HOU @ 
DET6:40 PM · Comerica ParkNeutral Conditions
HOU @ DETMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Tatsuya Imai R
xERA2.82 (elite)K%36.4 (elite)HH%36.7 (avg)Barrel%6.7 (good)ERA7.71IP/gs3.9 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs74BB%7.3
DET vs RHP
wRC+120 (above avg)K%24.6 (below avg)HH%37.0 (avg)
Troy Melton R
xERA2.98 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%32.1 (good)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA3.32IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs87BB%6.7
HOU vs RHP
wRC+124 (above avg)K%19.7 (above avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalHOU+101-1.5 (+172)O8.5 (-102)DET-118-1.5 (+165)U8.5 (-113)
Tatsuya Imai · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25@ W6.096102100
W6.096102100Jun 19vs 
W6.089116033
W6.089116033Jun 12@ 
W0.23814155
W0.23814155Jun 6vs 
W5.09285322
W5.09285322May 31vs 
L6.011053222
L6.011053222Troy Melton · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25vs L6.08862011
L6.08862011Jun 20vs 
W6.08451311
W6.08451311Jun 9vs 
W5.08858044
W5.08858044Jun 3@ 
W8.09454222
W8.09454222May 29@ L7.08916111
L7.08916111SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Tatsuya Imai
IPERAKHBB
vs DET6.00.0010.02.01.0(1)
at DET6.00.0010.02.01.0(1)
Troy Melton
IPERAKHBB
vs HOU6.01.506.02.00.0(1)
home starts5.73.185.33.71.0(3)
Trends · HOU
- HOU are 3-1 vs DET this season (4 games).
- HOU are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- HOU are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- HOU are 4-1 in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 starts.
- HOU are 3-2 in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 away starts.
- HOU average 6.8 runs/game in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 starts.
- HOU average 6.0 runs/game in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 away starts.
Trends · DET
- DET are 1-3 vs HOU this season (4 games).
- DET are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- DET are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- DET are 3-2 in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
- DET are 2-1 in Troy Melton's last 3 home starts.
- DET average 5.0 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
- DET average 5.0 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 3 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
HOU
xERA 3.30 (good)ERA 3.302d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
DET
xERA 2.45 (elite)ERA 1.522d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
75°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph ENE
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- HOU — Tatsuya Imai: avg 3.9 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
- HOU — Tatsuya Imai: 2026-06-12: 5 ER in 0.2 IP skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- HOU — Tatsuya Imai: low-K outing 2026-06-12 (1 Ks vs avg 7.3) — stuff was flat that day
- DET — Troy Melton: 2026-06-09: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
No full-game total or side bet recommended as a standalone: Imai is wildly inconsistent (one 0.2 IP meltdown skewing everything, though other starts were solid) and his short avg IP (3.9 IP/gs) means bullpen-heavy game; DET bullpen is elite (xERA 2.45) which depresses the over; Melton has been good recently; the Under is tempting but Imai's instability makes total projection unreliable — HOU team total over is the cleaner angle. No side bet: DET ML at -118 is reasonable pricing given matchup uncertainty around Imai's length.
TEX @ 
TOR7:07 PM · Rogers CentreNeutral Conditions
TEX @ TORMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
MacKenzie Gore L
xERA3.50 (good)K%28.9 (elite)HH%57.5 (poor)Barrel%8.5 (avg)ERA3.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs98BB%9.2
TOR vs LHP
wRC+86 (below avg)K%26.1 (below avg)HH%22.5 (poor)
Kevin Gausman R
xERA3.56 (good)K%24.6 (good)HH%35.0 (good)Barrel%10.0 (avg)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs91BB%9.8
TEX vs RHP
wRC+111 (avg)K%20.8 (avg)HH%40.6 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTEX-112-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-106)TOR-104+1.5 (-175)U8.5 (-105)
MacKenzie Gore · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25@ W7.09854133
W7.09854133Jun 20vs 
L6.09565211
L6.09565211Jun 15vs L7.0102104244
L7.0102104244Jun 10@ W5.08768322
W5.08768322Jun 3@ 
L4.210059344
L4.210059344Kevin Gausman · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25vs L6.099410266
L6.099410266Jun 19@ 
L2.06837477
L2.06837477Jun 13vs 
L7.010571211
L7.010571211Jun 7vs 
W5.09355044
W5.09355044Jun 2@ 
L6.09685244
L6.09685244SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
MacKenzie Gore
IPERAKHBB
vs TOR6.04.505.06.51.5(2)
at TOR6.04.505.06.51.5(2)
Kevin Gausman
IPERAKHBB
vs TEX7.04.505.07.51.0(2)
home starts6.05.505.35.31.3(3)
Trends · TEX
- TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- TEX are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- TEX are 2-3 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
- TEX are 2-3 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 away starts.
- TEX average 4.2 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
- TEX average 4.4 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 away starts.
Trends · TOR
- TOR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- TOR are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- TOR are 1-4 in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
- TOR are 3-2 in Kevin Gausman's last 5 home starts.
- TOR average 3.4 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
- TOR average 4.0 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
TEX
xERA 3.90 (avg)ERA 6.112d stress Fresh (4.0 IP/2g)
TOR
xERA 3.84 (avg)ERA 3.562d stress Normal (6.3 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
68°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 7 mph SW
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 2
- TEX — MacKenzie Gore: HH% 57% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- TEX bullpen fresh (4.0 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
NYY @ 
BOS7:10 PM · Fenway ParkHitter Friendly
NYY @ BOSMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Cam Schlittler R
xERA2.76 (elite)K%33.8 (elite)HH%34.9 (good)Barrel%9.3 (avg)ERA0.96IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs96BB%6.8
BOS vs RHP
wRC+94 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%32.9 (below avg)
Connelly Early L
xERA3.10 (good)K%21.6 (avg)HH%32.6 (good)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA5.28IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs96BB%10.8
NYY vs LHP
wRC+114 (avg)K%25.1 (below avg)HH%35.2 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY-110-1.5 (+150)O8.5 (-115)BOS+100+1.5 (-167)U8.5 (-101)
Cam Schlittler · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25@ L5.09295204
L5.09295204Jun 19vs 
W6.096134000
W6.096134000Jun 13@ W7.010176411
W7.010176411Jun 7vs W5.29254111
W5.29254111Jun 2vs L4.17635045
L4.17635045Connelly Early · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 25vs W6.09895122
W6.09895122Jun 20@ 
W6.09872211
W6.09872211Jun 14vs L4.291311266
L4.291311266Jun 8@ L4.29665422
L4.29665422Jun 2vs L5.19666144
L5.19666144SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Cam Schlittler
IPERAKHBB
vs BOS6.10.996.34.31.3(3)
at BOS6.50.697.04.51.5(2)
Connelly Early
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY5.54.056.55.02.0(2)
home starts5.17.066.07.31.3(3)
Trends · NYY
- NYY are 4-3 vs BOS this season (7 games).
- NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- NYY are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
- NYY are 3-2 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
- NYY are 3-2 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 away starts.
- NYY average 4.2 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
- NYY average 5.8 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 away starts.
Trends · BOS
- BOS are 3-4 vs NYY this season (7 games).
- BOS are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- BOS are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- BOS are 2-3 in Connelly Early's last 5 starts.
- BOS are 3-2 in Connelly Early's last 5 home starts.
- BOS average 3.6 runs/game in Connelly Early's last 5 starts.
- BOS average 4.4 runs/game in Connelly Early's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 3.51 (good)ERA 3.002d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
BOS
xERA 2.71 (elite)ERA 3.672d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
77°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph SSW
APF 104 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
- BOS — Connelly Early: 2026-06-14: 6 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- BOS — Connelly Early: recent opponents high-K: TEX 26%, NYY 25% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups