MLB Game Overviews

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Noah Cameron L

xERA3.78 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%30.2 (good)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA4.11IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs101BB%2.9

TBR vs LHP

wRC+80 (below avg)K%18.8 (above avg)HH%30.2 (below avg)

Griffin Jax R

xERA5.17 (below avg)K%25.4 (good)HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%12.8 (below avg)ERA1.20IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs73BB%3.6

KCR vs RHP

wRC+141 (elite)K%17.1 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalKCR+119+1.5 (-181)O8.5 (-104)TBR-136-1.5 (+164)U8.0 (-102)

Noah Cameron · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L5.010858355

Jun 18vs W5.010868234

Jun 13vs L4.18617044

Jun 7@ W6.010473001

Jun 2@ L7.08781011

Griffin Jax · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W5.08875202

Jun 19vs W5.06954022

Jun 13@ L5.06355001

Jun 7@ L5.06243200

Jun 1vs L4.07257166

Bullpens · Last 12

KCR

xERA 4.14 (avg)ERA 4.50

TBR

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 5.44

Weather · Dome

Dome

Flags · 3

• TBR — Griffin Jax: ERA 1.20 << xERA 5.17 — overperforming; regression risk
• TBR — Griffin Jax: high LOB% 98% — ERA flattered by strand luck
• KCR — Noah Cameron: high pitch count last start (108 pitches) — monitor workload today

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Bryan Woo R

xERA4.09 (avg)K%26.7 (good)HH%48.1 (poor)Barrel%9.6 (avg)ERA5.89IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs86BB%2.7

PIT vs RHP

wRC+134 (elite)K%23.8 (avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Braxton Ashcraft R

xERA3.44 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%4.0 (elite)ERA5.06IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs90BB%6.9

SEA vs RHP

wRC+69 (poor)K%23.8 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSEA-136-1.5 (+126)O8.5 (-108)PIT+120+1.5 (-143)U8.5 (-105)

Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.08646255

Jun 18vs W7.08993100

Jun 11@ L5.08247177

Jun 5@ L6.19079055

May 30vs W7.08692000

Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W6.086105011

Jun 17@ W6.09374312

Jun 12vs L5.09045222

Jun 6@ L5.08659066

May 31vs W6.080115022

Bullpens · Last 12

SEA

xERA 2.53 (elite)ERA 4.68

PIT

xERA 3.86 (avg)ERA 5.11

Weather · Neutral Conditions

78°F, Overcast, Wind 11 mph SSW

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 2

• SEA — Bryan Woo: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
• SEA bullpen: bullpen ERA 4.68 >> xERA 2.53 — may be getting unlucky

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Gage Jump L

xERA2.91 (elite)K%23.2 (good)HH%30.4 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)ERA1.47IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs93BB%10.1

SFG vs LHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%19.6 (above avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Tyler Mahle R

xERA2.86 (elite)K%22.4 (avg)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA8.40IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs83BB%6.0

ATH vs RHP

wRC+150 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%36.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+115+1.5 (-186)O8.5 (-115)SFG-130-1.5 (+162)U8.5 (+100)

Gage Jump · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs W7.010771300

Jun 12vs W5.07565133

Jun 7@ W6.19633300

Jun 2@ W7.08553111

May 26vs L5.08859144

Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

May 26vs L5.08133333

May 20@ L5.07968066

May 15@ L5.090610155

May 10vs W5.29785244

May 3@ L5.19254100

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 7.14

SFG

xERA 4.78 (below avg)ERA 4.66

Weather · Neutral Conditions

62°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 12 mph W

APF 97 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• SFG — Tyler Mahle: ERA 8.40 >> xERA 2.86 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
• ATH bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.14 >> xERA 3.45 — may be getting unlucky
• ATH — Gage Jump: high pitch count last start (107 pitches) — monitor workload today
• WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 97) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Aaron Nola R

xERA3.43 (good)K%18.8 (avg)HH%34.7 (good)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA6.43IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs89BB%10.1

WSN vs RHP

wRC+102 (avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%36.3 (avg)

Miles Mikolas R

xERA2.65 (elite)K%10.6 (poor)HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%3.5 (elite)ERA2.55IP/gs17.2 IP (3gs)PC/gs72BB%1.5

PHI vs RHP

wRC+121 (above avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%38.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalPHI-180-1.5 (-110)O8.5 (+100)WSN+156+1.5 (-108)U8.0 (-105)

Aaron Nola · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W5.08653222

Jun 18vs L5.09767123

Jun 13@ W4.28536233

Jun 7vs W4.19846455

Jun 2vs W5.09584022

Miles Mikolas · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L2.24814002

Jun 19@ L6.08529155

Jun 14vs W7.08333000

Jun 8@ W4.25423000

Jun 2vs L6.09246266

Bullpens · Last 12

PHI

xERA 4.17 (avg)ERA 5.18

WSN

xERA 4.56 (below avg)ERA 6.83

Weather · Hitter Friendly

88°F, Overcast, Wind 10 mph SSE

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

• PHI — Aaron Nola: ERA 6.43 >> xERA 3.43 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
• WSN bullpen: bullpen ERA 6.83 >> xERA 4.56 — may be getting unlucky
• WSN — Miles Mikolas: low pitch count last start (48 pitches) — may have been managing something

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Javier Assad R

xERA2.29 (elite)K%17.2 (avg)HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%6.0 (good)ERA1.00IP/gs9.0 IP/gsH/gs4.5PC/gs87BB%3.1

NYM vs RHP

wRC+95 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%38.5 (avg)

Sean Manaea L

xERA3.46 (good)K%22.9 (avg)HH%47.7 (poor)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.52IP/gs7.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs88BB%3.3

CHC vs LHP

wRC+212 (elite)K%16.3 (above avg)HH%42.4 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC-104-1.5 (+160)O8.5 (+100)NYM-112+1.5 (-190)U8.5 (-118)

Javier Assad · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W5.08355233

Jun 17vs W5.29215022

Jun 12@ W6.08553100

Jun 7vs L6.17251100

May 15@ W2.03913011

Sean Manaea · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L3.08646234

Jun 18@ W5.19556123

Jun 13vs L6.08464022

Jun 7@ W4.06634122

Jun 1@ L5.06341111

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 4.89 (below avg)ERA 5.72

NYM

xERA 3.73 (good)ERA 4.23

Weather · Neutral Conditions

77°F, Overcast, Wind 14 mph SSE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• CHC — Javier Assad: high LOB% 100% — ERA flattered by strand luck
• NYM — Sean Manaea: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
• CHC — Javier Assad: missed a turn (23-day gap between starts)
• NYM — Sean Manaea: 2026-06-24: 3 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.26 ERA equiv

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mitch Bratt L

xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—PC/gs40

STL vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%14.0 (elite)HH%43.1 (above avg)

M. Liberatore L

xERA7.51 (poor)K%19.2 (avg)HH%47.4 (poor)Barrel%18.4 (poor)ERA10.45IP/gs3.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs51BB%7.7

ARI vs LHP

wRC+97 (avg)K%14.2 (elite)HH%34.5 (below avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI+115+1.5 (-180)O9.0 (+100)STL-132-1.5 (+160)U9.0 (-118)

Mitch Bratt · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L2.04021211

M. Liberatore · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L2.03622000

Jun 18@ L1.24827057

Jun 13@ W4.17045144

Jun 6vs W4.18444335

May 31vs W5.18543100

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.73 (below avg)ERA 4.35

STL

xERA 5.39 (poor)ERA 6.69

Weather · Neutral Conditions

80°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph NE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 10

• ARI — Mitch Bratt: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
• STL — M. Liberatore: small sample (10.1 IP over 3 starts)
• STL — M. Liberatore: ERA 10.45 >> xERA 7.51 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
• STL — M. Liberatore: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
• STL — M. Liberatore: elevated Barrel% 18%
• STL — M. Liberatore: low LOB% 31% — ERA penalized by bad sequencing
• STL — M. Liberatore: averaging only 3.4 IP/start — heavy bullpen usage
• STL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.39)
• ARI — Mitch Bratt: low pitch count last start (40 pitches) — may have been managing something
• STL — M. Liberatore: low pitch count last start (36 pitches) — may have been managing something

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Martin Perez L

xERA2.47 (elite)K%21.5 (avg)HH%23.9 (elite)Barrel%2.2 (elite)ERA2.76IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs79BB%7.7

SDP vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%18.5 (above avg)HH%44.6 (above avg)

JP Sears L

xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—

ATL vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%21.7 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATL-115-1.5 (+145)O8.5 (+100)SDP+100+1.5 (-172)U8.0 (+100)

Martin Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs W6.08256211

Jun 13@ W5.17144111

Jun 5vs W5.08553233

May 30@ W5.08124322

May 24vs L5.28625211

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.78 (avg)ERA 1.61

SDP

xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 3.19

Weather

Flags · 2

• SDP — JP Sears: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
• ATL bullpen: bullpen ERA 1.61 << xERA 3.78 — ERA flatters the pen

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Trey Gibson R

xERA4.81 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%4.9 (elite)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs85BB%14.9

LAA vs RHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%24.0 (below avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Jose Soriano R

xERA3.96 (avg)K%18.6 (avg)HH%40.8 (below avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA4.50IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs83BB%11.4

BAL vs RHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%26.6 (below avg)HH%43.0 (above avg)

Trey Gibson · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.06653222

Jun 19@ L5.09787433

Jun 13vs L4.19373566

Jun 8vs L4.26805133

May 27vs W5.210016411

Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W3.06946255

Jun 19@ L5.010566444

Jun 13vs W5.07653200

Jun 7@ W6.08828245

Jun 1vs L4.210873723

Bullpens · Last 12

BAL

xERA 4.15 (avg)ERA 2.86

LAA

xERA 3.32 (good)ERA 3.86

Weather

Flags · 5

• BAL — Trey Gibson: ERA 7.71 >> xERA 4.81 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
• BAL — Trey Gibson: missed a turn (19-day gap between starts)
• BAL — Trey Gibson: low pitch count last start (66 pitches) — may have been managing something
• LAA — Jose Soriano: low pitch count last start (69 pitches) — may have been managing something
• LAA — Jose Soriano: 2026-06-24: 5 ER in 3.0 IP (ERA equiv 15) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.60 ERA equiv

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Ranger Suarez L

xERA2.38 (elite)K%25.0 (good)HH%24.5 (elite)Barrel%4.1 (elite)ERA1.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs98BB%6.9

COL vs LHP

wRC+111 (avg)K%25.7 (below avg)HH%31.5 (below avg)

Kyle Freeland L

xERA3.21 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%48.3 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA5.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs86BB%1.3

BOS vs LHP

wRC+176 (elite)K%22.6 (avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)

Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L6.010297123

Jun 19@ W6.29451300

Jun 13vs W5.09776222

Jun 7@ L6.19066011

May 31@ W5.093108244

Kyle Freeland · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W6.081411166

Jun 19vs W7.18184022

Jun 13@ L5.295410066

Jun 7vs L5.08927133

Jun 1@ W5.29147156

Bullpens · Last 12

BOS

xERA 2.58 (elite)ERA 3.82

COL

xERA 5.61 (poor)ERA 4.22

Weather

Flags · 3

• COL — Kyle Freeland: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
• COL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.61)
• BOS — Ranger Suarez: high pitch count last start (102 pitches) — monitor workload today

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Erick Fedde R

xERA3.73 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%29.7 (elite)Barrel%8.1 (avg)ERA2.19IP/gs12.3 IP/gsH/gs13.0PC/gs70BB%5.6

CLE vs RHP

wRC+108 (avg)K%29.4 (poor)HH%39.0 (avg)

Tanner Bibee R

xERA3.92 (avg)K%24.3 (good)HH%44.0 (below avg)Barrel%8.0 (good)ERA2.21IP/gs6.8 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs92BB%8.1

CHW vs RHP

wRC+82 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)

Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L4.07525312

Jun 19@ L4.27844122

Jun 14vs W2.25843200

Jun 9vs W5.08846012

Jun 3@ W5.06122100

Tanner Bibee · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.08933100

Jun 19@ L5.19574234

Jun 12vs W7.09182222

Jun 6@ W8.08733200

May 31vs L6.09056133

Bullpens · Last 12

CHW

xERA 4.94 (below avg)ERA 4.47

CLE

xERA 4.08 (avg)ERA 4.60

Weather

Flags · 2

• CHW — Erick Fedde: small sample (12.1 IP over 3 starts)
• CHW — Erick Fedde: low pitch count last start (75 pitches) — may have been managing something

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Rhett Lowder R

xERA4.80 (below avg)K%22.7 (avg)HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%10.3 (avg)ERA3.21IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs87BB%15.2

MIL vs RHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)

Shane Drohan L

xERA3.10 (good)K%20.6 (avg)HH%30.6 (good)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.41IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs86BB%5.9

CIN vs LHP

wRC+127 (above avg)K%18.9 (above avg)HH%41.2 (above avg)

Rhett Lowder · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L4.06955133

Jun 19@ L5.19556344

Jun 13vs W5.29665211

Jun 7@ L3.07041500

May 7@ L3.05911433

Shane Drohan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W4.09054300

Jun 18vs L5.09133311

Jun 13vs L5.07878044

Jun 7@ W6.18345133

Jun 1vs W4.06854222

Bullpens · Last 12

CIN

xERA 2.88 (elite)ERA 3.02

MIL

xERA 2.74 (elite)ERA 4.29

Weather

Flags · 3

• CIN — Rhett Lowder: high LOB% 96% — ERA flattered by strand luck
• CIN — Rhett Lowder: missed a turn (31-day gap between starts)
• CIN — Rhett Lowder: low pitch count last start (69 pitches) — may have been managing something

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Tarik Skubal L

xERA4.35 (avg)K%27.1 (good)HH%45.8 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA3.63IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs86BB%2.9

NYY vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%33.1 (below avg)

Ryan Weathers L

xERA4.19 (avg)K%20.6 (avg)HH%42.0 (below avg)Barrel%14.0 (below avg)ERA6.48IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs89BB%4.4

DET vs LHP

wRC+91 (below avg)K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.4 (avg)

Tarik Skubal · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L6.08594044

Jun 19vs W5.29487133

Jun 13@ L4.28045123

Apr 29@ L7.09175022

Apr 23vs W6.09457044

Ryan Weathers · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ W6.09766212

Jun 18vs L6.18883111

Jun 12@ L4.18225166

Jun 5vs L6.09347155

May 30@ L6.2107106355

Bullpens · Last 12

DET

xERA 2.99 (elite)ERA 1.91

NYY

xERA 3.81 (avg)ERA 3.21

Weather

Flags · 3

• DET — Tarik Skubal: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
• DET — Tarik Skubal: missed a turn (45-day gap between starts)
• NYY — Ryan Weathers: 2026-06-12: 6 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 13) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 1.49 ERA equiv

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mike Burrows R

xERA4.41 (avg)K%16.7 (below avg)HH%36.6 (avg)Barrel%7.3 (good)ERA6.55IP/gs5.5 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs56BB%7.4

TOR vs RHP

wRC+122 (above avg)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%36.1 (avg)

Trey Yesavage R

xERA3.57 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%47.2 (poor)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA7.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs90BB%10.7

HOU vs RHP

wRC+119 (above avg)K%21.1 (avg)HH%41.6 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalHOU+134+1.5 (-272)O5.5 (-110)TOR-145-1.5 (+220)U5.5 (-113)

Mike Burrows · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L4.16922111

Jun 19vs W1.0711000

Jun 13@ W5.09257245

Jun 7vs L5.09738245

Jun 2vs L5.09038556

Trey Yesavage · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L5.09452411

Jun 18@ W7.19564033

Jun 12vs W5.08134655

Jun 5vs L5.29155266

May 30@ L5.09242711

Bullpens · Last 12

HOU

xERA 3.42 (good)ERA 3.33

TOR

xERA 3.69 (good)ERA 3.58

Weather

Flags · 5

• HOU — Mike Burrows: small sample (11.0 IP over 3 starts)
• TOR — Trey Yesavage: ERA 7.00 >> xERA 3.57 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
• TOR — Trey Yesavage: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
• HOU — Mike Burrows: low pitch count last start (69 pitches) — may have been managing something
• TOR — Trey Yesavage: 2026-06-12: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 2.80 ERA equiv

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Shohei Ohtani R

xERA3.28 (good)K%22.4 (avg)HH%28.8 (elite)Barrel%5.8 (good)ERA3.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs76BB%6.6

MIN vs RHP

wRC+163 (elite)K%14.5 (elite)HH%43.5 (above avg)

Joe Ryan R

xERA2.79 (elite)K%28.6 (elite)HH%45.6 (poor)Barrel%8.7 (avg)ERA2.12IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs85BB%5.7

LAD vs RHP

wRC+132 (elite)K%23.1 (avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAD-285-2.5 (+110)O13.5 (-105)MIN+235+2.5 (-132)U13.5 (-115)

Shohei Ohtani · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L2.03424133

Jun 17vs W6.09157144

Jun 10@ L6.210266334

Jun 3@ W6.08962100

May 27vs W6.09970411

Joe Ryan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs L2.25746144

Jun 18@ W5.09773200

Jun 12vs W6.010286033

Jun 6vs L6.010256211

Jun 1vs W6.09898044

Bullpens · Last 12

LAD

xERA 2.39 (elite)ERA 3.16

MIN

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 7.97

Weather

Flags · 6

• MIN — Joe Ryan: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
• MIN — Joe Ryan: high LOB% 93% — ERA flattered by strand luck
• MIN bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.97 >> xERA 4.19 — may be getting unlucky
• LAD — Shohei Ohtani: low pitch count last start (34 pitches) — may have been managing something
• MIN — Joe Ryan: low pitch count last start (57 pitches) — may have been managing something
• MIN — Joe Ryan: 2026-06-24: 4 ER in 2.2 IP (ERA equiv 16) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 2.25 ERA equiv

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Eury Perez R

xERA4.37 (avg)K%32.8 (elite)HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%20.6 (poor)ERA3.52IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs76BB%6.9

TEX vs RHP

wRC+116 (above avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%41.3 (above avg)

Jacob deGrom R

xERA2.52 (elite)K%27.4 (good)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA4.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs96BB%6.9

MIA vs RHP

wRC+106 (avg)K%22.2 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)

Eury Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs W4.26813011

May 27@ L4.07393000

May 22vs W6.18652011

May 17@ L5.010255455

May 12@ L6.08783333

Jacob deGrom · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@ L6.09184222

Jun 19vs W6.010696366

Jun 13@ L6.09056022

Jun 7vs W6.08763200

Jun 1@ W5.09184100

Bullpens · Last 12

MIA

xERA 3.21 (good)ERA 2.54

TEX

xERA 3.71 (good)ERA 5.44

Weather

Flags · 4

• MIA — Eury Perez: elevated Barrel% 21%
• MIA — Eury Perez: missed a turn (28-day gap between starts)
• MIA — Eury Perez: low pitch count last start (68 pitches) — may have been managing something
• TEX — Jacob deGrom: 2026-06-19: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.00 ERA equiv