MLB Game Overviews

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Seth Lugo R

xERA5.24 (below avg)K%10.3 (poor)HH%46.8 (poor)Barrel%12.8 (below avg)ERA4.40IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs74BB%8.6

TBR vs RHP

wRC+123 (above avg)K%20.3 (avg)HH%36.0 (avg)

Ian Seymour L

xERA3.08 (good)K%23.1 (good)HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%8.8 (avg)ERA4.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs69BB%7.7

KCR vs LHP

wRC+140 (elite)K%17.2 (above avg)HH%42.9 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalKCR+123+1.5 (-172)O8.5 (-105)TBR-142-1.5 (+150)U8.5 (-112)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalKCR+104+0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-113)TBR-130-0.5 (+108)U4.5 (-115)

Team Totals

OverUnderKCRO3.5 (-135)U3.5 (+106)TBRO4.5 (+108)U4.5 (-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/USeth Lugo4.5 (+115 / -138)17.5 (-104 / +105)Ian Seymour——

Seth Lugo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs W6.08505312

Jun 10vs L3.14423111

Jun 4@ W5.09246155

May 30@ L6.09066013

May 24vs W6.18636233

Ian Seymour · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20vs L5.08147033

Jun 14@ W3.1*7232322

Jun 8vs W4.05551111

Jun 2vs L2.0*4012333

May 30vs L1.0*2310211

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Seth Lugo

IPERAKHBB

vs TBR6.03.005.05.00.0(1)

at TBR6.03.005.05.00.0(1)

Ian Seymour

IPERAKHBB

vs KCR—

home starts4.54.004.54.00.5(2)

Trends

KCR

• KCR are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• KCR are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• KCR are 3-2 in Seth Lugo's last 5 starts.
• KCR are 2-3 in Seth Lugo's last 5 away starts.
• KCR average 6.4 runs/game in Seth Lugo's last 5 starts.
• KCR average 4.6 runs/game in Seth Lugo's last 5 away starts.

TBR

• TBR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• TBR are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
• TBR are 2-1 in Ian Seymour's last 3 starts.
• TBR are 2-1 in Ian Seymour's last 3 home starts.
• TBR average 4.3 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 3 starts.
• TBR average 4.3 runs/game in Ian Seymour's last 3 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

KCR

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 4.40

TBR

xERA 3.58 (good)ERA 4.36

Weather · Dome

Dome

Flags · 5

• KCR — Seth Lugo: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• KCR — Seth Lugo: Barrel% 13% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• KCR — Seth Lugo: 2026-06-04: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• KCR — Seth Lugo: recent opponents low-K: MIN 16%, STL 16% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• TBR — Ian Seymour: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-14, 2026-06-02 — may affect pitch count or availability

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Bryce Miller R

xERA2.30 (elite)K%37.1 (elite)HH%32.4 (good)Barrel%8.1 (avg)ERA1.42IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs2.7PC/gs84BB%3.2

PIT vs RHP

wRC+134 (elite)K%23.0 (avg)HH%43.3 (above avg)

Bubba Chandler R

xERA2.83 (elite)K%20.6 (avg)HH%32.6 (good)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA3.18IP/gs8.5 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs82BB%7.3

SEA vs RHP

wRC+74 (poor)K%25.1 (below avg)HH%37.1 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSEA-144-1.5 (+120)O8.5 (-107)PIT+123+1.5 (-137)U8.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSEA-148-0.5 (-104)O4.5 (-110)PIT+118+0.5 (-125)U4.5 (-118)

Team Totals

OverUnderSEAO4.5 (-108)U4.5 (-118)PITO3.5 (-120)U3.5 (-106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UBryce Miller5.5 (+112 / -119)17.5 (-145 / +109)Bubba Chandler4.5 (-126 / +112)15.5 (+117 / -156)

Bryce Miller · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs L5.06673011

Jun 12@ W8.09174022

Jun 6@ W6.09491200

May 31vs W5.07161100

May 25@ W5.0*8345022

Bubba Chandler · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@ L6.07416222

Jun 13vs W5.28463122

Jun 7@ L5.1*8871223

Jun 2@ W5.09136244

May 27vs L5.09158244

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Bubba Chandler

IPERAKHBB

vs SEA—

home starts4.46.824.34.72.3(3)

Trends

SEA

• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• SEA are 3-2 in Bryce Miller's last 5 starts.
• SEA are 2-1 in Bryce Miller's last 3 away starts.
• SEA average 4.0 runs/game in Bryce Miller's last 5 starts.
• SEA average 5.7 runs/game in Bryce Miller's last 3 away starts.

PIT

• PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• PIT are 2-3 in Bubba Chandler's last 5 starts.
• PIT are 2-3 in Bubba Chandler's last 5 home starts.
• PIT average 4.4 runs/game in Bubba Chandler's last 5 starts.
• PIT average 3.2 runs/game in Bubba Chandler's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

SEA

xERA 2.40 (elite)ERA 4.93

PIT

xERA 3.49 (good)ERA 4.07

Weather · Neutral Conditions

80°F, Overcast, Wind 11 mph SW

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 5

• SEA — Bryce Miller: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-05-25 — may affect pitch count or availability
• SEA — Bryce Miller: last start: 66 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• PIT — Bubba Chandler: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-07 — may affect pitch count or availability
• PIT — Bubba Chandler: last start: 74 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• PIT — Bubba Chandler: 2026-06-02: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Jeffrey Springs L

xERA5.64 (poor)K%19.1 (avg)HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%13.3 (below avg)ERA12.08IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs87BB%9.5

SFG vs LHP

wRC+97 (avg)K%23.3 (avg)HH%41.8 (above avg)

Landen Roupp R

xERA2.84 (elite)K%25.4 (good)HH%29.5 (elite)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.86IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs100BB%9.0

ATH vs RHP

wRC+139 (elite)K%20.9 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+104-1.5 (+265)O7.5 (+575)SFG-110-1.5 (+880)U3.5 (-112)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATH+116+0.5 (-125)O4.5 (-113)SFG-145-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (-115)

Team Totals

OverUnderATHO4.5 (+116)U3.5 (+114)SFGO4.5 (+104)U4.5 (-125)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UJeffrey Springs4.5 (-118 / -107)15.5 (-109 / -122)Landen Roupp5.5 (-130 / +119)17.5 (-125 / -105)

Jeffrey Springs · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs W3.28644466

Jun 14vs L4.07757068

Jun 8vs L5.09938255

Jun 3@ W3.28637144

May 27vs L5.08476125

Landen Roupp · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@ L6.09877122

Jun 12vs L4.210554244

Jun 6@ L5.29853311

Jun 1@ L4.09648588

May 25vs L5.09377124

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Jeffrey Springs

IPERAKHBB

vs SFG6.11.484.03.50.5(2)

at SFG6.21.455.02.00.0(1)

Landen Roupp

IPERAKHBB

vs ATH6.00.005.05.02.0(1)

home starts4.44.776.74.72.0(3)

Trends

ATH

• ATH are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• ATH are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• ATH are 2-3 in Jeffrey Springs's last 5 starts.
• ATH are 2-3 in Jeffrey Springs's last 5 away starts.
• ATH average 8.2 runs/game in Jeffrey Springs's last 5 starts.
• ATH average 3.0 runs/game in Jeffrey Springs's last 5 away starts.

SFG

• SFG are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• SFG are 0-5 in Landen Roupp's last 5 starts.
• SFG are 2-3 in Landen Roupp's last 5 home starts.
• SFG average 2.0 runs/game in Landen Roupp's last 5 starts.
• SFG average 3.0 runs/game in Landen Roupp's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 3.93 (avg)ERA 7.69

SFG

xERA 5.30 (poor)ERA 5.14

Weather · Neutral Conditions

61°F, Overcast, Wind 12 mph WSW

APF 97 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• ATH — Jeffrey Springs: Barrel% 13% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• SFG bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.30 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
• ATH — Jeffrey Springs: recent opponents high-K: MIL 25%, LAA 27% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• SFG — Landen Roupp: 2026-06-12: 4 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Tatsuya Imai R

xERA2.82 (elite)K%36.4 (elite)HH%36.7 (avg)Barrel%6.7 (good)ERA7.71IP/gs3.9 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs73BB%7.3

DET vs RHP

wRC+120 (above avg)K%24.6 (below avg)HH%37.0 (avg)

Troy Melton R

xERA2.98 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%32.1 (good)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA3.32IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs89BB%6.7

HOU vs RHP

wRC+124 (above avg)K%19.7 (above avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalHOU-104-1.5 (+162)O9.0 (-101)DET-112+1.5 (-180)U9.0 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalHOU-106+0.5 (-148)O4.5 (-135)DET-118-0.5 (+114)U4.5 (+104)

Team Totals

OverUnderHOUO4.5 (+106)U4.5 (-130)DETO4.5 (+106)U4.5 (-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UTatsuya Imai5.5 (+110 / -139)15.5 (+130 / -153)Troy Melton4.5 (+116 / +138)—

Tatsuya Imai · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs W6.089116033

Jun 12@ W0.23814155

Jun 6vs W5.09285322

May 31vs L6.011053222

May 25@ W6.09720400

Troy Melton · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20vs W6.08451311

Jun 9vs W5.08858044

Jun 3@ W8.09454222

May 29@ L7.08916111

May 24@ W5.27932311

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Troy Melton

IPERAKHBB

vs HOU—

home starts5.54.095.04.51.5(2)

Trends

HOU

• HOU are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• HOU are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• HOU are 4-1 in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 starts.
• HOU are 3-2 in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 away starts.
• HOU average 8.2 runs/game in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 starts.
• HOU average 7.8 runs/game in Tatsuya Imai's last 5 away starts.

DET

• DET are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• DET are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• DET are 4-1 in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
• DET are 2-0 in Troy Melton's last 2 home starts.
• DET average 5.6 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 5 starts.
• DET average 7.0 runs/game in Troy Melton's last 2 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

HOU

xERA 3.30 (good)ERA 3.30

DET

xERA 2.45 (elite)ERA 1.52

Weather · Neutral Conditions

80°F, Clear, Wind 10 mph WSW

APF 103 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• HOU — Tatsuya Imai: avg 3.9 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
• HOU — Tatsuya Imai: 2026-06-12: 5 ER in 0.2 IP skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• HOU — Tatsuya Imai: low-K outing 2026-06-12 (1 Ks vs avg 6.7) — stuff was flat that day
• DET — Troy Melton: 2026-06-09: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

C. Sanchez L

xERA3.16 (good)K%24.0 (good)HH%37.0 (avg)Barrel%13.0 (below avg)ERA3.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs99BB%4.0

WSN vs LHP

wRC+145 (elite)K%25.0 (below avg)HH%44.8 (above avg)

Cade Cavalli R

xERA6.66 (poor)K%13.8 (below avg)HH%42.2 (below avg)Barrel%8.9 (avg)ERA6.39IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs79BB%6.9

PHI vs RHP

wRC+146 (elite)K%23.8 (avg)HH%41.6 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalPHI-180-1.5 (-108)O8.5 (-102)WSN+156+1.5 (-102)U8.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalPHI-190-0.5 (-125)O4.5 (+108)WSN+150+0.5 (-104)U4.5 (-140)

Team Totals

OverUnderPHIO4.5 (-125)U4.5 (+100)WSNO3.5 (+114)U3.5 (-135)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UC. Sanchez6.5 (+119 / -145)20.5 (-108 / -123)Cade Cavalli4.5 (-138 / +112)15.5 (-115 / +122)

C. Sanchez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20vs W6.09155111

Jun 14@ L5.29838144

Jun 8@ W7.0107104122

Jun 3vs W7.08484111

May 27@ W7.010096000

Cade Cavalli · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20@ W2.26816322

Jun 13vs W5.08154033

Jun 7@ L5.08827144

Jun 1vs L5.08965322

May 26@ W6.08775211

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

C. Sanchez

IPERAKHBB

vs WSN5.02.676.54.53.5(2)

at WSN—

Cade Cavalli

IPERAKHBB

vs PHI6.31.894.06.31.3(3)

home starts5.73.716.74.31.3(3)

Trends

PHI

• PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• PHI are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
• PHI are 4-1 in C. Sanchez's last 5 starts.
• PHI are 3-2 in C. Sanchez's last 5 away starts.
• PHI average 5.2 runs/game in C. Sanchez's last 5 starts.
• PHI average 4.2 runs/game in C. Sanchez's last 5 away starts.

WSN

• WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
• WSN are 3-2 in Cade Cavalli's last 5 starts.
• WSN are 2-3 in Cade Cavalli's last 5 home starts.
• WSN average 4.4 runs/game in Cade Cavalli's last 5 starts.
• WSN average 5.6 runs/game in Cade Cavalli's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

PHI

xERA 3.97 (avg)ERA 4.93

WSN

xERA 4.25 (avg)ERA 5.29

Weather · Hitter Friendly

89°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 8 mph S

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

• PHI — C. Sanchez: Barrel% 13% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
• PHI — C. Sanchez: recent opponents high-K: TOR 26%, MIL 25% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
• WSN — Cade Cavalli: last start: 68 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

MacKenzie Gore L

xERA3.50 (good)K%28.9 (elite)HH%57.5 (poor)Barrel%8.5 (avg)ERA3.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs95BB%9.2

TOR vs LHP

wRC+86 (below avg)K%26.1 (below avg)HH%22.5 (poor)

Kevin Gausman R

xERA3.56 (good)K%24.6 (good)HH%35.0 (good)Barrel%10.0 (avg)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs89BB%9.8

TEX vs RHP

wRC+111 (avg)K%20.8 (avg)HH%40.6 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTEX+130+1.5 (-171)O8.0 (-102)TOR-150-1.5 (+146)U7.5 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTEX+116+0.5 (-128)O4.5 (-102)TOR-145-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (-128)

Team Totals

OverUnderTEXO3.5 (-104)U3.5 (-120)TORO4.5 (+120)U4.5 (-140)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMacKenzie Gore5.5 (+126 / +122)17.5 (+104 / -138)Kevin Gausman6.5 (+114 / +122)17.5 (-162 / +125)

MacKenzie Gore · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20vs L6.09565211

Jun 15vs L7.0102104244

Jun 10@ W5.08768322

Jun 3@ L4.210059344

May 29vs W6.19934100

Kevin Gausman · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@ L2.06837477

Jun 13vs L7.010571211

Jun 7vs W5.09355044

Jun 2@ L6.09685244

May 27vs W5.09556211

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

MacKenzie Gore

IPERAKHBB

vs TOR5.05.405.09.02.0(1)

at TOR5.05.405.09.02.0(1)

Kevin Gausman

IPERAKHBB

vs TEX8.01.126.05.00.0(1)

home starts5.73.185.74.01.3(3)

Trends

TEX

• TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• TEX are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• TEX are 2-3 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
• TEX are 1-4 in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 away starts.
• TEX average 4.8 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 starts.
• TEX average 3.6 runs/game in MacKenzie Gore's last 5 away starts.

TOR

• TOR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• TOR are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
• TOR are 2-3 in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
• TOR are 3-2 in Kevin Gausman's last 5 home starts.
• TOR average 2.8 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
• TOR average 4.0 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

TEX

xERA 3.90 (avg)ERA 6.11

TOR

xERA 3.84 (avg)ERA 3.56

Weather · Neutral Conditions

61°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph NE

APF 102 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• TEX — MacKenzie Gore: HH% 57% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• TEX — MacKenzie Gore: recent opponents low-K: KCR 17%, SDP 17% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher
• TOR — Kevin Gausman: last start: 68 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
• TOR — Kevin Gausman: 2026-06-19: 7 ER in 2.0 IP (ERA equiv 32) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Cam Schlittler R

xERA2.76 (elite)K%33.8 (elite)HH%34.9 (good)Barrel%9.3 (avg)ERA0.96IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs96BB%6.8

BOS vs RHP

wRC+94 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%32.9 (below avg)

Connelly Early L

xERA3.10 (good)K%21.6 (avg)HH%32.6 (good)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA5.28IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs95BB%10.8

NYY vs LHP

wRC+114 (avg)K%25.1 (below avg)HH%35.2 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalNYY-156-1.5 (+112)O7.5 (-118)BOS+145+1.5 (-115)U7.5 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalNYY-168-0.5 (-114)O3.5 (-154)BOS+134+0.5 (-114)U3.5 (+118)

Team Totals

OverUnderNYYO4.5 (+102)U4.5 (-120)BOSO3.5 (+114)U3.5 (-138)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UCam Schlittler6.5 (+110 / +134)17.5 (-151 / +114)Connelly Early5.5 (-110 / -106)16.5 (-112 / -119)

Cam Schlittler · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs W6.096134000

Jun 13@ W7.010176411

Jun 7vs W5.29254111

Jun 2vs L4.17635045

May 26@ W6.07764011

Connelly Early · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20@ W6.09872211

Jun 14vs L4.291311266

Jun 8@ L4.29665422

Jun 2vs L5.19666144

May 27vs W7.09774300

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Cam Schlittler

IPERAKHBB

vs BOS6.61.365.04.01.0(2)

at BOS8.01.125.04.01.0(1)

Connelly Early

IPERAKHBB

vs NYY5.15.294.05.03.0(1)

home starts5.45.525.37.02.0(3)

Trends

NYY

• NYY are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• NYY are 8-2 in their last 10 away games.
• NYY are 4-1 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
• NYY are 4-1 in Cam Schlittler's last 5 away starts.
• NYY average 6.6 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 starts.
• NYY average 5.8 runs/game in Cam Schlittler's last 5 away starts.

BOS

• BOS are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
• BOS are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
• BOS are 2-3 in Connelly Early's last 5 starts.
• BOS are 2-3 in Connelly Early's last 5 home starts.
• BOS average 4.0 runs/game in Connelly Early's last 5 starts.
• BOS average 3.8 runs/game in Connelly Early's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

NYY

xERA 3.51 (good)ERA 3.00

BOS

xERA 2.71 (elite)ERA 3.67

Weather · Hitter Friendly

78°F, Overcast, Wind 5 mph ENE

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 1

• BOS — Connelly Early: 2026-06-14: 6 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 13) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Matthew Boyd L

xERA3.78 (avg)K%22.2 (avg)HH%47.8 (poor)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA5.52IP/gs4.9 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs90BB%4.8

NYM vs LHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%20.7 (avg)HH%34.6 (below avg)

Freddy Peralta R

xERA3.50 (good)K%13.4 (below avg)HH%34.6 (good)Barrel%3.9 (elite)ERA11.20IP/gs4.6 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs89BB%6.0

CHC vs RHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%22.0 (avg)HH%39.2 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC-105-1.5 (+158)O8.5 (-110)NYM-110+1.5 (-180)U8.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalCHC-112+0.5 (-160)O4.5 (-114)NYM-112-0.5 (+122)U4.5 (-114)

Team Totals

OverUnderCHCO4.5 (+114)U4.5 (-140)NYMO4.5 (+120)U3.5 (+114)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMatthew Boyd4.5 (-112 / -110)—Freddy Peralta5.5 (+110 / -125)16.5 (-103 / -120)

Matthew Boyd · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

May 3vs W6.09454122

Apr 27@ L4.09148255

Apr 22vs W4.28455022

Apr 1vs W5.298102212

Mar 26vs L3.26376166

Freddy Peralta · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20@ L2.28021011010

Jun 14vs W5.09024111

Jun 9vs L6.09856266

Jun 3@ W6.010166211

May 29vs W4.29458144

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Matthew Boyd

IPERAKHBB

vs NYM5.53.245.54.00.5(2)

at NYM6.03.008.06.00.0(1)

Freddy Peralta

IPERAKHBB

vs CHC5.14.744.03.03.0(3)

home starts5.16.514.06.01.3(3)

Trends

CHC

• CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
• CHC are 3-2 in Matthew Boyd's last 5 starts.
• CHC are 0-1 in Matthew Boyd's last 1 away starts.
• CHC average 6.4 runs/game in Matthew Boyd's last 5 starts.
• CHC average 7.0 runs/game in Matthew Boyd's last 1 away starts.

NYM

• NYM are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• NYM are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
• NYM are 3-2 in Freddy Peralta's last 5 starts.
• NYM are 4-1 in Freddy Peralta's last 5 home starts.
• NYM average 5.4 runs/game in Freddy Peralta's last 5 starts.
• NYM average 6.8 runs/game in Freddy Peralta's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 4.41 (avg)ERA 4.94

NYM

xERA 4.11 (avg)ERA 4.68

Weather · Neutral Conditions

77°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 12 mph SSE

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

• CHC — Matthew Boyd: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
• CHC — Matthew Boyd: 53 days since last start (2026-05-03) — may not be fully stretched out
• CHC — Matthew Boyd: 2026-04-27: 5 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• CHC — Matthew Boyd: recent opponents low-K: SDP 17%, ARI 14% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Zac Gallen R

xERA5.38 (poor)K%11.7 (poor)HH%37.1 (avg)Barrel%6.5 (good)ERA9.39IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs9.0PC/gs87BB%6.5

STL vs RHP

wRC+138 (elite)K%15.8 (elite)HH%45.4 (elite)

Michael McGreevy R

xERA4.78 (below avg)K%12.7 (below avg)HH%37.3 (avg)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.76IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs6.7PC/gs89BB%4.2

ARI vs RHP

wRC+99 (avg)K%13.7 (elite)HH%35.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI+115+1.5 (-180)O9.0 (-105)STL-132-1.5 (+158)U9.0 (-114)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalARI+112+0.5 (-128)O4.5 (-140)STL-140-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (+108)

Team Totals

OverUnderARIO4.5 (+118)U4.5 (-140)STLO4.5 (-104)U4.5 (-120)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UZac Gallen3.5 (-125 / +110)15.5 (-128 / -103)Michael McGreevy3.5 (+131 / +138)17.5 (+100 / -123)

Zac Gallen · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 20vs L4.081212299

Jun 14@ W6.08546233

Jun 9@ L5.19439144

Jun 3vs L5.09019245

May 29@ L5.08428155

Michael McGreevy · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@ L5.09528155

Jun 14@ L6.08927222

Jun 7vs W6.08355022

Jun 1vs L6.08715222

May 26@ L4.08967355

SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)

Zac Gallen

IPERAKHBB

vs STL5.26.924.03.04.0(1)

at STL5.26.924.03.04.0(1)

Michael McGreevy

IPERAKHBB

vs ARI—

home starts5.73.712.36.71.0(3)

Trends

ARI

• ARI are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
• ARI are 1-4 in Zac Gallen's last 5 starts.
• ARI are 1-4 in Zac Gallen's last 5 away starts.
• ARI average 5.0 runs/game in Zac Gallen's last 5 starts.
• ARI average 5.2 runs/game in Zac Gallen's last 5 away starts.

STL

• STL are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• STL are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• STL are 1-4 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
• STL are 2-3 in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.
• STL average 3.0 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 starts.
• STL average 2.2 runs/game in Michael McGreevy's last 5 home starts.

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.71 (below avg)ERA 4.57

STL

xERA 5.64 (poor)ERA 6.69

Weather · Neutral Conditions

87°F, Overcast, Wind 2 mph NE

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 3

• STL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.64 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
• STL — Michael McGreevy: 2026-06-19: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
• STL — Michael McGreevy: recent opponents low-K: MIN 16%, KCR 18% — recent opponents make less contact; today's lineup may be tougher