PHI @ 
ATL2:00 PM · Truist ParkNeutral Conditions
PHI @ ATLMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Cristopher Sánchez L
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
ATL vs LHP
L6
wRC+72 (poor)K%18.6 (above)Whiff%23.7 (avg)BB%2.9 (poor)HH%41.8 (above)
L12
wRC+79 (poor)K%21.1 (avg)Whiff%26.0 (below)BB%6.0 (poor)HH%35.0 (avg)
Tyler Mahle R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
PHI vs RHP
L6
wRC+95 (avg)K%16.1 (above)Whiff%17.6 (elite)BB%12.8 (elite)HH%37.4 (avg)
L12
wRC+84 (below)K%17.2 (above)Whiff%18.8 (above)BB%15.1 (elite)HH%33.5 (below)
Bullpens · Last 12
PHI
xERA 3.77 (avg)ERA 5.71 (poor)2d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
ATL
xERA 4.31 (avg)ERA 3.78 (avg)2d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalPHI+126-1.5 (+325)O3.5 (-149)ATL-156-1.5 (+350)U3.5 (+118)
Cristopher Sánchez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 25 '26vs 
L7.0100105122
L7.0100105122Sep 20 '26@ 
W6.19866022
W6.19866022Sep 15 '26@ 
L6.19858255
L6.19858255Sep 9 '26vs 
W6.081310066
W6.081310066Sep 4 '26vs L6.010855333
L6.010855333Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 24 '26vs 
L5.09146255
L5.09146255Sep 18 '26@ W6.09863111
W6.09863111Sep 12 '26vs W7.09736011
W7.09736011Sep 6 '26@ W6.09434102
W6.09434102Aug 30 '26vs 
W6.28995011
W6.28995011SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Cristopher Sánchez
IPERAKHBB
vs ATL6.31.89elite7.06.71.3(3)
at ATL—
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 4 '26vs L6.010855333
L6.010855333Apr 18 '26vs L6.09388103
L6.09388103Aug 30 '25vs W7.09787011
W7.09787011Tyler Mahle
IPERAKHBB
vs PHI6.03.00good3.05.31.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 12 '26vs W7.09736011
W7.09736011Sep 6 '26@ W6.09434102
W6.09434102Apr 28 '26@ L5.08236355
L5.08236355home starts6.13.46good5.35.70.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 24 '26vs L5.09146255
L5.09146255Sep 12 '26vs W7.09736011
W7.09736011Aug 30 '26vs W6.28995011
W6.28995011Trends · PHI
- PHI are 4-10 vs ATL this season (14 games).
- PHI are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- PHI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- PHI are 2-3 in Cristopher Sánchez's last 5 starts.
- PHI are 3-2 in Cristopher Sánchez's last 5 away starts.
- PHI average 4.6 runs/game in Cristopher Sánchez's last 5 starts.
- PHI average 3.8 runs/game in Cristopher Sánchez's last 5 away starts.
Over / Under
- PHI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
- PHI are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 away games.
- PHI are 2-3 to the over in Cristopher Sánchez's last 5 starts.
- PHI are 1-2 to the over in Cristopher Sánchez's last 3 away starts.
Trends · ATL
- ATL are 10-4 vs PHI this season (14 games).
- ATL are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- ATL are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- ATL are 4-1 in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
- ATL are 3-1 in Tyler Mahle's last 4 home starts.
- ATL average 6.4 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
- ATL average 6.8 runs/game in Tyler Mahle's last 4 home starts.
Over / Under
- ATL are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
- ATL are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
- ATL are 3-2 to the over in Tyler Mahle's last 5 starts.
- ATL are 1-2 to the over in Tyler Mahle's last 3 home starts.
Weather · Neutral Conditions
82°F, Clear, Wind 4 mph SE
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 5
- PHI — Cristopher Sánchez: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- ATL — Tyler Mahle: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- PHI — Cristopher Sánchez: 2026-09-15: 5 ER in 6.1 IP (ERA equiv 7); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 2.76 ERA equivalent
- ATL — Tyler Mahle: 2026-09-24: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.39 ERA equivalent
- TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (NL East)
AI Analysis
No AI read for this game in the latest analysis.
CHW @ HOU5:00 PM · Daikin Park (Roof Closed)
CHW @ HOUMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Sean Burke R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
HOU vs RHP
L6
wRC+184 (elite)K%24.8 (below)Whiff%27.6 (below)BB%12.1 (elite)HH%44.4 (above)
L12
wRC+150 (elite)K%24.9 (below)Whiff%26.6 (below)BB%8.6 (avg)HH%40.4 (above)
Hunter Brown R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
CHW vs RHP
L6
wRC+127 (above)K%25.5 (below)Whiff%29.2 (poor)BB%7.8 (below)HH%43.4 (above)
L12
wRC+109 (avg)K%26.2 (below)Whiff%27.1 (below)BB%7.5 (below)HH%41.3 (above)
Bullpens · Last 12
CHW
xERA 4.77 (below)ERA 4.30 (avg)2d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)
HOU
xERA 2.58 (elite)ERA 3.66 (good)2d stress Stressed (8.3 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHW+130+1.5 (-174)O7.5 (-110)HOU-150-1.5 (+146)U7.5 (-108)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHW+124+0.5 (-132)O4.5 (+114)HOU-145-0.5 (+102)U4.5 (-148)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UCHW3.5 (+100/-125)1.5 (-110/-120)HOU3.5 (-136/+110)2.5 (+124/-160)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/USean Burke4.5 (-146 / +122)14.5 (-125 / +104)Hunter Brown6.5 (+110 / -126)15.5 (+114 / -146)
Sean Burke · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 25 '26vs W5.18974111
W5.18974111Sep 19 '26vs 
W6.09755311
W6.09755311Sep 14 '26@ 
W5.0*9444201
W5.0*9444201Sep 8 '26vs 
L1.14828277
L1.14828277Sep 1 '26@ W5.210461400
W5.210461400Hunter Brown · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 25 '26@ 
L5.110042412
L5.110042412Sep 20 '26vs L5.098103200
L5.098103200Sep 15 '26vs 
W5.091102311
W5.091102311Sep 9 '26@ L5.09077045
L5.09077045Sep 3 '26vs W6.010176222
W6.010176222SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Sean Burke
IPERAKHBB
vs HOU4.85.63poor6.74.32.0(3)
at HOU4.27.50poor5.04.52.5(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 1 '26@ W5.210461400
W5.210461400Jul 25 '26vs L6.0102104123
L6.0102104123Jun 11 '25@ L3.27348177
L3.27348177Hunter Brown
IPERAKHBB
vs CHW6.32.37elite7.74.01.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 3 '26vs W6.010176222
W6.010176222Jul 25 '26@ W7.09072000
W7.09072000May 3 '25@ W6.09894333
W6.09894333home starts5.31.69elite9.03.72.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 20 '26vs L5.098103200
L5.098103200Sep 15 '26vs W5.091102311
W5.091102311Sep 3 '26vs W6.010176222
W6.010176222Trends · CHW
- CHW are 3-5 vs HOU this season (8 games).
- CHW are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- CHW are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- CHW are 4-1 in Sean Burke's last 5 starts.
- CHW are 4-1 in Sean Burke's last 5 away starts.
- CHW average 5.4 runs/game in Sean Burke's last 5 starts.
- CHW average 3.6 runs/game in Sean Burke's last 5 away starts.
Over / Under
- CHW are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
- CHW are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 away games.
- CHW are 1-4 to the over in Sean Burke's last 5 starts.
- CHW are 1-2 to the over in Sean Burke's last 3 away starts.
Trends · HOU
- HOU are 5-3 vs CHW this season (8 games).
- HOU are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- HOU are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- HOU are 2-3 in Hunter Brown's last 5 starts.
- HOU are 2-3 in Hunter Brown's last 5 home starts.
- HOU average 4.8 runs/game in Hunter Brown's last 5 starts.
- HOU average 3.4 runs/game in Hunter Brown's last 5 home starts.
Over / Under
- HOU are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
- HOU are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 home games.
- HOU are 2-3 to the over in Hunter Brown's last 5 starts.
- HOU are 0-3 to the over in Hunter Brown's last 3 home starts.
Weather · Roof Closed
Flags · 7
- CHW — Sean Burke: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- HOU — Hunter Brown: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- CHW bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g)
- HOU bullpen stressed (8.3 IP over 1g)
- CHW — Sean Burke: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-09-14
- CHW — Sean Burke: 2026-09-08: 7 ER in 1.1 IP; the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 1.63 ERA equivalent
- CHW — Sean Burke: recent opponents high-K: PIT 27%, DET 26%, COL 26%
AI Analysis
No AI read for this game in the latest analysis.
BOS @ 
NYY8:00 PM · Yankee StadiumNeutral Conditions
BOS @ NYYMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Sonny Gray R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
NYY vs RHP
L6
wRC+104 (avg)K%32.3 (poor)Whiff%28.5 (poor)BB%9.5 (above)HH%36.3 (avg)
L12
wRC+95 (avg)K%26.9 (below)Whiff%26.5 (below)BB%8.3 (avg)HH%37.6 (avg)
Max Fried L
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
BOS vs LHP
L6
wRC+69 (poor)K%27.6 (below)Whiff%23.6 (avg)BB%8.2 (avg)HH%29.4 (poor)
L12
wRC+78 (poor)K%22.8 (avg)Whiff%20.5 (above)BB%9.8 (above)HH%28.0 (poor)
Bullpens · Last 12
BOS
xERA 2.51 (elite)ERA 1.61 (elite)2d stress Normal (3.3 IP/1g)
NYY
xERA 3.86 (avg)ERA 3.30 (good)2d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalBOS+116+1.5 (-192)O6.5 (-120)NYY-130-1.5 (+163)U6.5 (+101)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalBOS+120+0.5 (-132)O3.5 (-118)NYY-145-0.5 (+102)U3.5 (-110)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UBOS3.5 (+120/+120)1.5 (+105/-135)NYY3.5 (+104/-130)1.5 (-130/+100)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/USonny Gray5.5 (+102 / -122)14.5 (-178 / +134)Max Fried5.5 (+100 / -122)16.5 (-130 / +106)
Sonny Gray · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 23 '26vs W6.07734100
W6.07734100Sep 17 '26@ 
W6.110263333
W6.110263333Sep 11 '26vs L6.09056233
L6.09056233Sep 5 '26@ 
W7.09273300
W7.09273300Aug 26 '26@ 
L5.09357122
L5.09357122Max Fried · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 22 '26vs L6.29746244
L6.29746244Sep 15 '26@ 
W7.08866011
W7.08866011Sep 10 '26vs W3.18071211
W3.18071211Sep 4 '26@ 
L5.27244111
L5.27244111Aug 29 '26vs W3.26343111
W3.26343111SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Sonny Gray
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY6.14.45avg6.36.01.7(3)
at NYY6.14.43avg3.08.02.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 28 '26vs W7.19791100
W7.19791100Jun 5 '26@ W6.17938233
W6.17938233Aug 16 '25vs L5.08879266
L5.08879266Max Fried
IPERAKHBB
vs BOS5.41.66elite6.35.01.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Aug 29 '26vs W3.26343111
W3.26343111Apr 22 '26@ W8.010093200
W8.010093200Sep 13 '25@ W5.110569222
W5.110569222home starts4.24.32avg5.03.31.7(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 22 '26vs L6.29746244
L6.29746244Sep 10 '26vs W3.18071211
W3.18071211Aug 29 '26vs W3.26343111
W3.26343111Trends · BOS
- BOS are 6-9 vs NYY this season (15 games).
- BOS are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- BOS are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- BOS are 3-2 in Sonny Gray's last 5 starts.
- BOS are 3-2 in Sonny Gray's last 5 away starts.
- BOS average 2.4 runs/game in Sonny Gray's last 5 starts.
- BOS average 2.8 runs/game in Sonny Gray's last 5 away starts.
Over / Under
- BOS are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 games.
- BOS are 2-8 to the over in their last 10 away games.
- BOS are 0-5 to the over in Sonny Gray's last 5 starts.
- BOS are 0-3 to the over in Sonny Gray's last 3 away starts.
Trends · NYY
- NYY are 9-6 vs BOS this season (15 games).
- NYY are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- NYY are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- NYY are 3-2 in Max Fried's last 5 starts.
- NYY are 3-2 in Max Fried's last 5 home starts.
- NYY average 6.0 runs/game in Max Fried's last 5 starts.
- NYY average 4.6 runs/game in Max Fried's last 5 home starts.
Over / Under
- NYY are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
- NYY are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 home games.
- NYY are 1-3 to the over in Max Fried's last 4 starts.
- NYY are 1-2 to the over in Max Fried's last 3 home starts.
Weather · Neutral Conditions
65°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 4 mph SE
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 5
- BOS — Sonny Gray: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- NYY — Max Fried: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- BOS — Sonny Gray: last start: 77 pitches over 6.0 IP news ↗
- TREND: BOS — was shut out 9-0 last time out (2026-09-29)
- TREND: DIVISIONAL GAME (AL East)
AI Analysis
Sonny Gray and Max Fried are both making their first start of the season with no current rate stats, so there is no reliable pitching read to build a side or total from, and the market's numbers already reflect that uncertainty — the ML sits at a modest -130 for NYY and the total is flat at 6.5. BOS has been a genuinely weak offense against lefties (69 wRC+ over its last 6, 78 over its last 12) and Fried has dominated this club in both of his 2026 meetings, but with no current-season pitching baseline for either arm that read isn't strong enough to clear a real edge on the board. Neither Gray nor Fried can be used for a strikeout or outs prop because both are marked NO STATS this season.
CHC @ SDP10:00 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions
CHC @ SDPMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 6/12
Kevin Gausman R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
SDP vs RHP
L6
wRC+104 (avg)K%23.7 (avg)Whiff%25.1 (below)BB%8.6 (avg)HH%33.8 (below)
L12
wRC+132 (elite)K%22.1 (avg)Whiff%23.6 (avg)BB%8.1 (avg)HH%34.3 (below)
Nick Pivetta R
xERA?ERA?K%?Whiff%?BB%?
More Stats
HH%?Barrel%?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?
CHC vs RHP
L6
wRC+64 (poor)K%22.2 (avg)Whiff%21.0 (avg)BB%9.4 (avg)HH%35.4 (avg)
L12
wRC+113 (avg)K%21.0 (avg)Whiff%20.4 (above)BB%9.6 (above)HH%38.4 (avg)
Bullpens · Last 12
CHC
xERA 3.36 (good)ERA 3.91 (avg)2d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
SDP
xERA 5.08 (below)ERA 4.14 (avg)2d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHC+125+1.5 (-178)O7.5 (+105)SDP-144-1.5 (+155)U7.0 (+104)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHC+120+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (+114)SDP-145-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-148)
Team Totals
Full Game O/UF5 O/UCHC3.5 (+105/-132)1.5 (-115/-115)SDP3.5 (-128/+100)2.5 (+114/-145)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UKevin Gausman4.5 (+110 / -132)14.5 (+117 / -155)Nick Pivetta4.5 (-122 / +101)13.5 (-119 / -111)
Kevin Gausman · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 23 '26vs L5.210176122
L5.210176122Sep 15 '26vs L5.29465022
L5.29465022Sep 9 '26@ 
L4.09468267
L4.09468267Sep 3 '26vs W7.010395111
W7.010395111Aug 29 '26vs W5.010276255
W5.010276255Nick Pivetta · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 24 '26@ 
W4.28774100
W4.28774100Sep 18 '26vs W5.07644111
W5.07644111Sep 13 '26@ 
W4.06955022
W4.06955022Sep 7 '26vs W5.06322000
W5.06322000Apr 12 '26vs W3.04640000
W3.04640000SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Kevin Gausman
IPERAKHBB
vs SDP6.52.08elite8.53.51.5(2)
at SDP6.04.50below8.04.03.0(1)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jul 12 '26@ L6.010384333
L6.010384333May 21 '25vs W7.09293000
W7.09293000Nick Pivetta
IPERAKHBB
vs CHC4.54.00avg5.05.02.0(2)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Apr 16 '25vs W6.09164111
W6.09164111Apr 5 '25@ L3.07646333
L3.07646333home starts4.30.69elite3.32.00.3(3)
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Sep 18 '26vs W5.07644111
W5.07644111Sep 7 '26vs W5.06322000
W5.06322000Apr 12 '26vs W3.04640000
W3.04640000Trends · CHC
- CHC are 5-2 vs SDP this season (7 games).
- CHC are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- CHC are 3-7 in their last 10 away games.
- CHC are 2-3 in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
- CHC are 2-2 in Kevin Gausman's last 4 away starts.
- CHC average 6.0 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
- CHC average 4.8 runs/game in Kevin Gausman's last 4 away starts.
Over / Under
- CHC are 6-4 to the over in their last 10 games.
- CHC are 5-5 to the over in their last 10 away games.
- CHC are 4-1 to the over in Kevin Gausman's last 5 starts.
- CHC are 1-1 to the over in Kevin Gausman's last 2 away starts.
Trends · SDP
- SDP are 2-5 vs CHC this season (7 games).
- SDP are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
- SDP are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
- SDP are 5-0 in Nick Pivetta's last 5 starts.
- SDP are 4-1 in Nick Pivetta's last 5 home starts.
- SDP average 5.6 runs/game in Nick Pivetta's last 5 starts.
- SDP average 5.4 runs/game in Nick Pivetta's last 5 home starts.
Over / Under
- SDP are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games.
- SDP are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 home games.
- SDP are 1-3 to the over in Nick Pivetta's last 4 starts.
- SDP are 1-1 to the over in Nick Pivetta's last 2 home starts.
Weather · Neutral Conditions
69°F, Overcast, Wind 2 mph SSW
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 8
- CHC — Kevin Gausman: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- SDP — Nick Pivetta: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- SDP bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.08 over its last 12
- CHC bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g)
- SDP bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g)
- CHC — Kevin Gausman: last start: 101 pitches over 5.2 IP news ↗
- CHC — Kevin Gausman: 2026-09-09: 6 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 14); the other 2 start(s) in the 3-game window average 3.46 ERA equivalent
- TREND: CHC — was shut out 8-0 last time out (2026-09-29)
AI Analysis
Kevin Gausman and Nick Pivetta are both first starts of the season with no current pitching stats, which removes the heaviest handicapping input for both sides of this game. San Diego is scorching (9-1 at home over its last 10, averaging 5.4 runs at home over its last 5) with a fresh bullpen, but Chicago's offense has actually gone cold vs RHP over its last 6 (64 wRC+, down from 113 over the last 12) and Gausman himself has a dominant career line against the Padres (2.08 ERA across two starts), which cuts directly against a Padres team-total or moneyline play and leaves the true price uncertain rather than clearly wrong. Pivetta's only history vs the Cubs is from last season and is only light evidence. No strikeout or outs props are available on Gausman or Pivetta since both are marked NO STATS this season.
Legend · badges & abbreviations
Badges
R / LThe pitcher throws right- or left-handed.OOpener. A short reliever starts; the stats shown are the BULK arm’s, the pitcher expected to carry most of the game. Hover the badge for the opener’s name.BPBullpen game. No conventional starter — expect a parade of relievers. Starter props and first-5 reads do not really apply.2uA two-unit pick: the model rated the mispricing strong enough to stake double. Everything else is one unit.✓This game carries an AI pick. Open the card’s AI Analysis section.NEUTRAL SITEPlayed at neither club’s home park, so the park factor is suppressed — it would describe the wrong venue.
Starting pitcher · last 3 starts
xERAExpected ERA from contact quality and strikeouts — what he deserved, with luck and defence stripped out.ERAActual earned runs allowed per nine, over the SAME three starts.K%Share of batters faced struck out.Whiff%Swings missed. A process stat: it moves before K% does.BB%Share of batters faced walked.HH%Hard-hit rate allowed (95+ mph off the bat).Barrel%Share of batted balls hit at the ideal speed-and-angle combination.IP/gsInnings per game started — how deep he normally goes.H/gsHits allowed per start.PC/gsPitches thrown per start.
Offense
wRC+Runs created per plate appearance, park- and league-adjusted. 100 is league average; 130 is 30% better.L6 / L12The last 6 and last 12 games. L6 is the primary read; L12 is the same lineup over a longer window, for context.vs RHP / vs LHPSplit against the hand today’s opposing starter throws.all handsNot split — shown on a bullpen game, where no one starter’s hand governs enough of the game to split on.
Bullpen
2d stressRelief innings thrown over the past two calendar days, per game played: Fresh, Normal, Elevated or Stressed. A stressed pen buys the starter innings; a fresh one takes them away.
Odds
MLMoneyline — who wins, no handicap.SpreadRun line. Baseball’s is almost always ±1.5.O/UOver/under on a total.F5First five innings only — largely a bet on the two starters, with little bullpen exposure.Team TotalRuns by ONE club, rather than both added together.no-vigThe market’s own probability with the book’s margin divided out — what the price implies before the house edge.
Recent-outing table
Opp / ResOpponent, and the result of that start.IP / PCInnings pitched and pitches thrown in that outing.K / H / BB / ER / RStrikeouts, hits, walks, earned runs and total runs.
Weather and park
APFAdjusted park factor. 100 is neutral; above favours hitters, below favours pitchers. Suppressed at a neutral site.Out / In / CrossWind relative to the field: blowing out to the outfield, in toward the plate, or across it.Dome / Roof ClosedPlayed indoors — no wind and no rain.RetractableA roof that MAY be open. The readings are the outdoor forecast and apply only if it is.