CLE average 4.4 runs/game in Gavin Williams's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

CLE are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
CLE are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
CLE are 4-1 to the over in Gavin Williams's last 5 starts.
CLE are 2-1 to the over in Gavin Williams's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

76°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 10 mph NNE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 7

CLE bullpen elevated (13.7 IP over 3g)
DET — Jackson Jobe: 2026-08-31: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.98 ERA equivalent
DET — Jackson Jobe: recent opponents low-K: TBR 18%, MIN 15%
CLE — Gavin Williams: 2026-08-25: 5 ER in 1.1 IP; the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.73 ERA equivalent
CLE — Gavin Williams: low-K outing 2026-08-25 (3 Ks vs avg 9.0 over his last 3)
TREND: CLE — was shut out 6-0 last time out (2026-09-05)
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL Central)

SFG @

NYM

1:40 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Cesar Perdomo L

xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?

More Stats

HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

NYM vs LHP

wRC+122 (above)K%21.8 (avg)Whiff%22.8 (avg)HH%40.0 (above)

L12

wRC+93 (below)K%25.2 (below)Whiff%23.3 (avg)HH%33.3 (below)

Christian Scott R

xERA4.78 (below)ERA5.51 (poor)K%20.8 (avg)Whiff%27.0 (good)

More Stats

HH%31.8 (good)Barrel%9.1 (avg)IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs90BB%15.3 (poor)

SFG vs RHP

wRC+135 (elite)K%18.2 (above)Whiff%17.3 (elite)HH%33.9 (below)

L12

wRC+121 (above)K%21.0 (avg)Whiff%19.2 (above)HH%38.7 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

SFG

xERA 3.99 (avg)ERA 5.06 (below)2d stress Elevated (9.0 IP/2g)

NYM

xERA 3.53 (good)ERA 4.78 (below)2d stress Normal (7.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSFG+146+1.5 (-152)O8.0 (-110)NYM-157-1.5 (+134)U8.0 (-107)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSFG+136+0.5 (-110)O4.5 (-108)NYM-166-0.5 (-118)U4.5 (-120)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USFG3.5 (-102/-115)1.5 (-120/-110)NYM4.5 (+105/-130)2.5 (+105/-135)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UCesar Perdomo3.5 (-142 / +112)—Christian Scott5.5 (-150 / +143)15.5 (-102 / -125)

Cesar Perdomo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L6.08343100

Sep 1 '26@

L4.0*5843111

Christian Scott · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W4.28074022

Aug 28 '26vs

L5.19621533

Aug 22 '26@

W4.29465444

Aug 16 '26vs

W6.19075233

Aug 10 '26@

W4.08267144

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Cesar Perdomo

IPERAKHBB

vs NYM6.00.00elite4.03.01.0(1)

at NYM6.00.00elite4.03.01.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L6.08343100

Christian Scott

IPERAKHBB

vs SFG4.24.29avg7.04.00.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W4.28074022

home starts5.14.68below5.33.32.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W4.28074022

Aug 28 '26vs

L5.19621533

Aug 16 '26vs

W6.19075233

Trends · SFG

SFG are 2-5 vs NYM this season (7 games).
SFG are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
SFG are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.

Over / Under

SFG are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games.
SFG are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.

Trends · NYM

NYM are 5-2 vs SFG this season (7 games).
NYM are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
NYM are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
NYM are 4-1 in Christian Scott's last 5 starts.
NYM are 2-3 in Christian Scott's last 5 home starts.
NYM average 5.8 runs/game in Christian Scott's last 5 starts.
NYM average 2.2 runs/game in Christian Scott's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

NYM are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
NYM are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
NYM are 3-2 to the over in Christian Scott's last 5 starts.
NYM are 0-2 to the over in Christian Scott's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

72°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 6 mph NNE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

SFG — Cesar Perdomo: first start of the season — no stats available yet
SFG bullpen elevated (9.0 IP over 2g)
SFG — Cesar Perdomo: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-01
NYM — Christian Scott: low-K outing 2026-08-28 (2 Ks vs avg 5.0 over his last 3)

ARI @

HOU✓

2:10 PM · Daikin Park (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

E. Rodriguez L

xERA2.41 (elite)ERA1.53 (elite)K%21.9 (avg)Whiff%22.1 (avg)

More Stats

HH%18.4 (elite)Barrel%2.0 (elite)IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs101BB%11.0 (below)

HOU vs LHP

wRC+87 (below)K%22.4 (avg)Whiff%21.1 (avg)HH%33.3 (below)

L12

wRC+127 (above)K%22.2 (avg)Whiff%20.5 (above)HH%33.9 (below)

Peter Lambert R

xERA5.14 (below)ERA8.36 (poor)K%19.4 (avg)Whiff%25.2 (good)

More Stats

HH%29.8 (elite)Barrel%6.4 (good)IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs101BB%13.9 (poor)

ARI vs RHP

wRC+57 (poor)K%24.8 (below)Whiff%25.0 (below)HH%27.3 (poor)

L12

wRC+69 (poor)K%21.9 (avg)Whiff%20.9 (above)HH%30.1 (below)

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.20 (avg)ERA 3.21 (good)2d stress Normal (5.7 IP/2g)

HOU

xERA 3.93 (avg)ERA 3.65 (good)2d stress Elevated (9.7 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI-105-1.5 (+157)O8.0 (-108)HOU-110+1.5 (-182)U8.0 (-106)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalARI-110-0.5 (+122)O4.5 (-104)HOU-112+0.5 (-160)U4.5 (-125)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UARI3.5 (-135/+110)1.5 (-154/+120)HOU3.5 (-128/+105)2.5 (+124/-160)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UE. Rodriguez4.5 (+120 / -138)17.5 (-146 / +115)Peter Lambert4.5 (-113 / +100)15.5 (-114 / -110)

E. Rodriguez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.09663211

Sep 1 '26vs

L5.010338333

Aug 26 '26vs

W7.010492300

Aug 21 '26vs

W5.29944200

Aug 15 '26@

W6.09655022

Peter Lambert · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09867033

Aug 31 '26vs

W4.210463522

Aug 26 '26@

L5.210257323

Aug 20 '26vs

L3.27938299

Aug 14 '26vs

W5.09664222

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

E. Rodriguez

IPERAKHBB

vs HOU6.00.74elite4.54.52.5(2)

at HOU6.01.50elite6.03.02.0(1)

1 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W6.09663211

Jul 22 '25vs

L6.19036300

Peter Lambert

IPERAKHBB

vs ARI7.03.86avg6.07.00.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09867033

home starts4.88.75poor5.06.02.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L7.09867033

Aug 31 '26vs

W4.210463522

Aug 20 '26vs

L3.27938299

Trends · ARI

ARI are 2-1 vs HOU this season (3 games).
ARI are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
ARI are 4-1 in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
ARI are 5-0 in E. Rodriguez's last 5 away starts.
ARI average 5.2 runs/game in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
ARI average 5.8 runs/game in E. Rodriguez's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

ARI are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
ARI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ARI are 3-2 to the over in E. Rodriguez's last 5 starts.
ARI are 1-2 to the over in E. Rodriguez's last 3 away starts.

Trends · HOU

HOU are 1-2 vs ARI this season (3 games).
HOU are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
HOU are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
HOU are 2-3 in Peter Lambert's last 5 starts.
HOU are 4-1 in Peter Lambert's last 5 home starts.
HOU average 4.8 runs/game in Peter Lambert's last 5 starts.
HOU average 6.2 runs/game in Peter Lambert's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

HOU are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
HOU are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 home games.
HOU are 4-1 to the over in Peter Lambert's last 5 starts.
HOU are 3-0 to the over in Peter Lambert's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Roof Closed

Flags · 5

HOU bullpen elevated (9.7 IP over 2g)
ARI — E. Rodriguez: last start: 103 pitches over 5.0 IP
HOU — Peter Lambert: last start: 104 pitches over 4.2 IP
HOU — Peter Lambert: 2026-08-20: 9 ER in 3.2 IP (ERA equiv 25); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.87 ERA equivalent
HOU — Peter Lambert: recent opponents high-K: LAA 30%, NYY 28%

E. Rodriguez u18.5 Outs (+120)

TOR @

KCR✓

2:10 PM · Kauffman StadiumHot

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

S. Arrighetti R

xERA4.73 (below)ERA6.55 (poor)K%20.4 (avg)Whiff%22.7 (avg)

More Stats

HH%32.4 (good)Barrel%8.8 (avg)IP/gs5.5 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs77BB%10.2 (below)

KCR vs RHP

wRC+111 (avg)K%13.3 (elite)Whiff%19.3 (above)HH%43.4 (above)

L12

wRC+131 (elite)K%16.5 (above)Whiff%20.0 (above)HH%42.4 (above)

Randy Dobnak R

xERA4.74 (below)ERA5.06 (below)K%20.8 (avg)Whiff%23.4 (good)

More Stats

HH%38.8 (avg)Barrel%10.2 (avg)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs87BB%9.7 (avg)

TOR vs RHP

wRC+119 (above)K%20.4 (avg)Whiff%20.2 (above)HH%40.2 (above)

L12

wRC+112 (avg)K%17.8 (above)Whiff%18.3 (above)HH%39.6 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

TOR

xERA 3.49 (good)ERA 3.55 (good)2d stress Elevated (10.3 IP/2g)

KCR

xERA 3.65 (good)ERA 3.59 (good)2d stress Elevated (8.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTOR-122-1.5 (+132)O9.5 (-102)KCR+105+1.5 (-150)U9.5 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTOR-120-0.5 (+110)O5.5 (-104)KCR-104+0.5 (-144)U5.5 (-125)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UTOR4.5 (-125/+100)2.5 (-105/-125)KCR4.5 (+108/-130)2.5 (+100/-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/US. Arrighetti3.5 (-108 / -108)14.5 (-114 / +100)Randy Dobnak2.5 (-138 / +125)15.5 (+100 / -119)

S. Arrighetti · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.29136366

Sep 1 '26@

L3.2*6222122

Aug 27 '26vs

L4.07945234

Aug 21 '26@

L3.1*6143233

Jul 24 '26@

W1.03302233

Randy Dobnak · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.08334011

Sep 1 '26vs

L6.08767266

Aug 26 '26@

L6.09256133

Aug 20 '26vs

W4.09646400

Aug 15 '26@

L5.29364200

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

S. Arrighetti

IPERAKHBB

vs KCR4.78.24poor4.76.32.0(3)

at KCR5.18.82poor5.07.02.0(2)

all 3 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.29136366

Aug 27 '26vs

L4.07945234

Jun 14 '26@

L6.010178144

Randy Dobnak

IPERAKHBB

vs TOR6.03.00good4.05.00.5(2)

all 2 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.08334011

Aug 26 '26@

L6.09256133

home starts5.33.94avg4.35.72.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.08334011

Sep 1 '26vs

L6.08767266

Aug 20 '26vs

W4.09646400

Trends · TOR

TOR are 3-3 vs KCR this season (6 games).
TOR are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
TOR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
TOR have won 4 straight.
TOR are 0-1 in S. Arrighetti's last 1 starts.
TOR average 2.0 runs/game in S. Arrighetti's last 1 starts.

Over / Under

TOR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
TOR are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
TOR are 2-0 to the over in S. Arrighetti's last 2 starts.

Trends · KCR

KCR are 3-3 vs TOR this season (6 games).
KCR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
KCR are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
KCR are 1-4 in Randy Dobnak's last 5 starts.
KCR are 3-2 in Randy Dobnak's last 5 home starts.
KCR average 2.2 runs/game in Randy Dobnak's last 5 starts.
KCR average 5.0 runs/game in Randy Dobnak's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

KCR are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
KCR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
KCR are 1-4 to the over in Randy Dobnak's last 5 starts.
KCR are 1-2 to the over in Randy Dobnak's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Hot

98°F, Wind 7 mph E

Flags · 7

TOR bullpen elevated (10.3 IP over 2g)
KCR bullpen elevated (8.0 IP over 2g)
TOR — S. Arrighetti: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-01, 2026-08-21
TOR — S. Arrighetti: last start: 79 pitches over 4.0 IP
TOR — S. Arrighetti: 2026-07-24: 3 ER in 1.0 IP; the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 4.28 ERA equivalent
KCR — Randy Dobnak: 2026-09-01: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 2.25 ERA equivalent
WEATHER: wind blowing ACROSS the field 7 mph from the E

Randy Dobnak o2.5 Strikeouts (+112)

S. Arrighetti u14.5 Outs (+103)

TBR @

TEX

2:35 PM · Globe Life Field (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Ian Seymour L

xERA2.29 (elite)ERA4.76 (below)K%32.4 (elite)Whiff%28.9 (elite)

More Stats

HH%23.4 (elite)Barrel%6.4 (good)IP/gs8.5 IP/gsH/gs9.5PC/gs84BB%1.4 (elite)

TEX vs LHP

wRC+183 (elite)K%17.0 (above)Whiff%24.6 (avg)HH%48.7 (elite)

L12

wRC+159 (elite)K%19.5 (above)Whiff%23.4 (avg)HH%44.4 (above)

MacKenzie Gore L

xERA3.49 (good)ERA3.00 (good)K%22.4 (avg)Whiff%29.5 (elite)

More Stats

HH%35.7 (avg)Barrel%4.8 (elite)IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs82BB%13.4 (poor)

TBR vs LHP

wRC+146 (elite)K%14.9 (elite)Whiff%15.4 (elite)HH%27.8 (poor)

L12

wRC+110 (avg)K%16.0 (above)Whiff%16.9 (elite)HH%31.0 (below)

Bullpens · Last 12

TBR

xERA 3.14 (good)ERA 3.71 (good)2d stress Normal (5.7 IP/2g)

TEX

xERA 4.54 (below)ERA 6.32 (poor)2d stress Stressed (12.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTBR+1700+1.5 (+1100)O14.5 (+1100)TEX-5000-1.5 (-800)U14.5 (-800)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTBR-106+0.5 (-156)O3.5 (-144)TEX-118-0.5 (+120)U3.5 (+110)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UTBR3.5 (-122/+100)1.5 (-135/+105)TEX3.5 (-113/-113)1.5 (-140/+110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UIan Seymour5.5 (-133 / +110)17.5 (-104 / +108)MacKenzie Gore5.5 (+128 / +116)17.5 (+110 / +106)

Ian Seymour · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L3.07525134

Aug 31 '26vs

L6.188106033

Aug 25 '26@

L5.2*8857034

Aug 20 '26vs

L5.09086133

Aug 15 '26vs

L6.09396133

MacKenzie Gore · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W3.06816355

Sep 1 '26vs

W5.19545411

Aug 26 '26@

L3.28348444

Aug 21 '26vs

W6.010072100

Aug 15 '26@

W5.29958233

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Ian Seymour

IPERAKHBB

vs TEX3.09.00poor2.05.01.0(1)

at TEX3.09.00poor2.05.01.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L3.07525134

MacKenzie Gore

IPERAKHBB

vs TBR5.07.20poor5.04.51.5(2)

all 2 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W3.06816355

Jul 29 '26@

L7.09593033

home starts4.73.83avg4.04.32.7(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W3.06816355

Sep 1 '26vs

W5.19545411

Aug 21 '26vs

W6.010072100

Trends · TBR

TBR are 4-3 vs TEX this season (7 games).
TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
TBR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
TBR are 2-3 in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
TBR are 3-1 in Ian Seymour's last 4 away starts.
TBR average 4.6 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
TBR average 7.0 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 4 away starts.

Over / Under

TBR are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
TBR are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
TBR are 0-5 to the over in Ian Seymour's last 5 starts.
TBR are 1-2 to the over in Ian Seymour's last 3 away starts.

Trends · TEX

TEX are 3-4 vs TBR this season (7 games).
TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
TEX are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
TEX are 4-1 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
TEX are 5-0 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 home starts.
TEX average 4.6 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
TEX average 5.2 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

TEX are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games.
TEX are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
TEX are 2-3 to the over in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
TEX are 2-1 to the over in MacKenzie Gore's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Roof Closed

Flags · 4

TEX — MacKenzie Gore: Whiff% 29.5 (last 3 starts) runs well above what K% 22.4 shows
TEX bullpen stressed (12.0 IP over 2g)
TBR — Ian Seymour: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-25
TEX — MacKenzie Gore: 2026-08-26: 4 ER in 3.2 IP (ERA equiv 11); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 0.88 ERA equivalent

STL @

COL✓

3:10 PM · Coors FieldHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Kyle Leahy R

xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?

More Stats

HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?

COL vs RHP

wRC+102 (avg)K%20.5 (avg)Whiff%20.3 (above)HH%31.0 (below)

L12

wRC+107 (avg)K%20.1 (avg)Whiff%22.8 (avg)HH%35.1 (avg)

Tanner Gordon R

xERA2.74 (elite)ERA3.63 (good)K%14.1 (below)Whiff%18.4 (avg)

More Stats

HH%31.0 (good)Barrel%5.2 (good)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs77BB%4.2 (elite)

STL vs RHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%23.1 (avg)Whiff%23.8 (avg)HH%46.4 (elite)

L12

wRC+105 (avg)K%24.2 (below)Whiff%23.6 (avg)HH%43.9 (above)

Bullpens · Last 12

STL

xERA 4.83 (below)ERA 6.23 (poor)2d stress Normal (7.7 IP/2g)

COL

xERA 3.99 (avg)ERA 3.80 (avg)2d stress Elevated (8.3 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSTL-10000-4.5 (+250)O16.5 (-125)COL+3000+4.5 (-273)U16.5 (+110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSTL-138-0.5 (-102)O5.5 (-138)COL+110+0.5 (-128)U5.5 (+106)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/USTL5.5 (-128/+105)2.5 (-145/+114)COL4.5 (-130/+110)2.5 (-120/-110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UKyle Leahy2.5 (+110 / -125)—Tanner Gordon4.5 (+131 / +138)15.5 (+122 / -152)

Kyle Leahy · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W2.25566055

Aug 29 '26vs

L3.05134111

Aug 23 '26@

L4.06342200

Aug 18 '26@

W5.09063000

Aug 12 '26vs

W5.08166011

Tanner Gordon · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.28048155

Aug 31 '26vs

L5.06033111

Aug 26 '26@

W7.09056011

Aug 21 '26vs

L5.18229255

Aug 15 '26@

L4.0*6343000

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Kyle Leahy

IPERAKHBB

vs COL3.68.75poor7.07.00.0(2)

at COL2.220.45poor6.06.00.0(1)

all 2 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

W2.25566055

Aug 7 '26vs

W5.08288022

Tanner Gordon

IPERAKHBB

vs STL5.14.41avg3.56.02.0(2)

1 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.28048155

Jul 23 '25vs

W6.09634300

home starts4.86.92poor3.06.71.3(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

L4.28048155

Aug 31 '26vs

L5.06033111

Aug 21 '26vs

L5.18229255

Trends · STL

STL are 3-2 vs COL this season (5 games).
STL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
STL are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
STL are 3-2 in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL are 2-3 in Kyle Leahy's last 5 away starts.
STL average 3.8 runs/game in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL average 2.6 runs/game in Kyle Leahy's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

STL are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games.
STL are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 away games.
STL are 1-4 to the over in Kyle Leahy's last 5 starts.
STL are 1-2 to the over in Kyle Leahy's last 3 away starts.

Trends · COL

COL are 2-3 vs STL this season (5 games).
COL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
COL are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
COL are 3-2 in Tanner Gordon's last 5 starts.
COL are 1-4 in Tanner Gordon's last 5 home starts.
COL average 5.2 runs/game in Tanner Gordon's last 5 starts.
COL average 3.6 runs/game in Tanner Gordon's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

COL are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
COL are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
COL are 1-2 to the over in Tanner Gordon's last 3 starts.
COL are 0-2 to the over in Tanner Gordon's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

89°F, Clear, Wind 4 mph ENE

APF 115 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 7

STL — Kyle Leahy: first start of the season — no stats available yet
COL bullpen elevated (8.3 IP over 2g)
STL — Kyle Leahy: last start: 51 pitches over 3.0 IP
COL — Tanner Gordon: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-08-15, 2026-08-09
COL — Tanner Gordon: last start: 60 pitches over 5.0 IP
COL — Tanner Gordon: 2026-08-21: 5 ER in 5.1 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.54 ERA equivalent
WEATHER: hitter-friendly park (APF 115)

Tanner Gordon u4.5 Ks (+138)

ATH @

SEA✓

4:10 PM · T-Mobile ParkPitcher Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Gage Jump L

xERA5.44 (poor)ERA8.59 (poor)K%20.3 (avg)Whiff%25.0 (good)

More Stats

HH%40.4 (below)Barrel%17.0 (poor)IP/gs4.9 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs89BB%11.6 (below)

SEA vs LHP

wRC+64 (poor)K%23.7 (avg)Whiff%24.1 (avg)HH%26.3 (poor)

L12

wRC+43 (poor)K%26.8 (below)Whiff%27.3 (below)HH%28.9 (poor)

Bryan Woo R

xERA3.82 (avg)ERA5.06 (below)K%26.2 (good)Whiff%23.1 (good)

More Stats

HH%45.5 (poor)Barrel%15.9 (poor)IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs81BB%4.6 (elite)

ATH vs RHP

wRC+140 (elite)K%25.6 (below)Whiff%25.7 (below)HH%41.9 (above)

L12

wRC+128 (above)K%22.8 (avg)Whiff%25.4 (below)HH%38.9 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 3.15 (good)ERA 3.60 (good)2d stress Elevated (8.3 IP/2g)

SEA

xERA 4.40 (avg)ERA 4.89 (below)2d stress Normal (6.7 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+680+1.5 (+188)O3.5 (+104)SEA-1200-2.5 (+170)U3.5 (-125)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATH+172+0.5 (+108)O3.5 (-152)SEA-210-0.5 (-140)U3.5 (+116)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UATH2.5 (-132/+105)1.5 (+120/-154)SEA4.5 (+118/+110)2.5 (+120/-154)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UGage Jump5.5 (-113 / +100)16.5 (+118 / -104)Bryan Woo6.5 (+100 / -121)17.5 (-205 / +152)

Gage Jump · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.08276022

Aug 31 '26@

L4.19126377

Aug 25 '26vs

W6.19493222

Aug 20 '26@

L4.08638355

Aug 14 '26vs

W5.110113433

Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.06761100

Sep 1 '26@

W6.09975112

Aug 26 '26vs

L4.07655166

Aug 16 '26@

W6.07553122

Aug 11 '26@

L5.09253100

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Gage Jump

IPERAKHBB

vs SEA4.56.00poor6.07.50.5(2)

at SEA4.04.50below7.06.00.0(1)

all 2 this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L4.08276022

May 26 '26vs

L5.08859144

Bryan Woo

IPERAKHBB

vs ATH6.42.83elite6.33.31.3(3)

1 this season, 2 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.06761100

Aug 22 '25vs

W7.08871211

Jul 30 '25@

L6.18468155

home starts5.73.18good5.33.01.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.06761100

Aug 26 '26vs

L4.07655166

Aug 5 '26vs

W7.09153100

Trends · ATH

ATH are 5-4 vs SEA this season (9 games).
ATH are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
ATH are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
ATH have won 4 straight.
ATH are 3-2 in Gage Jump's last 5 starts.
ATH are 1-4 in Gage Jump's last 5 away starts.
ATH average 4.4 runs/game in Gage Jump's last 5 starts.
ATH average 3.0 runs/game in Gage Jump's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

ATH are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
ATH are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
ATH are 2-3 to the over in Gage Jump's last 5 starts.
ATH are 1-2 to the over in Gage Jump's last 3 away starts.

Trends · SEA

SEA are 4-5 vs ATH this season (9 games).
SEA are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
SEA are 3-2 in Bryan Woo's last 5 starts.
SEA are 4-1 in Bryan Woo's last 5 home starts.
SEA average 3.4 runs/game in Bryan Woo's last 5 starts.
SEA average 3.8 runs/game in Bryan Woo's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

SEA are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
SEA are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 home games.
SEA are 2-3 to the over in Bryan Woo's last 5 starts.
SEA are 1-2 to the over in Bryan Woo's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Pitcher Friendly

67°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph NNW

APF 91 — Pitcher Friendly

Flags · 6

ATH bullpen elevated (8.3 IP over 2g)
ATH — Gage Jump: high-K outing 2026-08-25 (9 Ks vs avg 4.7 over his last 3)
ATH — Gage Jump: recent opponents low-K: MIN 18%, TEX 17%
SEA — Bryan Woo: 2026-08-26: 6 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 14); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 2.25 ERA equivalent
WEATHER: pitcher-friendly park (APF 91)
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL West)

ATH Team Total o2.5 (-146)

ATH +1.5 (-132)

NYY @

SDP

4:10 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Gerrit Cole R

xERA3.12 (good)ERA3.63 (good)K%24.7 (good)Whiff%24.1 (good)

More Stats

HH%49.0 (poor)Barrel%5.9 (good)IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs81BB%4.1 (elite)

SDP vs RHP

wRC+69 (poor)K%27.6 (below)Whiff%26.5 (below)HH%43.6 (above)

L12

wRC+81 (below)K%22.2 (avg)Whiff%23.1 (avg)HH%42.7 (above)

Michael King R

xERA3.72 (good)ERA0.92 (elite)K%22.1 (avg)Whiff%24.7 (good)

More Stats

HH%32.0 (good)Barrel%8.0 (good)IP/gs6.6 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs97BB%9.1 (avg)

NYY vs RHP

wRC+105 (avg)K%28.2 (poor)Whiff%26.6 (below)HH%49.4 (elite)

L12

wRC+99 (avg)K%24.4 (below)Whiff%24.0 (avg)HH%45.1 (elite)

Bullpens · Last 12

NYY

xERA 4.41 (avg)ERA 4.01 (avg)2d stress Normal (7.7 IP/2g)

SDP

xERA 2.37 (elite)ERA 2.25 (elite)2d stress Stressed (11.7 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalNYY+1500+3.5 (-270)O4.5 (+144)SDP-3000-3.5 (+206)U3.5 (+135)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalNYY-125-0.5 (+116)O3.5 (-120)SDP+102+0.5 (-152)U3.5 (-108)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UNYY3.5 (-106/-115)1.5 (-130/+100)SDP3.5 (+118/-135)1.5 (-115/-115)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UGerrit Cole5.5 (+112 / -122)17.5 (-162 / +132)Michael King5.5 (-120 / -102)17.5 (-139 / +118)

Gerrit Cole · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L6.07535033

Sep 1 '26@

W5.19058133

Aug 27 '26vs

L6.07956133

Aug 20 '26@

W6.09384111

Aug 14 '26@

L6.08755212

Michael King · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.09634300

Aug 31 '26@

W6.09664300

Aug 25 '26vs

L7.09875200

Aug 19 '26@

L6.210044222

Aug 14 '26@

W6.08348134

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Gerrit Cole

IPERAKHBB

vs SDP6.04.50below3.05.00.0(1)

at SDP6.04.50below3.05.00.0(1)

this season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26@

L6.07535033

Michael King

IPERAKHBB

vs NYY6.01.50elite2.53.52.5(2)

1 this season, 1 last season · last met today

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.09634300

May 6 '25@

L6.09023222

home starts6.30.47elite5.34.02.0(3)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 6 '26vs

W6.09634300

Aug 25 '26vs

L7.09875200

Aug 8 '26vs

W6.09363111

Trends · NYY

NYY are 1-1 vs SDP this season (2 games).
NYY are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
NYY are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
NYY are 3-2 in Gerrit Cole's last 5 starts.
NYY are 4-1 in Gerrit Cole's last 5 away starts.
NYY average 4.0 runs/game in Gerrit Cole's last 5 starts.
NYY average 3.8 runs/game in Gerrit Cole's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

NYY are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
NYY are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 away games.
NYY are 2-3 to the over in Gerrit Cole's last 5 starts.
NYY are 1-2 to the over in Gerrit Cole's last 3 away starts.

Trends · SDP

SDP are 1-1 vs NYY this season (2 games).
SDP are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
SDP are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
SDP are 3-2 in Michael King's last 5 starts.
SDP are 3-2 in Michael King's last 5 home starts.
SDP average 3.4 runs/game in Michael King's last 5 starts.
SDP average 4.6 runs/game in Michael King's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

SDP are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
SDP are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 home games.
SDP are 1-4 to the over in Michael King's last 5 starts.
SDP are 1-2 to the over in Michael King's last 3 home starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

87°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 11 mph N

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 1

SDP bullpen stressed (11.7 IP over 2g)

MIN @

CHW✓

6:20 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Bailey Ober R

xERA3.64 (good)ERA2.51 (elite)K%19.4 (avg)Whiff%19.6 (avg)

More Stats

HH%43.2 (below)Barrel%9.1 (avg)IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs87BB%9.7 (avg)

CHW vs RHP

wRC+80 (below)K%23.7 (avg)Whiff%23.1 (avg)HH%38.8 (avg)

L12

wRC+91 (below)K%22.6 (avg)Whiff%22.1 (avg)HH%36.3 (avg)

Jose Urquidy RBULK

Opener: Bryan Hudson (LHP) — stats below are the bulk arm’s

xERA3.22 (good)ERA6.00 (poor)K%7.0 (poor)Whiff%16.9 (below)

More Stats

HH%29.4 (elite)Barrel%0.0 (elite)IP/gs9.0 IP/gsH/gs10.0PC/gs59BB%9.3 (avg)

MIN vs RHP

wRC+130 (elite)K%14.6 (elite)Whiff%19.5 (above)HH%40.9 (above)

L12

wRC+128 (above)K%15.2 (elite)Whiff%18.7 (above)HH%39.9 (avg)

Bullpens · Last 12

MIN

xERA 3.98 (avg)ERA 4.95 (below)2d stress Normal (7.0 IP/2g)

CHW

xERA 3.62 (good)ERA 2.94 (elite)2d stress Elevated (8.7 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalMIN+124+1.5 (-170)O8.5 (-115)CHW-144-1.5 (+146)U8.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalMIN+120+0.5 (-122)O4.5 (-122)CHW-148-0.5 (-104)U4.5 (-106)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UMIN3.5 (-130/+105)1.5 (-145/+114)CHW4.5 (+100/-128)2.5 (+100/-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UBailey Ober3.5 (-137 / +108)15.5 (+122 / +130)Jose Urquidy——

Bailey Ober · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 29 '26vs

L5.08052212

Aug 23 '26@

L5.08734311

Aug 17 '26vs

W4.19446122

Aug 11 '26vs

L6.010048155

Aug 6 '26@

W6.07406033

Jose Urquidy · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 3 '26@

L1.0*1701000

Aug 30 '26@

L5.0*6713011

Aug 24 '26vs

L3.09326455

Aug 19 '26@

W6.0*6882000

Aug 14 '26@

W3.2*5235033

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Bailey Ober

IPERAKHBB

vs CHW5.33.38good4.75.31.7(3)

at CHW—

1 this season, 2 last season · last met 8 days ago

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 29 '26vs

L5.08052212

Sep 1 '25vs

L5.06936244

Apr 22 '25vs

W6.08768111

Jose Urquidy

IPERAKHBB

vs MIN—

home starts3.015.00poor2.06.04.0(1)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 24 '26vs

L3.09326455

Trends · MIN

MIN are 5-7 vs CHW this season (12 games).
MIN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
MIN are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
MIN are 2-3 in Bailey Ober's last 5 starts.
MIN are 3-2 in Bailey Ober's last 5 away starts.
MIN average 2.6 runs/game in Bailey Ober's last 5 starts.
MIN average 5.8 runs/game in Bailey Ober's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

MIN are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 games.
MIN are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 away games.
MIN are 1-4 to the over in Bailey Ober's last 5 starts.

Trends · CHW

CHW are 7-5 vs MIN this season (12 games).
CHW are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
CHW are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
CHW are 0-1 in Jose Urquidy's last 1 starts.
CHW are 0-1 in Jose Urquidy's last 1 home starts.
CHW average 2.0 runs/game in Jose Urquidy's last 1 starts.
CHW average 2.0 runs/game in Jose Urquidy's last 1 home starts.

Over / Under

CHW are 3-7 to the over in their last 10 games.
CHW are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 home games.
CHW are 1-2 to the over in Jose Urquidy's last 3 starts.

Weather · Neutral Conditions

74°F, Overcast, Wind 12 mph NE

APF 99 — Neutral

Flags · 6

OPENER: CHW start Bryan Hudson (LHP) (last 5 outings avg 1.1 IP (longest 1.3)), with Jose Urquidy (RHP) expected to carry the bulk of the innings. The stats and the hand shown are the bulk arm's — MIN's offense line is split against RHP, not the opener's.
CHW bullpen elevated (8.7 IP over 2g)
MIN — Bailey Ober: recent opponents high-K: ATL 27%, SDP 28%
CHW — Jose Urquidy: 13 days since last start (2026-08-24) news ↗
CHW — Jose Urquidy: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-03, 2026-08-30
TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL Central)

MIN F5 Moneyline (+120)

MIN Team Total o3.5 (-128)

Bailey Ober u15.5 Outs (-154)

WSN @

LAD

10:10 PM · UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12

Andrew Alvarez L

xERA3.40 (good)ERA2.30 (elite)K%26.2 (good)Whiff%23.3 (good)

More Stats

HH%32.5 (good)Barrel%7.5 (good)IP/gs5.2 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs84BB%12.3 (below)

LAD vs LHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%17.2 (above)Whiff%29.2 (poor)HH%41.7 (above)

L12

wRC+107 (avg)K%19.5 (above)Whiff%25.9 (below)HH%33.3 (below)

Justin Wrobleski L

xERA5.11 (below)ERA7.15 (poor)K%24.1 (good)Whiff%27.4 (good)

More Stats

HH%45.7 (poor)Barrel%14.3 (below)IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs73BB%9.3 (avg)

WSN vs LHP

wRC+112 (avg)K%31.8 (poor)Whiff%36.9 (poor)HH%32.4 (below)

L12

wRC+114 (avg)K%28.0 (poor)Whiff%30.1 (poor)HH%31.7 (below)

Bullpens · Last 12

WSN

xERA 4.63 (below)ERA 7.84 (poor)2d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)

LAD

xERA 3.31 (good)ERA 3.63 (good)2d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalWSN+172+1.5 (-125)O8.5 (-102)LAD-200-1.5 (+108)U8.0 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalWSN+148+0.5 (-102)O4.5 (-114)LAD-188-0.5 (-128)U4.5 (-114)

Team Totals

Full Game O/UF5 O/UWSN3.5 (+106/-130)1.5 (-125/-105)LAD4.5 (-111/-110)2.5 (-110/-120)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UAndrew Alvarez3.5 (-120 / -105)14.5 (-133 / +106)Justin Wrobleski4.5 (+100 / -119)12.5 (+102 / -135)

Andrew Alvarez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 30 '26vs

L6.09762300

Aug 25 '26vs

L4.28165233

Aug 20 '26@

L5.07554311

Aug 14 '26@

L5.27342122

Aug 8 '26vs

W5.17323111

Justin Wrobleski · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Sep 1 '26vs

L2.0*3642123

Aug 15 '26vs

L6.010764144

Aug 9 '26@

L3.17636334

Aug 3 '26@

L4.19147377

Jul 28 '26vs

L6.010277055

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Justin Wrobleski

IPERAKHBB

vs WSN5.014.40poor4.08.03.0(1)

last season · last met 516 days ago

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Apr 8 '25@

L5.08748388

home starts6.06.75poor6.55.50.5(2)

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Aug 15 '26vs

L6.010764144

Jul 28 '26vs

L6.010277055

Trends · WSN

WSN are 0-5 vs LAD this season (5 games).
WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
WSN are 1-9 in their last 10 away games.
WSN are 1-4 in Andrew Alvarez's last 5 starts.
WSN are 1-4 in Andrew Alvarez's last 5 away starts.
WSN average 2.4 runs/game in Andrew Alvarez's last 5 starts.
WSN average 2.4 runs/game in Andrew Alvarez's last 5 away starts.

Over / Under

WSN are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
WSN are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 away games.
WSN are 1-4 to the over in Andrew Alvarez's last 5 starts.
WSN are 1-2 to the over in Andrew Alvarez's last 3 away starts.

Trends · LAD

LAD are 5-0 vs WSN this season (5 games).
LAD are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
LAD are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
LAD are 1-4 in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 starts.
LAD are 2-3 in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 home starts.
LAD average 3.2 runs/game in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 starts.
LAD average 3.0 runs/game in Justin Wrobleski's last 5 home starts.

Over / Under

LAD are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games.
LAD are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 home games.
LAD are 2-2 to the over in Justin Wrobleski's last 4 starts.
LAD are 1-1 to the over in Justin Wrobleski's last 2 home starts.

Weather · Hitter Friendly

74°F, Overcast, Wind 3 mph N

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 5

LAD offense: Whiff% 29.2 (last 6) runs well above what K% 17.2 shows
WSN — Andrew Alvarez: recent opponents high-K: COL 26%, MIA 27%
LAD — Justin Wrobleski: 22 days since last start (2026-08-15) news ↗
LAD — Justin Wrobleski: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-01
LAD — Justin Wrobleski: last start: 107 pitches over 6.0 IP

AI Analysis

No side or total: the Dodgers at -200 and Washington at +172 both fit a game Los Angeles should win without comfort behind a starter carrying a 5.11 xERA over his last 3, and the run environment lands right on the posted 8.5 — the Dodgers' 131 wRC+ vs LHP over their last 6 is a spike off 107 over their last 12, while Washington's 112 wRC+ vs LHP over its last 6 comes attached to a 31.8% strikeout rate and 36.9% whiff rate over that same window, both sharply worse than their last 12, against a lefty generating a 27.4% whiff rate over his last 3. Alvarez's strikeout line at 3.5 asks him to beat a Dodgers lineup striking out just 17.2% over its last 6 vs LHP, and his recent totals of 5, 6 and 6 were built against Colorado and Miami at 26-27% strikeout rates, so they overstate tonight; his 14.5 outs line sits exactly on the 5.2 IP/gs he has averaged over his last 3. Wrobleski's 4.5 strikeout number needs better than a strikeout per inning against a 12.5 outs line the market has already shortened to a four-inning outing, and that outs line is unreadable in either direction with 22 days since his last start and a relief appearance on Sept 1 in between.