CIN @ 
PIT6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions
CIN @ PITMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Andrew Abbott L
xERA3.92 (avg)K%25.0 (good)HH%40.5 (below avg)Barrel%7.1 (good)ERA2.81IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs98BB%11.8
PIT vs LHP
wRC+101 (avg)K%24.2 (below avg)HH%36.8 (avg)
Paul Skenes R
xERA3.57 (good)K%34.7 (elite)HH%50.0 (poor)Barrel%15.0 (below avg)ERA3.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs104BB%6.9
CIN vs RHP
wRC+69 (poor)K%29.1 (poor)HH%32.5 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCIN+184+1.5 (-115)O7.5 (-115)PIT-215-1.5 (+104)U7.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCIN+205+1.5 (-144)O4.5 (+110)PIT-275-1.5 (+110)U4.5 (-144)
Team Totals
OverUnderCINO2.5 (-145)U2.5 (+116)PITO4.5 (-104)U4.5 (-120)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UAndrew Abbott4.5 (-162 / +132)17.5 (-105 / -113)Paul Skenes8.5 (+124 / -137)17.5 (-194 / +144)
Andrew Abbott · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ 
W5.09765311
W5.09765311Jun 14vs 
L5.09554311
L5.09554311Jun 8@ 
L6.010164233
L6.010164233Jun 2vs 
W6.010555433
W6.010555433May 27@ 
L6.010146133
L6.010146133Paul Skenes · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ 
L6.010484222
L6.010484222Jun 14vs 
L6.0104104122
L6.0104104122Jun 9vs 
L6.010376222
L6.010376222Jun 3@ 
L4.210976113
L4.210976113May 28vs 
L5.1103104313
L5.1103104313SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Andrew Abbott
IPERAKHBB
vs PIT5.14.415.03.52.5(2)
at PIT—
Paul Skenes
IPERAKHBB
vs CIN5.70.536.74.70.7(3)
home starts5.72.639.04.72.0(3)
Trends · CIN
- CIN are 1-5 vs PIT this season (6 games).
- CIN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- CIN are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
- CIN are 2-3 in Andrew Abbott's last 5 starts.
- CIN are 3-2 in Andrew Abbott's last 5 away starts.
- CIN average 4.2 runs/game in Andrew Abbott's last 5 starts.
- CIN average 6.0 runs/game in Andrew Abbott's last 5 away starts.
Trends · PIT
- PIT are 5-1 vs CIN this season (6 games).
- PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- PIT are 0-5 in Paul Skenes's last 5 starts.
- PIT are 1-4 in Paul Skenes's last 5 home starts.
- PIT average 3.4 runs/game in Paul Skenes's last 5 starts.
- PIT average 2.0 runs/game in Paul Skenes's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
CIN
xERA 2.67 (elite)ERA 2.982d stress Normal (3.3 IP/1g)
PIT
xERA 3.49 (good)ERA 4.072d stress Normal (6.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
77°F, Overcast, Wind 4 mph W
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- PIT — Paul Skenes: HH% 50% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- PIT — Paul Skenes: Barrel% 15% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- CIN — Andrew Abbott: recent opponents low-K: SDP 17%, ARI 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
- PIT — Paul Skenes: last start: 104 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
HOU @ 
DET6:40 PM · Comerica ParkNeutral Conditions
HOU @ DETMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
S. Arrighetti R
xERA3.18 (good)K%28.9 (elite)HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%8.5 (avg)ERA6.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs95BB%6.6
DET vs RHP
wRC+120 (above avg)K%24.6 (below avg)HH%37.0 (avg)
Keider Montero R
xERA2.91 (elite)K%15.5 (below avg)HH%35.4 (avg)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA2.45IP/gs7.3 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs67BB%1.7
HOU vs RHP
wRC+124 (above avg)K%19.7 (above avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalHOU+101-1.5 (+172)O8.5 (-102)DET-118-1.5 (+165)U8.5 (-113)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalHOU-106+0.5 (-152)O4.5 (-130)DET-118-0.5 (+116)U4.5 (+100)
Team Totals
OverUnderHOUO3.5 (-140)U3.5 (+114)DETO4.5 (+114)U3.5 (+118)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/US. Arrighetti5.5 (+100 / -118)—Keider Montero3.5 (-120 / -102)17.5 (+100 / -140)
S. Arrighetti · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs 
L6.09086066
L6.09086066Jun 14@ L6.010178144
L6.010178144Jun 8@ 
W6.09574433
W6.09574433Jun 3vs W4.08336144
W4.08336144May 28@ 
W6.09433111
W6.09433111Keider Montero · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs 
W7.07636033
W7.07636033Jun 16@ L1.1*3022012
L1.1*3022012Jun 11vs 
W6.19644100
W6.19644100Jun 6vs 
L5.07916144
L5.07916144May 31@ L6.06542000
L6.06542000SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
S. Arrighetti
IPERAKHBB
vs DET5.09.005.07.04.0(1)
at DET5.09.005.07.04.0(1)
Keider Montero
IPERAKHBB
vs HOU—
home starts6.03.482.75.30.7(3)
Trends · HOU
- HOU are 3-1 vs DET this season (4 games).
- HOU are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- HOU are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- HOU are 3-2 in S. Arrighetti's last 5 starts.
- HOU are 3-2 in S. Arrighetti's last 5 away starts.
- HOU average 4.4 runs/game in S. Arrighetti's last 5 starts.
- HOU average 3.0 runs/game in S. Arrighetti's last 5 away starts.
Trends · DET
- DET are 1-3 vs HOU this season (4 games).
- DET are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- DET are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- DET are 2-3 in Keider Montero's last 5 starts.
- DET are 2-3 in Keider Montero's last 5 home starts.
- DET average 4.6 runs/game in Keider Montero's last 5 starts.
- DET average 5.0 runs/game in Keider Montero's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
HOU
xERA 3.30 (good)ERA 3.302d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
DET
xERA 2.45 (elite)ERA 1.522d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
75°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph ENE
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- HOU — S. Arrighetti: recent opponents high-K: LAA 26%, CLE 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- DET — Keider Montero: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-16 — may affect pitch count or availability
- DET — Keider Montero: last start: 76 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- DET — Keider Montero: 2026-06-06: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
No full-game total or side bet recommended as a standalone: Imai is wildly inconsistent (one 0.2 IP meltdown skewing everything, though other starts were solid) and his short avg IP (3.9 IP/gs) means bullpen-heavy game; DET bullpen is elite (xERA 2.45) which depresses the over; Melton has been good recently; the Under is tempting but Imai's instability makes total projection unreliable — HOU team total over is the cleaner angle. No side bet: DET ML at -118 is reasonable pricing given matchup uncertainty around Imai's length.
WSN @ 
BAL7:05 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHot
WSN @ BALMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Andrew Alvarez L
xERA3.27 (good)K%27.3 (good)HH%47.1 (poor)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA3.00IP/gs4.0 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs72BB%10.9
BAL vs LHP
wRC+98 (avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)
Trevor Rogers L
xERA3.25 (good)K%18.3 (avg)HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA2.41IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs92BB%7.0
WSN vs LHP
wRC+145 (elite)K%25.0 (below avg)HH%44.8 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalWSN+120+1.5 (-163)O9.0 (-110)BAL-140-1.5 (+146)U8.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalWSN+104+0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-120)BAL-130-0.5 (+108)U4.5 (-108)
Team Totals
OverUnderWSNO4.5 (+114)U3.5 (+116)BALO4.5 (-102)U4.5 (-110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UAndrew Alvarez4.5 (-144 / +120)14.5 (-103 / -129)Trevor Rogers4.5 (-125 / +104)17.5 (-101 / -120)
Andrew Alvarez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ 
L4.06864011
L4.06864011Jun 15vs W4.05855111
W4.05855111Jun 9@ 
W4.09045522
W4.09045522Jun 3vs L4.28254111
L4.28254111May 29vs L3.0*7415233
L3.0*7415233Trevor Rogers · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W7.09661200
W7.09661200Jun 14vs L6.08245222
L6.08245222Jun 9vs L5.29736133
L5.29736133Jun 4@ 
W5.28735111
W5.28735111May 29vs 
L6.08436144
L6.08436144SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Trevor Rogers
IPERAKHBB
vs WSN—
home starts5.74.713.35.71.3(3)
Trends · WSN
- WSN are 2-1 vs BAL this season (3 games).
- WSN are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- WSN are 2-2 in Andrew Alvarez's last 4 starts.
- WSN are 1-1 in Andrew Alvarez's last 2 away starts.
- WSN average 4.2 runs/game in Andrew Alvarez's last 4 starts.
- WSN average 4.5 runs/game in Andrew Alvarez's last 2 away starts.
Trends · BAL
- BAL are 1-2 vs WSN this season (3 games).
- BAL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- BAL are 2-3 in Trevor Rogers's last 5 starts.
- BAL are 0-5 in Trevor Rogers's last 5 home starts.
- BAL average 4.6 runs/game in Trevor Rogers's last 5 starts.
- BAL average 2.6 runs/game in Trevor Rogers's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
WSN
xERA 4.25 (avg)ERA 5.292d stress Elevated (8.7 IP/2g)
BAL
xERA 4.11 (avg)ERA 3.572d stress Stressed (5.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Hot
90°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph WNW
APF 107 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 6
- WSN — Andrew Alvarez: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- WSN bullpen elevated (8.7 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- BAL bullpen stressed (5.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- WSN — Andrew Alvarez: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-05-29, 2026-05-24 — may affect pitch count or availability
- WSN — Andrew Alvarez: last start: 68 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- BAL — Trevor Rogers: recent opponents low-K: SEA 17%, SDP 17% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
TEX @ TOR7:07 PM · Rogers CentreNeutral Conditions
TEX @ TORMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Nathan Eovaldi R
xERA3.46 (good)K%24.3 (good)HH%35.3 (avg)Barrel%11.8 (below avg)ERA4.82IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs92BB%6.8
TOR vs RHP
wRC+118 (above avg)K%18.8 (above avg)HH%37.2 (avg)
Patrick Corbin L
xERA6.07 (poor)K%17.9 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)Barrel%5.3 (good)ERA8.71IP/gs3.4 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs85BB%12.5
TEX vs LHP
wRC+93 (below avg)K%26.0 (below avg)HH%27.9 (poor)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTEX-112-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-106)TOR-104+1.5 (-175)U8.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalTEX-132-0.5 (+106)O4.5 (-114)TOR+106+0.5 (-138)U4.5 (-114)
Team Totals
OverUnderTEXO4.5 (+112)U4.5 (-130)TORO3.5 (-142)U3.5 (+114)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UNathan Eovaldi5.5 (+128 / +128)18.5 (+115 / +114)Patrick Corbin3.5 (-156 / +140)14.5 (-165 / +124)
Nathan Eovaldi · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs W6.09497133
W6.09497133Jun 14@ W7.09466133
W7.09466133Jun 9@ L5.28834344
L5.28834344Jun 2@ 
W6.093711144
W6.093711144May 28vs L7.09064255
L7.09064255Patrick Corbin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W3.210146333
W3.210146333Jun 14vs L3.27637022
L3.27637022Jun 8vs 
L3.07934455
L3.07934455Jun 3@ 
L5.08516244
L5.08516244May 28@ W5.08044111
W5.08044111SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Nathan Eovaldi
IPERAKHBB
vs TOR4.52.004.03.50.5(2)
at TOR7.02.576.05.00.0(1)
Patrick Corbin
IPERAKHBB
vs TEX—
home starts4.15.904.35.31.3(3)
Trends · TEX
- TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- TEX are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- TEX are 3-2 in Nathan Eovaldi's last 5 starts.
- TEX are 3-2 in Nathan Eovaldi's last 5 away starts.
- TEX average 4.2 runs/game in Nathan Eovaldi's last 5 starts.
- TEX average 5.2 runs/game in Nathan Eovaldi's last 5 away starts.
Trends · TOR
- TOR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- TOR are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- TOR are 2-3 in Patrick Corbin's last 5 starts.
- TOR are 2-3 in Patrick Corbin's last 5 home starts.
- TOR average 3.6 runs/game in Patrick Corbin's last 5 starts.
- TOR average 4.0 runs/game in Patrick Corbin's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
TEX
xERA 3.90 (avg)ERA 6.112d stress Fresh (4.0 IP/2g)
TOR
xERA 3.84 (avg)ERA 3.562d stress Normal (6.3 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
68°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 7 mph SW
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 5
- TOR — Patrick Corbin: BB% 12% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- TOR — Patrick Corbin: avg 3.4 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
- TEX bullpen fresh (4.0 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- TOR — Patrick Corbin: last start: 101 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
- TOR — Patrick Corbin: recent opponents high-K: PHI 26%, NYY 25% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
ARI @ TBR7:10 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)
ARI @ TBRMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Zac Gallen R
xERA5.38 (poor)K%11.7 (poor)HH%37.1 (avg)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA9.39IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs9.0PC/gs87BB%6.5
TBR vs RHP
wRC+123 (above avg)K%20.3 (avg)HH%36.0 (avg)
Nick Martinez R
xERA4.20 (avg)K%17.8 (avg)HH%35.7 (avg)Barrel%7.1 (good)ERA4.42IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs86BB%5.5
ARI vs RHP
wRC+99 (avg)K%13.7 (elite)HH%35.9 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalARI+120+1.5 (-175)O8.5 (-112)TBR-136-1.5 (+158)U8.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalARI+112+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-122)TBR-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-106)
Team Totals
OverUnderARIO3.5 (-135)U3.5 (+112)TBRO4.5 (+100)U4.5 (-128)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UZac Gallen3.5 (-104 / -118)—Nick Martinez3.5 (-128 / +104)16.5 (-130 / -110)
Zac Gallen · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs L4.081212299
L4.081212299Jun 14@ W6.08546233
W6.08546233Jun 9@ L5.19439144
L5.19439144Jun 3vs L5.09019245
L5.09019245May 29@ L5.08428155
L5.08428155Nick Martinez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs W6.08854333
W6.08854333Jun 15@ L5.19665133
L5.19665133Jun 9vs W7.07326033
W7.07326033Jun 3vs L4.05819166
L4.05819166May 29vs W7.08858022
W7.08858022SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Nick Martinez
IPERAKHBB
vs ARI6.01.506.06.01.0(1)
home starts5.76.352.76.31.3(3)
Trends · ARI
- ARI are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- ARI are 1-4 in Zac Gallen's last 5 starts.
- ARI are 1-4 in Zac Gallen's last 5 away starts.
- ARI average 5.0 runs/game in Zac Gallen's last 5 starts.
- ARI average 5.2 runs/game in Zac Gallen's last 5 away starts.
Trends · TBR
- TBR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- TBR are 3-2 in Nick Martinez's last 5 starts.
- TBR are 3-2 in Nick Martinez's last 5 home starts.
- TBR average 4.2 runs/game in Nick Martinez's last 5 starts.
- TBR average 4.6 runs/game in Nick Martinez's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ARI
xERA 4.71 (below avg)ERA 4.572d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
TBR
xERA 3.58 (good)ERA 4.362d stress Stressed (11.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Dome
Dome
Flags · 1
- TBR bullpen stressed (11.7 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
NYY @ BOS7:10 PM · Fenway ParkHitter Friendly
NYY @ BOSMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Will Warren R
xERA4.76 (below avg)K%20.3 (avg)HH%30.4 (good)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA3.86IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs93BB%10.1
BOS vs RHP
wRC+94 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%32.9 (below avg)
Payton Tolle L
xERA4.38 (avg)K%14.9 (below avg)HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%10.5 (avg)ERA5.29IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs88BB%6.8
NYY vs LHP
wRC+114 (avg)K%25.1 (below avg)HH%35.2 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY-110-1.5 (+150)O8.5 (-115)BOS+100+1.5 (-167)U8.5 (-101)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalNYY-116-0.5 (+118)O4.5 (-110)BOS-108+0.5 (-154)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
OverUnderNYYO4.5 (+102)U4.5 (-120)BOSO4.5 (+118)U3.5 (+114)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UWill Warren5.5 (+115 / +128)16.5 (-133 / +101)Payton Tolle5.5 (-105 / -114)17.5 (+100 / -104)
Will Warren · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs L5.29088226
L5.29088226Jun 14@ W4.09818322
W4.09818322Jun 8@ W4.19154233
W4.19154233May 31@ 
W6.08256303
W6.08256303May 25@ W6.08533322
W6.08533322Payton Tolle · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ L6.07926233
L6.07926233Jun 16vs L5.09064233
L5.09064233Jun 9@ L6.09439144
L6.09439144Jun 3vs W6.09957200
W6.09957200May 28vs L4.29475222
L4.29475222SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Will Warren
IPERAKHBB
vs BOS4.79.573.76.72.7(3)
at BOS5.010.802.010.01.0(1)
Payton Tolle
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY6.01.5011.03.01.0(1)
home starts5.12.966.05.32.0(3)
Trends · NYY
- NYY are 4-3 vs BOS this season (7 games).
- NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- NYY are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
- NYY are 4-1 in Will Warren's last 5 starts.
- NYY are 5-0 in Will Warren's last 5 away starts.
- NYY average 6.8 runs/game in Will Warren's last 5 starts.
- NYY average 7.6 runs/game in Will Warren's last 5 away starts.
Trends · BOS
- BOS are 3-4 vs NYY this season (7 games).
- BOS are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- BOS are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- BOS are 1-4 in Payton Tolle's last 5 starts.
- BOS are 1-4 in Payton Tolle's last 5 home starts.
- BOS average 3.0 runs/game in Payton Tolle's last 5 starts.
- BOS average 3.6 runs/game in Payton Tolle's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 3.51 (good)ERA 3.002d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
BOS
xERA 2.71 (elite)ERA 3.672d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
77°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph SSW
APF 104 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
- NYY — Will Warren: recent opponents high-K: CLE 28%, CIN 29% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- BOS — Payton Tolle: last start: 79 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
SEA @ CLE7:10 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions
SEA @ CLEMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Luis Castillo R
xERA2.74 (elite)K%19.4 (avg)HH%32.0 (good)Barrel%6.0 (good)ERA4.11IP/gs7.7 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs82BB%4.5
CLE vs RHP
wRC+112 (avg)K%27.9 (below avg)HH%37.8 (avg)
Joey Cantillo L
xERA3.43 (good)K%27.0 (good)HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%9.8 (avg)ERA4.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs91BB%4.0
SEA vs LHP
wRC+68 (poor)K%17.1 (above avg)HH%31.5 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSEA-104-1.5 (+164)O7.5 (-105)CLE-112+1.5 (-195)U7.5 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSEA-110+0.5 (-160)O4.5 (+108)CLE-114-0.5 (+122)U4.5 (-140)
Team Totals
OverUnderSEAO3.5 (-115)U3.5 (-110)CLEO3.5 (-111)U3.5 (-110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/ULuis Castillo4.5 (-106 / -114)—Joey Cantillo5.5 (+112 / -138)15.5 (+100 / -140)
Luis Castillo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs L4.0*6347045
L4.0*6347045Jun 13@ L5.28447225
L5.28447225Jun 7@ L5.210052111
L5.210052111May 31vs W5.0*7132212
W5.0*7132212May 25@ W4.06862200
W4.06862200Joey Cantillo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W8.09894111
W8.09894111Jun 13vs W5.07946011
W5.07946011Jun 7@ L5.09779277
L5.09779277Jun 2@ W4.09146344
W4.09146344May 26vs L2.06913444
L2.06913444SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Luis Castillo
IPERAKHBB
vs CLE6.03.007.03.03.0(1)
at CLE—
Joey Cantillo
IPERAKHBB
vs SEA3.25.625.04.03.0(1)
home starts4.06.753.04.32.7(3)
Trends · SEA
- SEA are 2-2 vs CLE this season (4 games).
- SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- SEA are 2-3 in Luis Castillo's last 5 starts.
- SEA are 2-3 in Luis Castillo's last 5 away starts.
- SEA average 5.0 runs/game in Luis Castillo's last 5 starts.
- SEA average 5.0 runs/game in Luis Castillo's last 5 away starts.
Trends · CLE
- CLE are 2-2 vs SEA this season (4 games).
- CLE are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- CLE are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- CLE are 3-2 in Joey Cantillo's last 5 starts.
- CLE are 4-1 in Joey Cantillo's last 5 home starts.
- CLE average 4.6 runs/game in Joey Cantillo's last 5 starts.
- CLE average 5.6 runs/game in Joey Cantillo's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
SEA
xERA 2.40 (elite)ERA 4.932d stress Normal (6.3 IP/2g)
CLE
xERA 4.99 (below avg)ERA 5.172d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
71°F, Overcast, Wind 5 mph N
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- CLE bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- SEA — Luis Castillo: 13 days since last start (2026-06-13) — may not be fully stretched out
- SEA — Luis Castillo: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-19, 2026-05-31 — may affect pitch count or availability
- CLE — Joey Cantillo: 2026-06-07: 7 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
PHI @ NYM7:10 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions
PHI @ NYMMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Zack Wheeler R
xERA2.32 (elite)K%30.0 (elite)HH%28.6 (elite)Barrel%4.8 (elite)ERA1.53IP/gs5.9 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs99BB%8.6
NYM vs RHP
wRC+114 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%40.8 (above avg)
Zach Thornton L
xERA7.44 (poor)K%15.8 (below avg)HH%57.1 (poor)Barrel%14.3 (below avg)ERA8.31IP/gs4.3 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs80BB%10.5
PHI vs LHP
wRC+72 (poor)K%26.2 (below avg)HH%34.6 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalPHI-152-1.5 (+114)O8.0 (-110)NYM+135+1.5 (-120)U8.0 (-102)
Team Totals
OverUnderPHIO4.5 (-115)U4.5 (-115)NYMO3.5 (-105)U3.5 (-125)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UZack Wheeler6.5 (-105 / -118)17.5 (-151 / +125)Zach Thornton4.5 (+122 / -156)14.5 (-140 / +105)
Zack Wheeler · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs W5.210474322
W5.210474322Jun 15vs W6.09792300
W6.09792300Jun 9@ L6.09656011
L6.09656011Jun 4vs W7.010482322
W7.010482322May 29@ L6.09045144
L6.09045144Zach Thornton · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 20@ L4.18034244
L4.18034244SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Zack Wheeler
IPERAKHBB
vs NYM5.42.228.04.32.7(3)
at NYM6.03.009.05.02.0(1)
Trends · PHI
- PHI are 2-1 vs NYM this season (3 games).
- PHI are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- PHI are 3-2 in Zack Wheeler's last 5 starts.
- PHI are 3-2 in Zack Wheeler's last 5 away starts.
- PHI average 4.6 runs/game in Zack Wheeler's last 5 starts.
- PHI average 3.6 runs/game in Zack Wheeler's last 5 away starts.
Trends · NYM
- NYM are 1-2 vs PHI this season (3 games).
- NYM are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- NYM are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- NYM have lost 7 straight.
- NYM are 0-1 in Zach Thornton's last 1 starts.
- NYM average 4.0 runs/game in Zach Thornton's last 1 starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
PHI
xERA 3.97 (avg)ERA 4.932d stress Elevated (8.0 IP/2g)
NYM
xERA 4.11 (avg)ERA 4.682d stress Elevated (13.3 IP/3g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
80°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 9 mph S
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 7
- NYM — Zach Thornton: small sample (4.1 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- NYM — Zach Thornton: HH% 57% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- NYM — Zach Thornton: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- PHI bullpen elevated (8.0 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- NYM bullpen elevated (13.3 IP over 3g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- PHI — Zack Wheeler: last start: 104 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
- NYM — Zach Thornton: 37 days since last start (2026-05-20) — may not be fully stretched out
KCR @ CHW7:40 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions
KCR @ CHWMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Mitch Spence R
xERA4.67 (below avg)K%9.8 (poor)HH%38.7 (avg)Barrel%3.2 (elite)ERA13.50IP/gs8.0 IP/gsH/gs11.0PC/gs74BB%14.6
CHW vs RHP
wRC+80 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%38.9 (avg)
David Sandlin R
xERA3.91 (avg)K%24.1 (good)HH%35.1 (avg)Barrel%13.5 (below avg)ERA8.10IP/gs4.4 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs74BB%12.1
KCR vs RHP
wRC+142 (elite)K%18.4 (above avg)HH%43.3 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalKCR+114+1.5 (-190)O8.5 (+100)CHW-130-1.5 (+172)U8.0 (-105)
Mitch Spence · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 15@ L4.06317166
L4.06317166Apr 18@ L4.0*8434566
L4.0*8434566David Sandlin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 7@ L3.1*8163333
L3.1*8163333Jun 1@ L4.08048488
L4.08048488May 27vs W6.06141011
W6.06141011SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
David Sandlin
IPERAKHBB
vs KCR—
home starts6.01.504.01.00.0(1)
Trends · KCR
- KCR are 2-5 vs CHW this season (7 games).
- KCR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- KCR are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- KCR are 0-1 in Mitch Spence's last 1 starts.
- KCR are 0-1 in Mitch Spence's last 1 away starts.
- KCR average 3.0 runs/game in Mitch Spence's last 1 starts.
- KCR average 3.0 runs/game in Mitch Spence's last 1 away starts.
Trends · CHW
- CHW are 5-2 vs KCR this season (7 games).
- CHW are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- CHW are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- CHW are 1-1 in David Sandlin's last 2 starts.
- CHW are 1-0 in David Sandlin's last 1 home starts.
- CHW average 10.5 runs/game in David Sandlin's last 2 starts.
- CHW average 15.0 runs/game in David Sandlin's last 1 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
KCR
xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 4.402d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
CHW
xERA 4.82 (below avg)ERA 4.352d stress Stressed (8.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
67°F, Overcast, Wind 10 mph NE
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 12
- KCR — Mitch Spence: small sample (8.0 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- KCR — Mitch Spence: BB% 15% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- CHW — David Sandlin: Barrel% 14% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- CHW — David Sandlin: BB% 12% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- CHW bullpen stressed (8.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- KCR — Mitch Spence: 11 days since last start (2026-06-15) — may not be fully stretched out
- KCR — Mitch Spence: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-04-18 — may affect pitch count or availability
- KCR — Mitch Spence: last start: 63 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- CHW — David Sandlin: 25 days since last start (2026-06-01) — may not be fully stretched out
- CHW — David Sandlin: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-07 — may affect pitch count or availability
- CHW — David Sandlin: 2026-06-01: 8 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 18) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- CHW — David Sandlin: recent opponents low-K: MIN 16%, MIN 16% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
CHC @ 
MIL7:45 PM · American Family FieldNeutral Conditions
CHC @ MILMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Colin Rea R
xERA5.07 (below avg)K%10.1 (poor)HH%31.5 (good)Barrel%9.3 (avg)ERA6.75IP/gs7.3 IP/gsH/gs9.0PC/gs82BB%8.7
MIL vs RHP
wRC+103 (avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)
J. Misiorowski R
xERA1.49 (elite)K%37.5 (elite)HH%26.7 (elite)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA0.82IP/gs7.3 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs95BB%5.0
CHC vs RHP
wRC+131 (elite)K%22.0 (avg)HH%39.2 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHC+224+1.5 (+110)O7.5 (+100)MIL-270-1.5 (-125)U7.5 (-112)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHC+235+1.5 (-130)O4.5 (+110)MIL-320-1.5 (+100)U4.5 (-144)
Team Totals
OverUnderCHCO2.5 (-110)U2.5 (-106)MILO4.5 (-106)U4.5 (-115)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UColin Rea4.5 (+138 / -170)15.5 (-115 / -110)J. Misiorowski8.5 (+104 / -109)17.5 (-189 / +141)
Colin Rea · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs L5.17833000
L5.17833000Jun 14@ L4.2*9026344
L4.2*9026344Jun 9@ L4.27929377
L4.27929377Jun 3vs L5.16934222
L5.16934222May 28@ W5.19254322
W5.19254322J. Misiorowski · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ L6.09175122
L6.09175122Jun 12vs W9.095151000
W9.095151000Jun 6@ W7.09884301
W7.09884301May 31@ W7.08883000
W7.08883000May 25vs W7.096122111
W7.096122111SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Colin Rea
IPERAKHBB
vs MIL4.65.872.56.03.0(2)
at MIL4.09.002.09.01.0(1)
J. Misiorowski
IPERAKHBB
vs CHC4.73.216.72.32.0(3)
home starts7.70.3912.32.30.3(3)
Trends · CHC
- CHC are 0-3 vs MIL this season (3 games).
- CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- CHC are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
- CHC have won 4 straight.
- CHC are 1-4 in Colin Rea's last 5 starts.
- CHC are 1-4 in Colin Rea's last 5 away starts.
- CHC average 4.0 runs/game in Colin Rea's last 5 starts.
- CHC average 4.8 runs/game in Colin Rea's last 5 away starts.
Trends · MIL
- MIL are 3-0 vs CHC this season (3 games).
- MIL are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- MIL have won 4 straight.
- MIL are 4-1 in J. Misiorowski's last 5 starts.
- MIL are 3-2 in J. Misiorowski's last 5 home starts.
- MIL average 4.4 runs/game in J. Misiorowski's last 5 starts.
- MIL average 4.2 runs/game in J. Misiorowski's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
CHC
xERA 4.41 (avg)ERA 4.942d stress Elevated (13.0 IP/3g)
MIL
xERA 3.19 (good)ERA 4.462d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
68°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph NE
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 5
- CHC bullpen elevated (13.0 IP over 3g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- MIL bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- CHC — Colin Rea: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-14 — may affect pitch count or availability
- CHC — Colin Rea: last start: 78 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- CHC — Colin Rea: 2026-06-09: 7 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
COL @ MIN8:10 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly
COL @ MINMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Tomoyuki Sugano R
xERA3.93 (avg)K%14.3 (below avg)HH%41.1 (below avg)Barrel%7.1 (good)ERA6.75IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs92BB%5.7
MIN vs RHP
wRC+167 (elite)K%16.2 (above avg)HH%42.6 (above avg)
Taj Bradley R
xERA4.18 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%54.0 (poor)Barrel%16.0 (poor)ERA6.19IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%8.6
COL vs RHP
wRC+130 (elite)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%33.7 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCOL+138+1.5 (-149)O9.0 (-115)MIN-162-1.5 (+135)U9.0 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCOL+142+0.5 (-104)O4.5 (-140)MIN-180-0.5 (-125)U4.5 (+108)
Team Totals
OverUnderCOLO3.5 (-140)U3.5 (+114)MINO4.5 (-128)U4.5 (+110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UTomoyuki Sugano3.5 (-106 / -114)15.5 (+108 / -144)Taj Bradley6.5 (+104 / -122)17.5 (-149 / +112)
Tomoyuki Sugano · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs W6.08554011
W6.08554011Jun 14@ W5.09728268
W5.09728268Jun 9vs W5.09336233
W5.09336233Jun 2@ W5.09655222
W5.09655222May 27@ L4.28336133
L4.28336133Taj Bradley · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W5.09143222
W5.09143222Jun 14vs W6.210175144
W6.210175144Jun 9@ L4.18937355
L4.18937355Jun 3vs L4.210457544
L4.210457544May 29@ L4.08765244
L4.08765244SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Tomoyuki Sugano
IPERAKHBB
vs MIN6.15.903.06.01.0(1)
at MIN—
Taj Bradley
IPERAKHBB
vs COL6.03.007.05.00.0(1)
home starts5.85.176.35.32.7(3)
Trends · COL
- COL are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- COL are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- COL are 4-1 in Tomoyuki Sugano's last 5 starts.
- COL are 3-2 in Tomoyuki Sugano's last 5 away starts.
- COL average 8.2 runs/game in Tomoyuki Sugano's last 5 starts.
- COL average 7.0 runs/game in Tomoyuki Sugano's last 5 away starts.
Trends · MIN
- MIN are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- MIN are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- MIN are 2-3 in Taj Bradley's last 5 starts.
- MIN are 2-3 in Taj Bradley's last 5 home starts.
- MIN average 6.0 runs/game in Taj Bradley's last 5 starts.
- MIN average 3.2 runs/game in Taj Bradley's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
COL
xERA 5.29 (poor)ERA 3.732d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
MIN
xERA 3.99 (avg)ERA 6.912d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
78°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph SSE
APF 106 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 5
- MIN — Taj Bradley: HH% 54% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- MIN — Taj Bradley: Barrel% 16% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- COL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.29 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- COL — Tomoyuki Sugano: 2026-06-14: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- MIN — Taj Bradley: recent opponents low-K: STL 16%, ARI 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
MIA @ STL8:15 PM · Busch StadiumRainy
MIA @ STLMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Max Meyer R
xERA3.89 (avg)K%28.0 (elite)HH%35.6 (avg)Barrel%8.9 (avg)ERA2.76IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs99BB%9.3
STL vs RHP
wRC+138 (elite)K%15.8 (elite)HH%45.4 (elite)
Michael McGreevy R
xERA4.78 (below avg)K%12.7 (below avg)HH%37.3 (avg)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.76IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs89BB%4.2
MIA vs RHP
wRC+116 (above avg)K%24.4 (below avg)HH%40.3 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIA-102-1.5 (+167)O8.0 (-109)STL-115+1.5 (-195)U8.0 (-104)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIA-104+0.5 (-152)O4.5 (+106)STL-120-0.5 (+116)U4.5 (-138)
Team Totals
OverUnderMIAO3.5 (-135)U3.5 (+110)STLO3.5 (-135)U3.5 (+112)
Pitcher Props
K O/UMax Meyer5.5 (+106 / -130)Michael McGreevy4.5 (+132 / +122)
Max Meyer · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs W5.09877222
W5.09877222Jun 14@ W6.010596311
W6.010596311Jun 9vs W5.19557222
W5.19557222Jun 3@ W7.09272211
W7.09272211May 29@ L6.010666356
L6.010666356Michael McGreevy · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ L5.09528155
L5.09528155Jun 14@ L6.08927222
L6.08927222Jun 7vs W6.08355022
W6.08355022Jun 1vs L6.08715222
L6.08715222May 26@ L4.08967355
L4.08967355SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Max Meyer
IPERAKHBB
vs STL5.13.538.03.02.0(1)
at STL—
Michael McGreevy
IPERAKHBB
vs MIA5.64.824.05.01.0(2)
home starts5.73.712.36.71.0(3)
Trends · MIA
- MIA are 2-1 vs STL this season (3 games).
- MIA are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- MIA are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- MIA are 4-1 in Max Meyer's last 5 starts.
- MIA are 3-2 in Max Meyer's last 5 away starts.
- MIA average 6.2 runs/game in Max Meyer's last 5 starts.
- MIA average 5.4 runs/game in Max Meyer's last 5 away starts.
Trends · STL
- STL are 1-2 vs MIA this season (3 games).
- STL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- STL are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- STL are 1-4 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
- STL are 2-3 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.
- STL average 3.0 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
- STL average 2.2 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
MIA
xERA 3.55 (good)ERA 2.722d stress Elevated (4.3 IP/1g)
STL
xERA 5.64 (poor)ERA 6.692d stress Fresh (3.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Rainy
75°F, Overcast, Wind 10 mph SSW
APF 100 — Neutral · Rain possible (36%)
Flags · 7
- STL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.64 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- MIA bullpen elevated (4.3 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- STL bullpen fresh (3.7 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- MIA — Max Meyer: recent opponents low-K: ARI 14%, SFG 19% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
- STL — Michael McGreevy: 2026-06-19: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- STL — Michael McGreevy: recent opponents low-K: MIN 16%, KCR 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
- WEATHER: rain risk 36% — game delay or conditions may affect performance
ATH @ LAA9:38 PM · Angel StadiumNeutral Conditions
ATH @ LAAMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
J.T. Ginn R
xERA3.60 (good)K%16.2 (below avg)HH%35.6 (avg)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA4.76IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs98BB%10.0
LAA vs RHP
wRC+128 (above avg)K%26.2 (below avg)HH%40.6 (above avg)
Walbert Urena R
xERA2.82 (elite)K%21.6 (avg)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA1.59IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs95BB%9.5
ATH vs RHP
wRC+139 (elite)K%20.9 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATH-118-1.5 (+138)O8.5 (-110)LAA+105+1.5 (-155)U8.5 (-102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATH-120-0.5 (+114)O4.5 (-110)LAA-104+0.5 (-148)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
OverUnderATHO4.5 (+104)U4.5 (-120)LAAO3.5 (-132)U3.5 (+110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJ.T. Ginn5.5 (+113 / -134)17.5 (-124 / -107)Walbert Urena4.5 (-159 / +130)16.5 (-129 / -103)
J.T. Ginn · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs L5.19857344
L5.19857344Jun 15vs W6.09836201
W6.09836201Jun 9vs W5.29758355
W5.29758355Jun 4@ L6.08882111
L6.08882111May 30vs W6.08044301
W6.08044301Walbert Urena · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W5.09064000
W5.09064000Jun 15@ L7.08837234
L7.08837234Jun 9vs W5.010773500
W5.010773500Jun 3vs W6.09973333
W6.09973333May 29@ L6.09255311
L6.09255311SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
J.T. Ginn
IPERAKHBB
vs LAA6.03.486.74.71.3(3)
at LAA6.52.087.53.50.5(2)
Walbert Urena
IPERAKHBB
vs ATH5.50.005.04.01.0(2)
home starts5.32.256.73.73.7(3)
Trends · ATH
- ATH are 5-3 vs LAA this season (8 games).
- ATH are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- ATH are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- ATH are 3-2 in J.T. Ginn's last 5 starts.
- ATH are 2-3 in J.T. Ginn's last 5 away starts.
- ATH average 6.0 runs/game in J.T. Ginn's last 5 starts.
- ATH average 4.2 runs/game in J.T. Ginn's last 5 away starts.
Trends · LAA
- LAA are 3-5 vs ATH this season (8 games).
- LAA are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- LAA are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- LAA are 3-2 in Walbert Urena's last 5 starts.
- LAA are 5-0 in Walbert Urena's last 5 home starts.
- LAA average 7.2 runs/game in Walbert Urena's last 5 starts.
- LAA average 7.2 runs/game in Walbert Urena's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ATH
xERA 3.93 (avg)ERA 7.692d stress Normal (7.3 IP/2g)
LAA
xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 3.612d stress Stressed (7.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph SW
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 2
- LAA bullpen stressed (7.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- ATH — J.T. Ginn: 2026-06-09: 5 ER in 5.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
LAD @ SDP9:45 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions
LAD @ SDPMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Roki Sasaki R
xERA3.10 (good)K%29.0 (elite)HH%46.5 (poor)Barrel%7.0 (good)ERA5.29IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs93BB%8.7
SDP vs RHP
wRC+102 (avg)K%24.7 (below avg)HH%39.8 (avg)
Walker Buehler R
xERA3.06 (good)K%25.0 (good)HH%48.9 (poor)Barrel%4.4 (elite)ERA1.80IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs86BB%4.7
LAD vs RHP
wRC+135 (elite)K%24.6 (below avg)HH%39.9 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalLAD-148-1.5 (+115)O7.5 (-113)SDP+130+1.5 (-136)U7.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalLAD-145-0.5 (+100)O4.5 (+108)SDP+116+0.5 (-130)U4.5 (-140)
Team Totals
OverUnderLADO4.5 (+112)U4.5 (-140)SDPO3.5 (+106)U3.5 (-135)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/URoki Sasaki5.5 (+120 / -144)17.5 (+101 / -134)Walker Buehler4.5 (+120 / -134)15.5 (+145 / -171)
Roki Sasaki · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs W5.29064133
W5.29064133Jun 12@ L4.19147377
L4.19147377Jun 5vs W7.098102200
W7.098102200May 30vs L5.18473111
L5.18473111May 23@ W5.08744223
W5.08744223Walker Buehler · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ W5.18775111
W5.18775111Jun 14@ W5.08656011
W5.08656011Jun 8vs W4.28648211
W4.28648211Jun 3@ L6.08664211
L6.08664211May 27vs L5.15823022
L5.15823022SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Walker Buehler
IPERAKHBB
vs LAD4.26.434.04.05.0(1)
home starts4.83.783.35.32.0(3)
Trends · LAD
- LAD are 2-1 vs SDP this season (3 games).
- LAD are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- LAD are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- LAD are 3-2 in Roki Sasaki's last 5 starts.
- LAD are 2-3 in Roki Sasaki's last 5 away starts.
- LAD average 4.6 runs/game in Roki Sasaki's last 5 starts.
- LAD average 6.2 runs/game in Roki Sasaki's last 5 away starts.
Trends · SDP
- SDP are 1-2 vs LAD this season (3 games).
- SDP are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- SDP are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- SDP are 3-2 in Walker Buehler's last 5 starts.
- SDP are 3-2 in Walker Buehler's last 5 home starts.
- SDP average 3.8 runs/game in Walker Buehler's last 5 starts.
- SDP average 3.8 runs/game in Walker Buehler's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
LAD
xERA 2.64 (elite)ERA 2.832d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
SDP
xERA 3.70 (good)ERA 2.982d stress Normal (3.3 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
66°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph WNW
APF 97 — Neutral
Flags · 5
- LAD — Roki Sasaki: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- SDP — Walker Buehler: HH% 49% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- LAD — Roki Sasaki: 2026-06-12: 7 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 15) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- LAD — Roki Sasaki: recent opponents high-K: LAA 26%, BAL 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- SDP — Walker Buehler: recent opponents high-K: CIN 29%, BAL 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
ATL @ SFG10:15 PM · Oracle ParkNeutral Conditions
ATL @ SFGMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Reynaldo Lopez R
xERA3.11 (good)K%27.3 (good)HH%36.4 (avg)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA0.00IP/gs5.1 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs37BB%18.2
SFG vs RHP
wRC+135 (elite)K%18.7 (above avg)HH%36.9 (avg)
Trevor McDonald R
xERA5.59 (poor)K%18.0 (avg)HH%38.9 (avg)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA6.17IP/gs3.9 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs83BB%14.8
ATL vs RHP
wRC+51 (poor)K%24.1 (below avg)HH%37.2 (avg)
Reynaldo Lopez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs L3.0*5831101
L3.0*5831101Jun 16vs L2.0*3011000
L2.0*3011000Jun 14@ L1.0*2410200
L1.0*2410200Jun 7vs W1.1*2721100
W1.1*2721100Jun 4vs L1.0*3615144
L1.0*3615144Trevor McDonald · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ L3.06913335
L3.06913335Jun 13vs L3.29246344
L3.29246344Jun 7@ W5.08764311
W5.08764311Jun 2@ L5.08745333
L5.08745333May 27vs L6.18666223
L6.18666223SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Trevor McDonald
IPERAKHBB
vs ATL—
home starts4.29.364.75.02.0(3)
Trends · ATL
- ATL are 0-4 vs SFG this season (4 games).
- ATL are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- ATL are 1-9 in their last 10 away games.
- ATL have lost 4 straight.
- ATL are 4-1 in Reynaldo Lopez's last 5 starts.
- ATL are 2-1 in Reynaldo Lopez's last 3 away starts.
- ATL average 8.0 runs/game in Reynaldo Lopez's last 5 starts.
- ATL average 9.3 runs/game in Reynaldo Lopez's last 3 away starts.
Trends · SFG
- SFG are 4-0 vs ATL this season (4 games).
- SFG are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- SFG are 1-4 in Trevor McDonald's last 5 starts.
- SFG are 1-3 in Trevor McDonald's last 4 home starts.
- SFG average 2.2 runs/game in Trevor McDonald's last 5 starts.
- SFG average 2.5 runs/game in Trevor McDonald's last 4 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ATL
xERA 3.60 (good)ERA 1.972d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
SFG
xERA 5.30 (poor)ERA 5.142d stress Normal (6.3 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
61°F, Overcast, Wind 10 mph W
APF 97 — Neutral
Flags · 11
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: small sample (5.1 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: BB% 18% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- SFG — Trevor McDonald: BB% 15% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- SFG — Trevor McDonald: avg 3.9 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
- SFG bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.30 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- ATL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: 66 days since last start (2026-04-21) — may not be fully stretched out
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-21, 2026-06-16 — may affect pitch count or availability
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: last start: 58 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- ATL — Reynaldo Lopez: 2026-04-21: 4 ER in 1.0 IP skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- SFG — Trevor McDonald: last start: 69 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook